All United States articles – Page 59
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White papersPost-G20 Market Implications for U.S. – China
The G20 meeting yielded the U.S.-China trade war cease-fire and the Russia-Saudi Arabia pact to curb oil output. How will they pan out in 2019?
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White papersFrom G20: Short-Term Relief, But It Is Not The Final Word On Trade Disputes
The latest G20 demonstrates some temporary progress in the US/China relationship. An increase of tariff rates in January 2019 was put on hold and the possibility for an additional tranche of tariffs for the rest of US imports from China ($267bn) is also further delayed, at least. China has found the right entry point to give some concessions to the US on sensitive topics for President Trump.
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White papersInvesting in US energy infrastructure: Navigating the changing landscape
This paper is a deep dive into the complexities of the US energy sector, and will build on themes that we highlighted in our previous global energy transition paper. In the US, clean energy and fossil fuels both play an important role, which creates investment opportunities across a wide spectrum of energy infrastructure.
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White papers
Investing in US energy infrastructure: Navigating the changing landscape
This paper is a deep dive into the complexities of the US energy sector, and will build on themes that we highlighted in our previous global energy transition paper. In the US, clean energy and fossil fuels both play an important role, which creates investment opportunities across a wide spectrum of energy infrastructure.
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White papersIf you can de-risk now, why wait?!
Pension funds in the US, UK and Canada have transferred nearly $400 billion in pension and longevity risk since 2007. While these countries are the focal point of the market today, the Netherlands has been a vibrant market, and Germany recently opened for pension risk transfer in 2018 with two notable transactions, together worth more than $5 billion. Several other countries will soon follow suit. In 2017, the US and UK set a combined record with nearly $50 billion in total activity3, and 2018 is shaping up to be another outstanding year on both sides of the pond.
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White papersGlobal Trade War: Where Do we Stand Now? What Impacts?
A few days before the important meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, it is important to have a clear view on the trade dispute between the two countries and on the potential impacts of a trade war.
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White papersWhat lies ahead for the US economy and markets?
The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world. Moving towards the end of the year and into 2019, global investors have started to raise questions about whether the US economy and business sector will continue to shine, how inflation will evolve, and which direction the Federal Reserve will take going forward.
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White papersCould a Severe Equities Selloff Prolong Economic Expansion?
Could a sharp pullback in equities help to prolong the U.S. economic expansion and thus delay the onset of any recession?
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White papersUS Midterm election: A divided Congress opens two possible scenarios
Key takeaway: In the midterm election Democrats win the House and the GOP (Grand Old Party) strengthens its position in the Senate.
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White papersIn Credit: The sun shines on Brazil?
Core US bond yields drifted higher again last week with volatility in Europe centred upon the Italian bond market once again.
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White papersTrade talk and Fed policy
Recent changes to US trade policy mark a significant departure from the trend toward lower tariffs which has been in place since the 1930s.
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White papersOctober volatility: It’s about discount rates not cash flows
The recent move in markets has been savage, with major stock indices all deeply in the red.
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White papersUS midterm election: potential economic agenda and market implications
In the upcoming US Midterm elections on November 6, there are high expectations of divided Congress, with the Democratic Party taking control of the House of Representatives and the Grand Old Party retaining control of the Senate.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: September 2018
Italian budget discussions are going to intensify as the 27th of September approaches, date of publication of the document outlining the new budget law and when there should be more clarity on the key economic projections and deficit targets.
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White papersThe Next Recession: Three Critical Warning Signs
Is the U.S. heading toward a recession? We examine three critical warning signs and conclude that the next downturn could be different from the 2008 crisis.
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White papersFed’s Fork in the Road: Even Higher Rates or Pause
Will the Fed raise rates seven more times through 2020? Our base scenario is for just two more due to record-high dept and the risk of a recession.
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White papersHedging U.S. Equities with Treasury Options
Equities might be in the late stage of a nine-year bull run, and with rising rates and a possible recession, the risks to being long-only stocks is growing.
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White papersTrade War Costs to Consumers, Companies and Nations
The trade war between the U.S. and China is showing no sign of abating. What are the costs of the tariffs to consumers, companies and the two nations?
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White papersDid Quantitative Easing Help Spur Growth?
As economies were struck down by the 2008 financial crisis, central banks resorted to quantitative easing to spur growth. Did the strategy succeed?
