All United States articles – Page 43
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Taking the Bite Out of High Yield’s Tail Risk
A new buyer has arrived on the scene of U.S. high yield markets, and it happens to be the biggest buyer of them all: the U.S. Federal Reserve.
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Will COVID-19 lead to sustainable change?
The COVID-19 pandemic has led the world into the largest social distancing experiment in history. A USD 2 trillion US government stimulus programme and US Treasury yields below 1% are all the result of the crisis. In addition, oil prices have fallen to below USD 20 a barrel as demand destruction has exacerbated the effects of a collapse in OPEC’s pricing policy. Will the world go back to ‘status quo’ when we exit this dislocation? Probably not. We believe the learnings from the ‘go-remote’ experiment are here to stay. The implications for the future of energy, real estate, work, education, health care delivery and so forth are vast.
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A Lot Of Bad News Already Priced In US Assets: A Gradual Approach To Exploit Market Dislocations
The US economy has entered a recession, induced by the social distancing and quarantining measures introduced to tackle the pandemic crisis. To monitor how deep the recession will be, we use both traditional macroeconomic data (eg, weekly retail sales, jobless claims) and big data (e.g., dining out, travel and box office sales, travel numbers and google searches for ‘recession’ and unemployment statistics). Both sets of variables suggest an unprecedented collapse in domestic demand.
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Fixed Income: Bringing the Economy Back from Life Support
What kind of recession will this be, and what kind of recovery will follow? Sonal Desai CIO - Fixed Income covers the difficult trade-offs in the US.
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Investment Grade Credit: Open For Business
The new-issue market remains available to investment-grade corporate credit, thanks to the swift and sizable monetary support from the Federal Reserve.
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High Yield Market Update: Volatility Persists
Christopher Kocinski, Neuberger Berman U.S. High Yield Senior Portfolio Manager, discusses the factors that have contributed to the volatility in the non-investment grade credit market and how his team has adjusted portfolios as spreads have widened.
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Macro Insights and Asset Allocation
Erik Knutzen, Chief Investment Officer – Multi-Asset Class Strategies, discusses the impact of last week’s Fed actions and stimulus package along with how this decline is different than 2008 in terms of markets and investment implications.
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Fixed Income: More Heavy Lifting from the Fed-While Congress Squabbles
Dr. Sonal Desai weighs in on today’s Fed action.
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US high yield: market volatility update
Markets including high yield remain unsettled as the difficulties of forecasting this unprecedented pandemic and the associated individual, company and government responses continue to develop. The purpose of this update is to provide some context on what is happening in US high yield and to frame a few things that we expect going forward.
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Unique Disruptions, Exceptional Measures
As we argued in our previous piece detailing the Fed’s 100bps cut and increased asset purchases, although the Fed had unloaded countless rounds of ammunition, additional firepower remained.
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US Economic Scenarios in Context of Covid-19
Given the fluid and fast-moving nature of the pandemic, calculating the impact to growth is challenging, but global agencies, including the IMF, are increasingly concerned that the world is likely to face a recession.
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Beyond the CBD: Sweet Spots In the Urban Fringe & Suburbs
The COVID-19 pandemic is unexpected and still rapidly developing globally which will impact the U.S economy and commercial real estate investments. The duration, scale and severity of the outbreak are still unknown. This report represents the views of Clarion Partners as of March 2020 and does not address any impact or potential impact of the pandemic.
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Emergency Landing to the Zero Bound
Two weeks after reducing its policy rate by 50 bps to 1.25%, the Federal Reserve met Sunday in lieu of its scheduled meeting on March 18th and cut rates by a further 100 bps, effectively returning to the zero lower bound. The central bank also announced a host of other measures aimed at supporting the financial markets, and by extension, the real economy.
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Fixed Income: The Fed speaks loudly and carries a big stick
Reaction to the US Federal Reserve’s dramatic action. CIO Sonal Desai, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income, calls the Fed’s response “massive and well crafted.”
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Novel coronavirus impact on U.S. commercial real estate
As a leading investor in all four quadrants of commercial real estate, Principal Real Estate Investors is uniquely positioned to assess relative value across the market. With heightening concerns regarding the spread of the novel coronavirus, we wanted to share our current thoughts on the potential impact on U.S. commercial real estate markets. The story is continuing to evolve.
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US Equity Valuations Rebooted by Coronavirus
After recent sharp declines, US stock valuations look more attractive, especially compared with bonds. While the current volatility is unsettling, heightened uncertainty over earnings because of the coronavirus crisis could create opportunities for long-term investors who distinguish between winners and losers from the shock.
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Fed May Cut Rates Further to Counter Coronavirus Headwinds
This week’s Fed rate cut helped steady financial markets reeling from the expected impact of the coronavirus on the US economy, and we think more cuts are coming—in March and beyond. The economy should rebound in the second half of the year, though at a lower full-year pace.
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Super Tuesday: Why It Is Important And What To Expect For Us Assets
On 3 March, 14 US states will hold primaries for the Democratic presidential nomination. Following Senator Bernie Sander’s good start and Senator Joe Biden’s landslide win on 29 February, the field is now narrowed to a two-person race.
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Checking in on BBBs
Improved credit conditions are reflected in spreads, but volatility may create opportunities.
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The Policymaker: The US response, green technology and climate regulation
Ken Alex, former adviser to Californian governor Jerry Brown, discusses US policy, carbon capture and storage and the need for regulation to combat the effects of climate change.