All Inflation articles – Page 52
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White papersShifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime shift
Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio1 returned around 19% on a one-year horizon, well above even the rosiest expectations of the recovery from the Covid-19-induced slump. The S&P 500 is up +100% from last year’s bottom – an iconic figure that says a lot about the buoyant market sentiment.
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White papersSpecial Europe Q&A: You asked, we answered
As a complement to the Special Europe report, we try to answer some of the key questions often asked.
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White papersSpecial Europe: Investing in the recovery
As the European economy is recovering from the largest economic shock of modern history, we are revising our growth and inflation assumptions to the upside. Although the path to recovery is uneven among member states, we believe the EU will see two years of strong growth while inflation should revert below 2%.
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White papersECB Policy and Bunds Are Set to Move
Ahead of the key European Central Bank policy meeting on September 9, we offer our views on what will likely change, what may not, and what it could mean for the Bund yield.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2021
Equities have remained buoyant over the past weeks despite some challenges (China regulation, Afghanistan crisis), primarily due to the exceptional earnings seasons in the US and Europe. Looking ahead, we identify three main themes: the spread of the Delta Covid variant, the deceleration of economic growth from its peak, and divergences in policies.
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White papersAll for One, One for All
Available data suggests that a balanced risk allocation to real assets may be the most robust way to mitigate the impact of upticks in inflation.
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White papersEuropean commercial real estate: play the re-opening with quality assets
The European economy is emerging from its worst economic slump since the Great Depression. As the vaccine rollout progresses quickly across the continent, mitigation measures and travel bans are being lifted, allowing growth to revive. As the European economy recovers, the real estate sector should join the rebound after a tough year, although the pace of this recovery will be uneven across sectors and subsectors.
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Research ReportClearing hurdle targets amid rising rates
For much of the past decade, the endowment and foundation community has expressed concerns about the challenge of meeting their spending requirements while maintaining funding levels in an environment of low yields and muted return expectations.
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White papersInflation Starts Trending Down (Slowly)
After weeks of markets pricing in our slower-growth scenario, the strong U.S. employment report kicked off a slight shift in the narrative.
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Asset Manager NewsSave the planet. Invest (responsibly) in property.
Long term investing in real estate has long been recognised as providing an important role in diversifying risk in a multi-asset portfolio – not only does it offer an attractive level of income but also a degree of inflation hedging.
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: Inflation - is it real?
From the ‘Great Moderation’ of the 1980’s, to the current day, the inflation environment has been relatively benign, with the policies of recent years mostly concerned with preventing deflation. However, as economies begin to rebound from the Covid crisis, inflation has ticked up. Is the current rise in inflation transitory, or could we see Central banks move to tighten policy?
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 - 2021
The first half of 2021 has been witness to exceptional growth in demand fueled in large part fiscal stimulus and waning Covid-related restrictions. Latest data release indicates the major economies may be at the onset of high-water mark of economic acceleration and the growth will slow down worldwide. Uncertainties of future cash infusions paired with ebb and flow from Covid re-openings are likely to be further headwinds to further short-term demand acceleration.
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White papersReconciling the Data and the Markets
Inflation is up, Treasury yields are down, and the recovery trade is on the ropes—we believe it’s all more evidence of a fiercely debating, two-way market.
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White papersTen for 2021—Midyear Update
Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they anticipated would guide investment decisions in 2021.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2021
The past weeks have confirmed that phase one of the ‘great recovery’ is now behind us. We have entered a new sequence: PMIs decelerating from their peaks and concerns about the spread of the Delta Covid19 variant are features of it.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives - July 2021
Financial markets rallied amid stronger-than-expected recoveries in many parts of the global economy and signs that central banks intend to remain more accommodative than had been widely anticipated earlier in 2021.
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Research ReportAEW Monthly Research Report - July 2021
As the post-Covid recovery takes hold, inflation has increased rapidly to 5% in the US and over 2% in Europe triggering concerns on future interest rates, as central banks could be forced to reverse their lower-for-longer policies to meet their restated long-term inflation targets.
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White papersDeja vu for CLOs?
Heavy supply around quarterly payment dates has led to predictable periods of spread widening in the CLO market—creating attractive relative value opportunities up and down the capital structure.
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White papersIG Credit: Flexibility is Key
While uncertainty remains around rates and inflation, opportunities continue to emerge across IG credit, including in areas outside of traditional corporate bonds.
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White papersThree Reasons for EM Corporate Short Duration Debt
While the potential for inflation and rising rates could create a headwind for EM debt, a short duration approach can provide an opportunity to pick up incremental yield and diversification, with less volatility.
