All Inflation articles – Page 57
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Technology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance
US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.
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Asia’s new era of sustainable growth
The huge Chinese economy is experiencing a ‘second awakening’ under President Xi Jinping, with a strong agenda for supply-side reforms and an emphasis on sustainable macroeconomic growth.
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The UK’s demise is overstated
UK equities reached all-time highs in 2017, but relative to world stocks (in US dollar terms) they were laggards.
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Japan: three reasons for a positive outlook
In recent weeks we further raised our allocations to Japanese stocks, with near-term catalysts.
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Inflation: the good, the bad and the ugly
Global inflation is heating up. According to the International Monetary Fund, the global consumer price index (CPI) is expected to rise from its recent 2015 low of 2.8% to 3.5% in 2017 and then hover around this level for the next five years.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: Fed & ECB - Towards a reduction in monetary accommodation
The improvement of global economic conditions will allow the Fed and the ECB to reduce the degree of monetary accommodation, each with its own scale: continuation of the fed funds rate hike cycle for the Fed and reduction of asset purchases for the ECB.
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Ten Years On: Is the World Economy Getting Back to “Normal”?
A decade ago, we got the first warnings that the US subprime crisis would go global. Since then, monetary policy has pushed deep into unconventional territory. How will it respond as the backdrop begins to look more “normal”?
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Global Investment Views: July 2017
CIO views: High conviction ideas from Amundi Global Investment Committee
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Are ‘linkers’ the best way to guard against inflation?
With rising UK inflation, questions are increasingly being asked about the best way to protect the real value of investments.
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Five Ways Populism Could Impact Investors
Economic insecurity, social insecurity and political ineffectiveness: these developments have fed a resurgence of populist policies in many regions of the world. We think there’s potential for major impacts on global capital markets.
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The long unwinding road of quantitative easing
The reasons for using QE and its effectiveness have been argued at length and this article aims not to discuss whether or not QE has worked, but to look at the likely next steps of central banks and how these could impact markets.
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Taking Control of Your Bond Market Risk
Rising interest rates. Stretched valuations. Populist politics. These are some of the challenges bond investors face today. They’re also reminders of why it’s so important to manage interest-rate and credit risk in an integrated way.
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The Fed Hikes Rates — but Faces a Dilemma
The Fed’s rate hike Wednesday was thoroughly unsurprising. But under the surface calm, policymakers are wrestling with a dilemma in the US economy that will be a major influence on policy ahead.
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Asset Allocation Monthly: May 2017
We have recently increased our equity rating to favour from neutral on the back of lower political risk and positive earnings developments.
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The emerging markets cloud receding
As US rhetoric on trade protectionism softens, investors are focusing on emerging markets’ fundamental attractions once more as productivity improvements and fast-growing young populations are driving superior economic growth.
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How should investors approach US infrastructure?
Improving and expanding US infrastructure involves more than building roads and bridges.
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Trumponomics: What could go right?
When it comes to policy, there are things that can go right and things that can go wrong – particularly so with Trumponomics.
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Trump unnerves Asia
The new US administration’s trade and foreign policy threatens to unsettle relations with Asia-Pacific nations. It is commonplace to say that the election of President Donald Trump has created uncertainty and nervousness among both US’s allies and its rivals.
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Southeast Asia’s credit stability
Credit rating agencies are optimistic that Southeast Asian countries will weather the fallout from developments in other regions. Southeast Asia appears vulnerable to several forces it can do little to control.