All Emerging Market articles – Page 41
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How the Pandemic Could Reshape Consumer and Business Behavior
What will the economic and social landscape look like in a post-pandemic world? Will the behavior of individuals as consumers and that of companies change once we leap past the consequences of Covid-19 and begin the process of restoration?
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China Recovers
China was the first economy to be struck down by COVID-19, but that means it is the first to recover—and its onshore bond and equity markets may be a good place to get exposure.
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COVID-19: This time is different?
While the COVID-19 pandemic may be unlike anything financial markets have experienced before, the past still offers valuable lessons for investors trying to make sense of the crisis, explains Euan Munro.
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A test of character for Europe
The contagion of the corona virus continues, but at a slower pace. In the first days of April the total number of recorded cases, now well over one million globally, was rising by about 8.5% a day, vs. 12% around 25 March.
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Markets Scenarios & Risks - April 2020
Covid-19 progressively moving global in March was a game changer for the global economy and financial markets. As policies responses to contain the damages of the virus became bolder, we re-assessed the narrative of our base and alternative scenarios. We changed the probability in favour of the upsides scenario to 30% from 15%, while the downside scenario moved from a probability of 30% down to 20% and the central scenario from a probability of 55% to 50%.
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Macroeconomic Picture - April 2020
Heading towards a sharp contraction in H1; H2 recovery shaped by the duration of the crisis and by the effectiveness of the unprecedented policy response, once the post-containment normalization phase starts.While a state of emergency has been declared by the President, almost all states are implementing emergency measures with various degrees of severity, from preventing gatherings to statewide quarantines.
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Oil Jumps, Jobs Slump, More Fiscal Help Coming
President Trump expects Saudi Arabia and Russia to cut oil production and prices surged ~25% on the news. Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits skyrocketed, doubling the previous week’s record and there is more talk of future fiscal packages.
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Uncorrelated Strategies Market Update
In this short video, Portfolio Manager, Fred Ingham provides an update on current conditions across uncorrelated strategies, offering his thoughts on both the short and longer-term impacts of COVID-19 on asset markets. He also updates on the positioning of Neuberger Berman’s portfolios.
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Coronavirus: the long-term impacts on emerging markets
Beyond the shockwaves, immense uncertainty and eventual recovery, each economic crisis changes the way society and corporations operate, leaving scars but also spurring innovation.
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Viral volatility: how Covid-19 is infecting sentiment
The stock markets are characterised by long stretches of calm punctuated by times of crisis – the most recent of which is the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Amid the rapid global spread of Covid-19, worries about economic growth have intensified and equity markets have suffered steep pullbacks.
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Pandemic panic: making sense of investor behaviour
The current market shakeout has caused extreme reactions among both consumers and investors. But are we wrong to suggest that investors are behaving irrationally in response to this coronavirus crisis? In this piece, we look at the market moves over the past month and consider how investors can use an active approach to confront their internal biases.
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Coronavirus – Weekly update – 01/04/2020
This blog is the first of a regular update on our COVID-19 strategy: our assessment of the virus itself and the public health approach for containing it; the economic cost of dealing with the pandemic and the policy responses to mitigate the damage; and ultimately the implications for financial markets and investment strategy.
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Are investors too complacent about the coronavirus?
In the latest of our editorial series, Link, AIQ brings members of Aviva Investors’ investment strategy, equity and debt teams together to discuss the prospects for financial markets and the world economy in the face of the coronavirus epidemic.
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COVID-19: When it comes to pandemics, investors should listen to the real experts
In early February, with financial markets oblivious to medical experts’ warnings about the dangers posed by the coronavirus, Ian Pizer of Aviva Investors’ investment strategy team began to look into the medical research to learn more about the potential outcomes and the implications for the global economy and markets. What he discovered raises questions about financial market participants’ ability to react to issues they don’t fully understand.
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How Could Covid-19 Affect 5G?
The way we live, work and learn has shifted markedly since the Covid-19 outbreak. With greater reliance on online resources, we see an increased demand for faster network speeds that could be enabled by 5G. How could the pandemic affect 5G rollouts? Where are the opportunities? Watch YT Boon, Director of Research – Asia, as he shares his insights on the demand for this service.
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Audio Insight: The Course of COVID-19
Terri Towers, Senior Healthcare Research Analyst looks at the current progression of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as her views on inflection points and treatment timelines.
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March Macro Dashboard
The global economy is in the throes of a recession as it battles COVID-19. GDP growth across the Eurozone and U.K. is set to contract in the second quarter. While China is beginning to lift restrictions, Japan is only beginning to crack down on social distancing as cases rise.
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Market stability improves, but portfolio questions remain
At this point, it appears the worst of the panic selling across global financial markets may be behind us. Thanks in large part to widespread stimulus measures, market liquidity has been returning, but investors remain unsure of how to structure and rebalance their portfolios.
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Swiss Life - Insights: March 2020
Political uncertainty, slowing economies and “lower for longer” – the topics discussed in 2019 continued well into 2020. Apart from Brexit, the US presidential election jumped into focus, while the trade dispute between US and China is still ongoing. For the Eurozone, we expect the economy to grow by 0.9%, slightly lower than the Consensus Forecast of 1.0%. This is marginally better than was expected.
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Covid-19 impact: European asset-backed securities
Trade opportunities emerge from price dislocations