Covid-19 progressively moving global in March was a game changer for the global economy and financial markets. As policies responses to contain the damages of the virus became bolder, we re-assessed the narrative of our base and alternative scenarios. We changed the probability in favour of the upsides scenario to 30% from 15%, while the downside scenario moved from a probability of 30% down to 20% and the central scenario from a probability of 55% to 50%.
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