All Emerging Market articles
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White papers2026 Investment Outlook
A spirit of endurance has characterized the market rally of the past year. This looks set to persist in 2026 as the global economy transitions to a new innovation-led regime and geopolitics enters a phase of controlled disorder.
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White papersMarket Outlook - Global equities: The great divide
US equity market returns are likely to continue diverging along the lines of technology and the rest of the market: the Nasdaq 100 index delivered a 50% return from the post-Liberation Day lows to the end of October while the Russell 1000 Value index rose by less than half that. That outperformance continues a long-running trend.
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White papersThree investment opportunities in a fragmented world
The world is undergoing significant structural change defined by rising geopolitical conflicts, trade barriers and a more fragmented global landscape. As this multi-year realignment plays out, identifying which companies can best adapt to the new framework is paramount to successful investing.
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White papersHuman Capital Assessment via Large Language Models alignment
In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, the concept of human capital has gained renewed interest, both in academic literature and in corporate strat egy, particularly through Sustainability reporting and Human Resources (HR) practices. As the world of work undergoes rapid transformation driven by the consequences of the pandemic, heightened geopolitical tensions and the acceler ated expansion of artificial intelligence, organizations are faced with a new set of challenges.
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PodcastPivot Points: Rediscovering Europe, Japan and Emerging Markets
Amid shifting global market currents, investors are reassessing where the most compelling opportunities lie beyond the US. Shifts in earnings trajectories, valuation dispersion, and evolving policy signals are reshaping the risk-reward across regions and asset classes, prompting a fresh look at how to balance exposures.
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White papersResilient Emerging Markets in the Great Diversification
Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainty, many emerging markets have demonstrated notable resilience, as recently noted by the IMF, driving strong year-to-date outperformance in both debt and equity versus developed markets. We believe we have entered an era in which geographic and sector diversification is back in focus amid geopolitical realignment, supply chain redesign and an intensifying technology race. This combination favours a reallocation to EMs at a time when these markets are supported by clear structural and cyclical drivers.
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White papersEmerging markets: The answer to more than one question
Investing often begins with a question. Precisely what that question is, however, will be determined by a range of factors – your appetite for risk, your investment philosophy or, perhaps most importantly, your time horizon. For example, if you’re comfortable making short-term calls on asset allocation and believe you possess the gift of timing the market, you might start by asking:
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White papersMobilising finance for sustainable transition
The lack of financing for sustainability transition across companies in emerging markets (EMs) has created a critical gap. With EM corporates facing limited access to dedicated funding pools, it is vital to channel capital into companies that are actively implementing ambitious and measurable sustainability initiatives. By supporting businesses on their journey towards sustainable practices, investors may catalyse positive environmental and social change while generating long-term financial returns.
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White papersWhy Emerging Markets Are Holding Firm on Sustainability
As U.S. interest in environmental, social and governance investing cools, companies in emerging markets countries are ramping up their efforts—propelled by investor demands and the pursuit of lasting competitiveness.
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White papersFed may cut further, amid weaker employment
At its September meeting, the Fed cut the Fed Funds target range by 25bp to 4.00-4.25%, as expected. The Fed’s economic projections showed the median Fed Funds forecast shifting to a total of 75bp of cuts this year, implying a 25bp cut at each of the remaining two meetings. This is happening at a time when both the ECB and BoE left rates unchanged, thus providing opportunities for global fixed income investors to play central banks’ policy asynchrony.
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White papersBack to school: from summer clarity to autumn’s changing winds
With higher-than-anticipated tariff rates across the board — averaging roughly 18% (about 3 percentage points above our prior baseline), with several exemptions — we expect a slightly stronger stagflationary tilt to near-term macro projections.
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White papersGlobal Emerging Markets Equity Outlook H2 2025
Despite various headwinds, we see compelling opportunities in emerging markets (EM), particularly for quality and growth-oriented investors.
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White papersIs It Time to Revisit Emerging Market Equities?
EM equities have faced significant headwinds over the past decade, but recent developments suggest a turning point may be in progress. So far, 2025 is proving to be promising, as EM equities have delivered double-digit absolute returns and have outperformed developed market equities.
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White papersAsset Class Returns H1 2025
Improved growth/inflation mix: Our long-term model assumptions anticipate a fragmented and even more delayed energy transition, incorporating secular trends and uncertainties that impact price dynamics and volatility. Compared to last year, the growth/inflation outlook appears less penalised by a restrictive regulatory framework around the energy transition, but the uncertainty around inflation has increased.
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White papersUS dollar slide pauses amid US-Japan deal
The dollar fell by around 10% this year, as on 22 July, mainly due to uncertainty over President Trump’s trade policies and concerns over US debt and fiscal deficit. Issues like the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates aggressively have also weighed on sentiment.
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White papersGEMs ESG Materiality, H1 2025
In the latest issue, we provide an update on our voting and engagement activity over the last 12 months, while also shining the spotlight on our GEMs biodiversity risk framework.
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White papersEM in trade finance: unmet demand and alpha potential
Emerging markets provide an ideal investment environment for trade finance, connecting underserved areas with a vital source of alternative capital, while potentially offering investors a compelling mix of risk and return.
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White papersPerspectives Emerging Markets
Perspectives Emerging Markets offers quarterly updates from our research team, providing in-depth analysis of economic developments, market trends, and investment opportunities in emerging economies.
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White papersChina: Bringing the Long-Term Picture into Focus
While Chinese equities have faced increasing scrutiny, we believe the long-term case for the asset class remains compelling—supported by technological advancement, policy support, a resurgent consumer, and attractive current valuations.
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WebinarTrade Turbulence - From Disruption to Opportunity
For over a decade, the US has dominated global equity returns. As ‘American exceptionalism’ comes to an end, where should investors look for medium-term returns? What are the ex-US opportunities in developed markets, and what are the prospects in emerging markets?
