All Emerging Market articles
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White papersVolatility and Opportunity
We expect the playbook for emerging markets to be one of volatility at the start of the year, transitioning to growth and opportunity as U.S. trade policies and China stimulus plans become clearer.
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VideoCIO Year-End Review and Outlook
Chief Investment Officer Sean Taylor provides a year-end update and 2025 outlook on what’s driving emerging market growth, a regional outlook on key countries, and the impact of the potential Trump tariffs.
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White papersAll eyes on China
“While the change in China’s policy stance is a significant development, we believe the market’s focus will shift increasingly towards the execution of these policies.”
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White papersOutlook 2025: Trumponometer
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papersEmerging Markets Debt Under Trump 2.0
EMD has been more resilient after November’s election than it was after the 2016 result—so, what has changed, and will this resilience last?
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White papersWhat does Trump 2.0 mean for emerging markets?
The shift on domestic and foreign policy under the incoming US administration presents a wide range of potential outcomes for EM.
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White papersA short-lived crisis with long-lasting implications: first take on South Korea’s political event
In a significant political development, South Korean President Yoon declared emergency martial law on December 3, 2024, accusing the opposition of engaging in “anti-state activities” and plotting rebellion. This declaration followed the opposition Democratic Party’s actions in the parliamentary budget committee, where they pushed through a downsized budget bill and submitted impeachment motions against key government officials.
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White papersWhere will returns come from? Pensions in a new economic regime
Where will returns come from? Pensions in a new economic regime
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White papersOutlook 2025-2026: Trump-starting the global economy
2025 may be characterised by divergence across the world’s main economic regions, around three dimensions: underlying growth, fiscal policy, and monetary policy
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White papersCan Black Friday ever be green?
With Black Friday, the retail event marking the unofficial start of the holiday shopping season, and other deep discount tactics rising in popularity, Premier Miton’s Fiona Manning considers whether e-commerce could ever turn green.
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White papersTrumponomics to provide new twists in 2025
The US election and the radical economic programme President-elect Donald Trump has promised to implement will heavily influence macroeconomic developments in 2025. While much of the course of the year from an economic perspective is largely baked in, reflecting the existing momentum (or lack of) of the major economies, ‘Trumponomics’ will affect all and provide new twists.
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White papersSeeking returns in private markets and emerging markets in a disruptive era
As pension investors transition to a new regime, one question has come to the fore: where will the returns come from?
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White papersPension Funds Letter 22 - New realities, new searches for returns
Amongst other things, 2024 will be remembered for being the year of elections. More voters than ever before, over half the world’s population, had the opportunity to express their vote this year. While almost all these votes have now been counted, what the different outcomes will mean both domestically and more globally is only likely to become clear next year. We wait especially with bated breath, to see how Trump 2.0 will play out around the world.
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White papersCentral and Eastern Europe (CEE): Back on the EM Radar
Higher Funding Needs Due to Elevated Post-Pandemic Fiscal Imbalances.
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White papersAn agile approach to credit – amid volatility and uncertainty
As we look ahead to 2025, the forces that drive global credit are rife with mixed signals and extreme valuations. As evidenced over the last year, an unconstrained approach to credit investing can utilise a tactical approach, which has the potential to generate alpha amid dynamic market conditions.
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White papersThe rise of regional connectivity in Emerging Asia
Asian economies continue to demonstrate robust growth, albeit at varying rates, influenced by sectoral and industrial dynamics (value chain participation) and policy stimulus measures.
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White papersOpportunities and Challenges of Trump 2.0
Chief Investment Officer Sean Taylor considers the implications of a second Trump administration for emerging markets.
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VideoWhat the U.S. Election Result Means for Emerging Markets
Chief Investment Officer Sean Taylor shares his insights on the challenges and opportunities for emerging markets under a Trump administration.
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White papersQuick take: Impact of US election results on emerging markets
In the wake of Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, we share some analysis from portfolio manager Kirstie Spence on the impact on emerging markets, focusing on expansionary fiscal policy and potential protectionism/tariffs.
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PodcastBalancing Act: Economic Policy and National Security in a Fragmenting World
Mark Esper, former US Secretary of Defense; Michael Spence, Nobel Prize-winning economist; and Magdalena Polan, PGIM Fixed Income’s Head of EM Macroeconomic Research, discuss the global economy, how national defense is influencing economic policy, the geopolitical factors impacting trade flows and emerging markets, and whether the peace dividend is evaporating.
