All Emerging Market articles – Page 6
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White papersEM in trade finance: unmet demand and alpha potential
Emerging markets provide an ideal investment environment for trade finance, connecting underserved areas with a vital source of alternative capital, while potentially offering investors a compelling mix of risk and return.
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InterviewMacroeconomic uncertainty? Emerging markets surprisingly resilient.
Geopolitical tensions and unpredictable US trade policies continue to unsettle global financial markets. Yet, many emerging economies are demonstrating notable resilience. Economist Maritza Cabezas and Tim Crijns, fund manager of the Triodos financial inclusion funds, discuss how improved local dynamics and increased regional cooperation mitigate the effects of global trade uncertainty. They also underscore the opportunities available to investors who want to make a meaningful impact in today’s world.
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White papersPerspectives Emerging Markets
Perspectives Emerging Markets offers quarterly updates from our research team, providing in-depth analysis of economic developments, market trends, and investment opportunities in emerging economies.
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White papersChina: Bringing the Long-Term Picture into Focus
While Chinese equities have faced increasing scrutiny, we believe the long-term case for the asset class remains compelling—supported by technological advancement, policy support, a resurgent consumer, and attractive current valuations.
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White papersMid-year Investment Outlook 2025
“Despite unpredictable policymaking, business resilience, and the reorganisation of global trade and financial systems, the expected rate cuts from central banks will create opportunities in global equities. We are focusing on themes such as European defence spending, US deregulation, corporate governance reform in Japan, and the ‘Make in India’ initiative.”
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White papersIndia and EM are winners of the rerouting shift
We maintain a positive outlook on emerging market (EM) equities for H2 2025, driven by recovering macro momentum, stabilising inflation, and central banks on an easing path. While growth remains positive and earnings decelerate to low single digits, the key narrative is the fading US exceptionalism, highlighted by a weakening dollar and declining trust in US policy, which enhances the attractiveness of EM through repatriation and diversification flows.
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White papersMacro brief: What could a China shock 2.0 mean for Europe?
High US tariffs make it more likely a bigger share of China’s industrial overcapacity finds its way to Europe. This would benefit European consumers by lowering inflation and boosting real incomes. But without any trade response from Brussels, it could squeeze domestic production and to counter that, targeted trade defence measures may be required.
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White papersEquity Outlook – More wind in the sails
The imposition of tariffs by the Trump administration puts more wind in the sails driving the dominance of tech and related sectors versus the rest of the market.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - June 2025
The art of policymaking is a lot about setting expectations against which all future decisions are assessed. When President Trump famously introduced his extreme tariffs on ‘Liberation Day,’ markets were obviously concerned. Since then, resilience in US labour markets, better-than-expected earnings, and trade war de-escalation have boosted sentiment. Risk assets have rebounded, and bond yields risen.
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White papersIndian assets have long-term allure as global rivalries intensify
Equity investors will have to cope with greater trade protectionism and regional rivalry, delayed climate transition, and technological transformation in the next decade. In our 2025 Capital Market Assumptions – which examine long-term return expectations for 40 global asset classes – we see shifting dynamics across equity markets, characterised by strong earnings growth in select regions, tempered by valuation challenges.
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White papersOil prices stop making sense
For the past few years, the expanded group of oil producers known as OPEC+ have tried collectively to stabilise crude prices by lowering production in order to dampen price volatility to the downside. But because several members of the wider cartel have different and conflicting fiscal and external financing priorities, efforts to limit output have not only failed, current production has increased. This would be newsworthy by itself, but is even more puzzling considering the potential impact of tariffs on global demand.
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White papersEmerging Markets: Finding Opportunities amid the Global Economic Reset
US policy changes look daunting—but emerging markets still have upside.
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White papersFour factors that could drive Chinese equity markets
Despite geopolitical, trade, and economic uncertainties, China’s stock market has emerged as one of the top returners globally in recent times. The MSCI China Index produced 10% in the first four months of 2025 and 26.5% over the past year, outstripping the MSCI USA, MSCI Emerging Markets and MSCI ACWI indices.
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White papersWhy Does Volatility Often Lead to Strong Emerging Equity Returns?
Moments of Extreme Fear Have Prompted Emerging-Market Equity Outperformance.
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White papersWhat would it take to see a sustained weakness in the dollar?
About a month after “Liberation Day,” the US dollar has shown signs of stabilisation, though it continues to soften against most developed and emerging markets currencies.
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White papersDigital disruption reshapes financial inclusion
About a quarter of the world’s adults lack access to affordable, quality financial services - but digital disruption is helping bring them into the formal financial system. Financial inclusion allows individuals to save and invest, while also supporting entrepreneurship and business growth. And for investors, these developments are opening the door to varied investment opportunities among banks and nontraditional financial services firms.
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White papersQuarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook – Q2 2025
Investors started this year thinking that corporates and governments were better prepared for a Trump 2.0 trade war. That proved not to be the case, so how should they be positioning amid the turmoil? Find out more in the latest Quarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook: ‘Dispersing the herd’.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2025
Topic of the month: Navigating trade war turbulence
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White papersThe uncertain reality of tariffs and the future of gold
“The trade war is triggering a shift that could alter the current international framework and call into question the US dollar and US Treasury’s safe-haven status.”
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White papersEmerging Markets beyond the 90-day tariff pause
President Trump has announced a 90-day pause on tariffs higher than 10%. However, in the meantime, he has further increased tariffs on China to 125%. In retaliation, China announced an 84% tariff on all US imports starting from April 10th. While the situation remains quite fluid, we will address some concerns from an economic standpoint regarding growth and inflation.
