All Emerging Market articles – Page 2
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White papersEmerging markets: The answer to more than one question
Investing often begins with a question. Precisely what that question is, however, will be determined by a range of factors – your appetite for risk, your investment philosophy or, perhaps most importantly, your time horizon. For example, if you’re comfortable making short-term calls on asset allocation and believe you possess the gift of timing the market, you might start by asking:
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White papersMobilising finance for sustainable transition
The lack of financing for sustainability transition across companies in emerging markets (EMs) has created a critical gap. With EM corporates facing limited access to dedicated funding pools, it is vital to channel capital into companies that are actively implementing ambitious and measurable sustainability initiatives. By supporting businesses on their journey towards sustainable practices, investors may catalyse positive environmental and social change while generating long-term financial returns.
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White papersWhy Emerging Markets Are Holding Firm on Sustainability
As U.S. interest in environmental, social and governance investing cools, companies in emerging markets countries are ramping up their efforts—propelled by investor demands and the pursuit of lasting competitiveness.
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VideoGemcast Episode 5: The Power of Principles
In episode 5 of Gemcast we are joined by Founder and CEO of Gemcorp Capital, Atanas Bostandjiev. Atanas talks about the importance of contrarianism, patience and presence, the founding principles of Gemcorp Capital and how important they are when working in emerging markets.
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White papersFed may cut further, amid weaker employment
At its September meeting, the Fed cut the Fed Funds target range by 25bp to 4.00-4.25%, as expected. The Fed’s economic projections showed the median Fed Funds forecast shifting to a total of 75bp of cuts this year, implying a 25bp cut at each of the remaining two meetings. This is happening at a time when both the ECB and BoE left rates unchanged, thus providing opportunities for global fixed income investors to play central banks’ policy asynchrony.
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White papersBack to school: from summer clarity to autumn’s changing winds
With higher-than-anticipated tariff rates across the board — averaging roughly 18% (about 3 percentage points above our prior baseline), with several exemptions — we expect a slightly stronger stagflationary tilt to near-term macro projections.
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VideoGemcast Episode 4: The 5 Golden Rules of Emerging Markets Private Credit
In episode 4 of Gemcast we are joined by Co-Founder and CIO of Gemcorp Capital, Parvoleta Shtereva. As a self-identified emerging markets lifer, Parvoleta reflects on her career and what really matters when thinking about emerging markets private credit, providing her 5 golden rules for investing in the asset class.
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White papersGlobal Emerging Markets Equity Outlook H2 2025
Despite various headwinds, we see compelling opportunities in emerging markets (EM), particularly for quality and growth-oriented investors.
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White papersIs It Time to Revisit Emerging Market Equities?
EM equities have faced significant headwinds over the past decade, but recent developments suggest a turning point may be in progress. So far, 2025 is proving to be promising, as EM equities have delivered double-digit absolute returns and have outperformed developed market equities.
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White papersAsset Class Returns H1 2025
Improved growth/inflation mix: Our long-term model assumptions anticipate a fragmented and even more delayed energy transition, incorporating secular trends and uncertainties that impact price dynamics and volatility. Compared to last year, the growth/inflation outlook appears less penalised by a restrictive regulatory framework around the energy transition, but the uncertainty around inflation has increased.
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White papersUS dollar slide pauses amid US-Japan deal
The dollar fell by around 10% this year, as on 22 July, mainly due to uncertainty over President Trump’s trade policies and concerns over US debt and fiscal deficit. Issues like the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates aggressively have also weighed on sentiment.
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VideoGemcast Episode 3: The Misconception Gap
In episode 3 of Gemcast we are joined by an external guest, Max van Baasbank, Director at Alpha FMC who joins Pranav Khamar, Portfolio Manager at Gemcorp Capital to discuss the results of our recent study, Unmasking the potential. The study asked 75 leading institutional investors about their outlook and appetite for emerging market private credit.
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White papersGEMs ESG Materiality, H1 2025
In the latest issue, we provide an update on our voting and engagement activity over the last 12 months, while also shining the spotlight on our GEMs biodiversity risk framework.
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White papersEM in trade finance: unmet demand and alpha potential
Emerging markets provide an ideal investment environment for trade finance, connecting underserved areas with a vital source of alternative capital, while potentially offering investors a compelling mix of risk and return.
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White papersPerspectives Emerging Markets
Perspectives Emerging Markets offers quarterly updates from our research team, providing in-depth analysis of economic developments, market trends, and investment opportunities in emerging economies.
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White papersChina: Bringing the Long-Term Picture into Focus
While Chinese equities have faced increasing scrutiny, we believe the long-term case for the asset class remains compelling—supported by technological advancement, policy support, a resurgent consumer, and attractive current valuations.
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WebinarTrade Turbulence - From Disruption to Opportunity
For over a decade, the US has dominated global equity returns. As ‘American exceptionalism’ comes to an end, where should investors look for medium-term returns? What are the ex-US opportunities in developed markets, and what are the prospects in emerging markets?
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White papersMid-year Investment Outlook 2025
“Despite unpredictable policymaking, business resilience, and the reorganisation of global trade and financial systems, the expected rate cuts from central banks will create opportunities in global equities. We are focusing on themes such as European defence spending, US deregulation, corporate governance reform in Japan, and the ‘Make in India’ initiative.”
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White papersIndia and EM are winners of the rerouting shift
We maintain a positive outlook on emerging market (EM) equities for H2 2025, driven by recovering macro momentum, stabilising inflation, and central banks on an easing path. While growth remains positive and earnings decelerate to low single digits, the key narrative is the fading US exceptionalism, highlighted by a weakening dollar and declining trust in US policy, which enhances the attractiveness of EM through repatriation and diversification flows.
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White papersMacro brief: What could a China shock 2.0 mean for Europe?
High US tariffs make it more likely a bigger share of China’s industrial overcapacity finds its way to Europe. This would benefit European consumers by lowering inflation and boosting real incomes. But without any trade response from Brussels, it could squeeze domestic production and to counter that, targeted trade defence measures may be required.
