All Emerging Market articles – Page 5
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2024
”The BoJ does not have the right conditions to hike in 2024 or 2025.”
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White papersCompanies and Climate change - An updated research application of the AIIB-Amundi CCIF*
The Climate Change Investment Framework (CCIF) was designed by the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and Amundi to tailor investment portfolios that actively consider alignment with the Paris Agreement. The CCIF considers the three dimensions of climate change mitigation and adaptation, and contribution to the transition to net zero.
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White papersCapital Market Assumptions 2024
Last year we enhanced our Capital Market Assumptions approach by including a social dimension considering the impact of rebalancing labour / profits on earnings. This social component was added to the climate change assumptions introduced in 2022, which evaluate how the future trajectory of the energy transition will affect the key economic variables driving our forecasts (GDP growth, inflation, productivity, etc.), and the way we model asset class behaviour – with regards to earnings growth in particular.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - April 2024
A resilient US economy (owing to consumption and wealth effects) and strong earnings expectations for the year are driving the recent upside in equities and increase in yields. Now, the big questions are whether this can continue given the already strong market movements, and whether these earnings expectations are credible?
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VideoEmerging Markets: Q1 CIO Update
Chief Investment Officer Sean Taylor provides a Q1 update on emerging markets, a regional outlook on how some countries are doing, and his thoughts on AI’s impact in Asia.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: The late-cycle environment continues to play out
Recent weeks have seen gains in the Magnificent Seven with rallies spreading across other sectors and US and European equities setting record highs. But how much longer can the equity markets keep rising and what has been driving this climb? Giulio Lombardo and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, take a closer look at the reasons behind this upsurge and whether we should expect a reversal soon.
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White papersQ1 2024 CIO Review and Outlook
CIO Sean Taylor says macro uncertainty may moderate in the coming months, placing greater importance on active investing for generating alpha in emerging markets.
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White papersThe year of EM elections
Analysis suggests that while fiscal and monetary policy tend to ease moderately during election years, there has been little broader impact on underlying macroeconomic trends.
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White papersPowerhouses of growth in South-East Asia
As we look into 2024, we like countries and sectors with dominance in either local macro strength or global exports. We already discussed India in our previous insight. Our two other country overweights are Indonesia and the Philippines. We outline the reasons why in the latest instalment of our outlook series on Asia equities.
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WebinarWebcast – The global macroeconomic outlook for 2024
In this webcast, economists from our Macro Research & Investment Strategy team give their views on the economic situation and outlook for China, the US, the eurozone, the UK and emerging markets.
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White papersMirror image: Will this year prove to be the opposite of 2023 for China equities?
Reflections on the many reasons behind our more buoyant outlook on Chinese stocks this year
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - March 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 7 March 2024
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White papersIndia in 2024: a trio of new positive catalysts
2024 will undoubtedly be a year of weaker global growth, largely led by the US and China. Yet we believe the combination of 1) a US soft landing, 2) slowing global inflation and 3) global monetary easing will mean riskier assets perform better. We believe strong returns are possible for Asian equities, especially when GDP growth projections are much higher for Asia ex Japan than for developed market peers.
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White papersDiscover Growth
Why we believe small companies present key opportunities to tap into the heart of innovation and expansion in emerging markets.
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Video2024 Outlook
CIO Sean Taylor shares his outlook for 2024, including his views on Japan and emerging market countries like Brazil, China and India.
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White papersEmerging Japan
Kathlyn Collins, Head of Responsible Investment and Stewardship, says a renewed purpose among regulators and pressure from investors is yielding breakthroughs in the governance and the capital efficiency of Japan’s-listed companies.
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White papersESG in China: A hidden opportunity
Done in the right way, ESG investing in China could present responsible investors with an edge.
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White papersAsia ex-Japan Equity: Letter to Investors
In our latest Letter to Investors, Jonathan Pines, Lead Portfolio Manager, Asia ex-Japan Equity, looks at the remarkably attractive valuations on offer at the present time, and the implications for long-term investors.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - February 2024
Disruption in the Red Sea is prompting speculation around inflationary shocks just as in the Covid era So, what differs today from the post Covid experience to make the impact more micro than macro and more regional and sector specific than global?
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White papersEmerging Markets charts and views: Winners and losers in a pivotal year for Emerging Markets
”The growth premium over Developed Markets is at its highest levels in almost five years, and is expected to continue widening next year despite the global economic slowdown.”
