Navigating trade war turbulence

Seven insights to navigating trade war turbulence

Navigating trade war turbulence

Key takeaways

  • As the global economy faces significant disruptions due to ongoing trade wars and tariffs, we believe it is crucial for investors to adapt their strategies to navigate this volatile landscape. 
  • While the situation is too fluid to predict accurate economic patterns, we believe a profit recession could arise due to higher costs, lower demand, and increased uncertainty. Although markets have focused on growth damage from tariffs, inflation risks are also rising. 
  • We have entered an era of structural shifts that will drive investment opportunities. Overall, we favour European fixed income and a highly diversified equity stance, while also continuing to balance the overall allocation with hedges and gold. 

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