Seven insights to navigating trade war turbulence
Key takeaways
- As the global economy faces significant disruptions due to ongoing trade wars and tariffs, we believe it is crucial for investors to adapt their strategies to navigate this volatile landscape.
- While the situation is too fluid to predict accurate economic patterns, we believe a profit recession could arise due to higher costs, lower demand, and increased uncertainty. Although markets have focused on growth damage from tariffs, inflation risks are also rising.
- We have entered an era of structural shifts that will drive investment opportunities. Overall, we favour European fixed income and a highly diversified equity stance, while also continuing to balance the overall allocation with hedges and gold.
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