All Global articles
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation – Q2 2026
Our quarterly Relative Value and Tactical Asset Allocation combines insights from our investment teams and the Global Economic and Market Strategy team to assess relative value across major asset classes.
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White papersCrisis highlights diversification
The year-to-date has been characterised by a series of geopolitical events. While markets largely shrugged off the US military action in Venezuela, the war in the Middle East triggered a sharp rise in energy prices, with knock-on effects across global markets.
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White papersFour scenarios for the future of AI
Artificial intelligence continues to evolve at a rapid pace. Models are improving, computing costs are easing and companies are beginning to report tangible efficiency gains.
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PodcastGlobal Direct Lending: Navigating Volatility, Seizing Opportunity
Bryan High joins the Streaming Income podcast to help put recent private credit headlines and market volatility into perspective
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - April 2026
With the Middle East conflict now entering its second month, high energy prices have produced knock-on effects across global financial markets. The US and European breakeven curves surged as markets repriced inflation expectations and the likelihood of central-bank rate cuts.
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White papersLNG Shock – but in a war, someone is always making money
In this note, Jim Wright, Fund Manager of the Premier Miton Global Infrastructure Income Fund, examines the reported damage to Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG terminal - a facility responsible for around 20% of global imported LNG - and the shockwaves it has sent through energy markets. He also highlights how rapidly expanding LNG capacity in the US and Canada positions North America to play an increasingly important role in supporting global supply in the years ahead.
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White papersAgriculture and forestry offer investors a path to biodiversity
Institutional investors increasingly view biodiversity loss as a systemic risk, yet investing in solutions remains challenging. The theme feels abstract, projects are small-scale and returns are uncertain. According to Karel Nierop, Head of Products & Solutions at Triodos Investment Management, agriculture and forestry offer a concrete way to start. “By linking biodiversity to sustainable land use, we present a solid business case with positive impact and returns.”
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White papersBeyond Bonds: The role Hedge Funds could play in portfolios
Investors over the past few years have had to grapple with elevated geopolitical challenges and uncertainty both over the direction and level of interest rates across the globe. While equity markets have attained record highs, albeit buffeted by the occasional bouts of volatility the same cannot be said for fixed income markets.
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White papersModeling and Forecasting of Large Unbalanced Option Implied Volatility Surfaces
Forecasting the option implied volatility (IV) surface is difficult with standard time-series models because of its time-varying granularity. We propose a new two-step real-time sequential forecasting framework. The first step fits the daily surface and can accommodate any underlying specification for option prices or IVs, including dynamic option-pricing models, nonparametric methods, and machine-learning techniques. In the second step, we sequentially estimate a dynamic IV model using an updating rule.
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PodcastIran: A temporary shock or a persistent shift? - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
The war in Iran has shaken markets and is threatening the stability of the global economy. As energy prices surge and the news flow comes thick and fast, this month’s host, Silvia Di Silvio, speaks to Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, to hear her thinking on the crisis and how it is changing Amundi’s investment views.
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White papersDiversification Without Complication: The Case for Global Bonds in 2026
After an extended period of declining yields and credit spreads, we believe the fixed income environment is becoming increasingly nuanced. Near-neutral rates, tight spreads and elevated macro and political risks require investors to tread carefully in setting exposures while taking a broader approach to maximizing the opportunities that will present themselves.
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White papersFixed Income: Why This Is Not 2022
The echoes of 2022 are loud but misleading. The macro still points to easing, not hikes, while the credit cycle begins to turn.
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White papersGlobal SMID Equity Engagement: 2025 annual report
The Fund has the twin aims of investing in and engaging with companies to generate both long-term investment returns and positive societal impact in support of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In this report we outline our progress during 2025.
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White papersMeeting the stewardship goals of universal owners
With the publication by EOS at Federated Hermes Limited of its 2025 Annual Review of engagement and voting highlights, Leon Kamhi, Head of Responsibility and EOS, reflects on three key trends dominating the global economy and how these are impacting stewardship.
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White papersPrivate credit and real asset debt: resilience through rate normalisation
Private credit, commercial real estate (CRE), infrastructure debt, and middle market direct lending have proved resilient across most rate regimes because performance is anchored in structure, cashflow durability, and disciplined underwriting - not in the direction of policy rates.
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White papersInnovation at work: building a resilient private market ecosystem
Private markets have entered a phase shaped not only by secular shifts, but also by heightened geopolitical uncertainty and growing scrutiny around risk.
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White papersRethinking resilience in private credit
For much of the past decade, emerging markets (EM) were viewed primarily as a high-beta extension of global growth. Allocators tended to treat the asset class as cyclical exposure, sensitive to dollar strength, commodity swings, and Federal Reserve policy shifts.
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White papersThe great risk reversal: why emerging markets look structurally different in 2026
For much of the past decade, emerging markets (EM) were viewed primarily as a high-beta extension of global growth. Allocators tended to treat the asset class as cyclical exposure, sensitive to dollar strength, commodity swings, and Federal Reserve policy shifts.
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White papers10 themes for private assets in 2026
A resilient but uneven backdrop favours private markets. As liquidity solutions and transparency improve and deal flow recovers, privates will increasingly compete with listed markets – but outcomes will hinge on sector selection, execution and capital‑structure design.
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White papersMapping the fallout: Iran, oil, and global markets
Macro impact: The Iran conflict and risks to the Strait of Hormuz do not yet warrant a major change to our base case macro outlook. Growth adjustments remain limited, inflation has nudged higher, and central banks are broadly in a wait-and-see mode, with policy rates expected to remain largely stable.
