All Global articles
-
White papersInvesco Global Fixed Income Study 2020
The Study’s interviews, conducted before the appearance of COVID-19, revealed a strong sense of caution among fixed income investors prior to the turmoil unleashed by the pandemic.
-
White papers
Climate Investing Moving from Conversation To Action
For decades, experts have warned that the physical, economic, and regulatory risks posed by climate change could mean significant losses for investors. Consequently, investors have been debating how to interpret and measure climate risk in their portfolios and what actions can help safeguard investment from a risk and return perspective.
-
White papers
Securitised credit: Where we’re going, there are no roads (part two)
Focusing on fundamentals, structure and valuation should help investors to navigate a future for which there is no precedent.
-
White papers
Multi Asset: a solid total portfolio approach for a complex world
An increasing number of institutional investors have adopted a total portfolio approach (TPA) as a response to the weaknesses of more traditional strategic asset allocation (SAA)-based methodologies. We believe the current crisis will reinforce this trend, as it is probably marking a paradigm shift in financial markets. This shift could be as important as the change in US monetary policy brought in by Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker at the beginning of the 1980s, which led to a long period of disinflation, lower interest rates and high asset returns.
-
White papers
The day after #5 - New Frontiers for Central Banks
Central Banks (CBs) are by nature more flexible than governments. Thus, they have been the most proactive in this crisis, reintroducing large-scale asset-purchase programmes financed by money creation (QE policies). With this pandemic, a spectacular change in economic policy has taken place in just a few months: fiscal and monetary policies have become intertwined, and this is probably not reversible. While governments have become the buyers of last resort, CBs are playing their role as lenders of last resort. How far can they go? We argue here that CBs are still far from being out of ammunition. Financial repression and fiscal dominance are here to stay. CBs will maintain low bond yields for an extended period of time to alleviate the burden on the most leveraged agents.
-
White papers
Assessing Climate Risk in Portfolios: Expert Roundtable
With climate change, portfolio managers face a new type of variable with diverse effects on economies, industries and companies. AB investors and experts from Columbia University and Willis Towers Watson weigh in on how to address climate change in the investment process.
-
White papers
Science and Investing: Addressing the Climate Imperative
Tackling climate change will require enormous amounts of capital—invested smartly. Climate scientists and investors can learn from each other, an idea driving collaboration among Columbia University climate experts and AB investment professionals.
-
White papers
Why Investors Need to Calibrate Climate Risk Now
The global climate is enormously complex, challenging investors to determine ground-level impacts on individual issuers. With climate change likely to accelerate, it’s time to ramp up analysis now—and not let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
-
White papers
Bullish and bearish COVID-19 developments for late May
Headlines tracking the scope of the coronavirus pandemic — such as new daily cases and death rates — may be driving investor sentiment. We’ve been monitoring key reports to gain some visibility into how much longer the crisis could continue. Here are the latest health and public policy updates related to COVID-19, developments that we consider either bullish or bearish, and the economic and market impacts.
-
White papers
Trajectory Monitoring in Portfolio Management and Issuer Intentionality Scoring
2°C alignment has become a major issue for climate-aware portfolio management. There are sophisticated initiatives aiming to predict corporate emission intensities from 2030 up to 2100.
-
White papers
Flattening the credit curve: A closer look at short-dated assets
There are few areas of life that COVID-19 hasn’t impacted and credit markets are no exception. Mhammed Belfaida explains how the flattening of credit curves has revealed a surprising anomaly.
-
White papers
Global Outlook - Real Estate During a Crisis
The outbreak of COVID-19 has quickly translated into a severe shock for the global economy and real estate markets. Near-term indicators of performance have turned sharply downward, and the situation is fast-moving.
-
White papers
Coronavirus – Weekly update – 27 May 2020
Exits from lockdown proceed with no major upsets / Stock markets remain cautiously positive / For now the ‘wall of money’ from central banks has quashed volatility.
-
White papers
In the wake of first-quarter reporting season, the consensus is probably still too optimistic
At -12% for the S&P 500 in the US and -35% for the Stoxx 600 in Europe, first-quarter results were hit hard by the pandemic, even though it had hardly begun by the end of the quarter. It is therefore a safe bet that results will be even worse in the second quarter but also that they will bottom out for the year. Even so, the consensus still looks far off the mark for both second-quarter results and for 2020-2021. Consequently, the positive impact from reopening the economy already appears to be priced in by far.
-
White papers
Markets scenarios & risks – June 2020
We maintain the overall pandemic narrative confirming the probabilities, assigned to the base and alternative scenarios.
-
White papers
Macroeconomic picture – June 2020
The coronavirus crisis has pushed the U.S. economy into a sharp downturn, with severe disruptions of businesses and mass layoffs. Unemployment has surged into double-digit territory (14.7%); confidence on both the consumer and business sides has plummeted; and consumer inflation has started to reflect the consequences of the lockdowns, with headline CPI falling to 0.3% YoY (1.5% prior). The timing and profile of the recovery are still highly uncertain, but we expect GDP to contract between 4.5% and 6.5% YoY, with inflation remaining significantly subdued, with significant risks of moving into negative territory during the year
-
White papers
Thematics Views – June 2020
As part of their toolkit to support the economic recovery during the Covid-19 crisis, central banks could implement yield-curve control. Although appealing, the implementation and exit risks of such a policy counterbalance the benefits, particularly in the Eurozone. Moreover, the impact on financial markets could be significant since chained risk-free assets could temporarily leave risky assets unsettled.
-
-
White papers
Why a systematic fundamental analysis is key for Global Equities
As countries around the world plot their way tentatively through the coronavirus pandemic, we ask our Global Equities team: has their investment philosophy changed during the current crisis? And, when the dust settles, will sustainability be of greater importance to investors?
-
White papers
Securitised credit: Where we’re going, there are no roads (part one)
Though we’ve seen global financial crises before, this one certainly feels different. Even the flux capacitor might not bring us back to where we were in January.
