All Global articles
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q4 2026
Resilient growth, persistent inflation, evolving monetary policy, and geopolitical uncertainty are expected to shape markets heading into 2027. AI-related investment remains an important growth driver, while rate volatility may create opportunities for selective investors.
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White papersOil shock; six months on, the EM debt bid remains strong
In April, we argued that emerging markets (EM) fixed income was better positioned to withstand the oil shock than it had been in 2022 and that we believed the asset class was poised for a strong rebound if de-escalation occurred within a relatively short time frame. De-escalation took longer than ...
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White papersOld ideas, new applications: the evolution of index and rules-based investing
In this article we explain how ideas with roots in the 1970s – from factor investing to the foundations of UBS HOLT – are being applied to modern index and rules-based strategies through new data, research and portfolio construction techniques.
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White papersEmerging Markets, Reframed
Within a few years, the United States could be spending as much of its budget servicing debt as a median high-yield emerging market country. It is a stunning role reversal — and a useful starting point for rethinking the case for emerging markets.
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White papersBeyond Developed and Emerging
Country classifications are often presented as labels attached to markets. In practice, they are de facto allocation decisions. They determine which countries enter a mandate, where risk is reported and how capital is allocated amongst developed and emerging markets.
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White papersRedrawing the map of sovereign investing
For much of the past two decades, the case for developed market government bonds at the centre of fixed income portfolios rested on three assumptions: inflation would remain contained, central banks would provide a dependable source of demand, and rising sovereign debt would be readily absorbed. Each now looks less secure.
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White papersFrom fragmentation to opportunity: EMD in a multipolar world
The world is undergoing a series of profound global shifts, a dynamic we have termed to as the Great Global Restructuring.
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PodcastReal Rates, Repriced Credit and the Case for a Short Fed Cycle
The Fed has turned hawkish, and the market is now pricing several more hikes. Our fixed income team isn’t convinced. Core U.S. inflation is still drifting lower, most of this year’s yield move has come from real rates rather than inflation expectations, and the disinflation case remains intact — all of which argues for a shorter path than consensus expects.
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PodcastInvesting in environmental solutions: Navigating a new era of resource scarcity
The global transition toward sustainability is facing a complex landscape. Geopolitical tensions and the AI revolution are redefining investment priorities. From the surge in energy demand driven by data centres to the urgent need for water security and food resilience, the environmental asset class is evolving rapidly.
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White papersFinal frontier: Six reasons to explore the space economy
Investor enthusiasm for space skyrocketed this spring when SpaceX launched its initial public offering (IPO) just weeks after NASA sent four astronauts to the far side of the moon.
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PodcastGoing the distance - Market perspectives into autumn - Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
After an eventful summer for the markets and policymakers, particularly in the bond markets, our podcast series regulars reunite to recap the major movements in the markets over the past few weeks. Listen further to discover what these market events mean for investors and our own investment views.
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White papersBond yields on the rise again
“Bond markets are under pressure now, but as yields rise, opportunities for investors to benefit from higher income are opening.”
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White papersUS vs. China: Who’s winning the AI race?
Thomas Edison had George Westinghouse. Apollo had Sputnik. Today’s artificial intelligence race between the United States and China may be the latest example of rivalry acting as a catalyst for innovation.
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White papersEmerging markets: One index, different destinies
For three decades, allocators have bought emerging markets on a narrative: faster growth, better demographics, and deeper integration into world trade. It was a convenient story, and it built a large asset class. However, treating EM as a monolith disguises the complexity inherent in investing in such a diverse universe and, in our view, limits your performance potential.
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White papersCapital Market Line: From Inflation Shock to Productivity Shock
Markets have navigated a series of inflationary shocks over the past few years, including Covid, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions, including most recently the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. While disagreements linger between the U.S. and Iran, neither has shown the appetite for full-fledged war.
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White papersAlts Alpha: Seeking out higher returns
The global real estate investment landscape is undergoing a significant transition. Following an extended period of ultra‑low interest rates, higher financing costs and more attractive fixed income yields have reshaped the risk‑return dynamics facing investors. In this environment, generating higher returns from real estate increasingly requires a selective, flexible and opportunity‑driven approach.
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White papersAI Infrastructure: Physical Barriers to a Digital World
In this paper, we explore the physical barriers that could have important implications for inflation, corporate margins and infrastructure completion.
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PodcastEM Debt: Still Undervalued?
Head of Global Sovereign Debt & Currencies, Cem Karacadag shares insight into the broad EM Debt universe and explains why spreads may be overcompensating for default risk.
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White papersCapturing the Energy Opportunity Downstream
Crude looks well supplied—but the fuels we actually burn tell a different story. Diesel, gasoline and jet fuel inventories remain near 2022-crisis lows, as disruptions to Hormuz shipping, Russian refining and Middle East exports keep the squeeze downstream. The real energy opportunity isn’t in the barrel of crude—it’s in the barrel you burn.
