All Global articles – Page 4
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation – Q2 2026
Our quarterly Relative Value and Tactical Asset Allocation combines insights from our investment teams and the Global Economic and Market Strategy team to assess relative value across major asset classes.
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White papersCrisis highlights diversification
The year-to-date has been characterised by a series of geopolitical events. While markets largely shrugged off the US military action in Venezuela, the war in the Middle East triggered a sharp rise in energy prices, with knock-on effects across global markets.
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White papersBetween Two Phases
Even if the U.S. ends its war with Iran in the next few weeks, it’s uncertain whether the Strait of Hormuz will reopen in the near term, likely keeping oil prices elevated. We outline two key phases to assess where we go from here.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2026
US foreign policy became the key variable for financial markets in the first quarter. As the Middle-East conflict expands, oil price shocks could become stagflationary, but it’s too early to know the magnitude. Our base case is that the global economy will remain resilient to this shock—as it has to many others this cycle.
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White papersTech’s resilience amid geopolitical tension masks growing supply‑chain fragilities
Before geopolitics moved to the foreground, AI was the dominant force shaping equity markets. By late last year, however, enthusiasm had begun to fade. Concerns around debt‑funded AI capex, circular investment dynamics among large tech firms, and elevated valuations weighed on sentiment. In February, those worries intensified as rapid AI advances threatened to disrupt incumbent digital business models, triggering a sharp sell‑off and raising questions about whether the long-running tech rally had finally peaked.
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White papersFour scenarios for the future of AI
Artificial intelligence continues to evolve at a rapid pace. Models are improving, computing costs are easing and companies are beginning to report tangible efficiency gains.
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White papersPrivate credit under pressure, but opportunities still exist
The private credit industry, now totaling $2.2 trillion in assets and growing, is coming under increasing pressure as the conditions that supported its rapid growth have fundamentally changed. Driven by strong investor demand for yield and the pullback of traditional bank lending following post-GFC regulatory reforms, private credit funds stepped in to fill the gap, benefiting from greater underwriting flexibility and a willingness to finance borrowers that traditional lenders were less inclined to support.
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PodcastGlobal Direct Lending: Navigating Volatility, Seizing Opportunity
Bryan High joins the Streaming Income podcast to help put recent private credit headlines and market volatility into perspective
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White papersWhat the global housing shortage (and recovery) means for natural capital investment
The world needs more housing, and the math behind that shortage is staggering. Across the U.S., Canada, Australia, the U.K. and the EU alone, an estimated 5.1 million new housing units per year are needed just to close the gap. For timberland investors, that demand tells a compelling story about where wood consumption is headed. Read the full paper to explore the connection between the global housing shortage and the long-term case for natural capital investment.
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White papersMacro Outlook Q2: The economy and markets
Global growth is holding up, inflation is cooling, but geopolitical risks are adding a layer of complexity that investors can’t ignore. From the ripple effects of elevated oil prices to what central banks do next, the economic picture heading into the rest of 2026 is full of nuance. Nuveen’s latest outlook cuts through the noise with clear, grounded analysis to help you make sense of what’s happening and what it means for your portfolio. Read the full update to stay ahead of what matters most.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - April 2026
With the Middle East conflict now entering its second month, high energy prices have produced knock-on effects across global financial markets. The US and European breakeven curves surged as markets repriced inflation expectations and the likelihood of central-bank rate cuts.
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White papersSustainable Global Equity, Annual Report 2025
AI offers transformative opportunities for sustainable development, yet its expanding resource footprint threatens to undermine those gains. In this report, the Sustainable Global Equity team assess why investor action will be crucial in driving AI efficiency and ensuring its growth supports a more sustainable future.
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White papersLNG Shock – but in a war, someone is always making money
In this note, Jim Wright, Fund Manager of the Premier Miton Global Infrastructure Income Fund, examines the reported damage to Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG terminal - a facility responsible for around 20% of global imported LNG - and the shockwaves it has sent through energy markets. He also highlights how rapidly expanding LNG capacity in the US and Canada positions North America to play an increasingly important role in supporting global supply in the years ahead.
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InterviewAgriculture and forestry offer investors a path to biodiversity
Institutional investors increasingly view biodiversity loss as a systemic risk, yet investing in solutions remains challenging. The theme feels abstract, projects are small-scale and returns are uncertain. According to Karel Nierop, Head of Products & Solutions at Triodos Investment Management, agriculture and forestry offer a concrete way to start. “By linking biodiversity to sustainable land use, we present a solid business case with positive impact and returns.”
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White papersBeyond Bonds: The role Hedge Funds could play in portfolios
Investors over the past few years have had to grapple with elevated geopolitical challenges and uncertainty both over the direction and level of interest rates across the globe. While equity markets have attained record highs, albeit buffeted by the occasional bouts of volatility the same cannot be said for fixed income markets.
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White papersMulti-Asset Views: Everybody hurts
These are the core investment decisions from this month’s report on our multi-asset investment views.
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PodcastManaging multi-asset portfolios amid the volatility
The Middle East conflict and the resulting oil price surge have left the global economy – and investors – on a knife-edge. If the conflict is short-lived, the cross-asset market reaction would be to reverse the recent fall in valuations… Should the war drag on, time will play against the global economy and price stability – a polar opposite scenario in which equity valuations would fall further.
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White papersModeling and Forecasting of Large Unbalanced Option Implied Volatility Surfaces
Forecasting the option implied volatility (IV) surface is difficult with standard time-series models because of its time-varying granularity. We propose a new two-step real-time sequential forecasting framework. The first step fits the daily surface and can accommodate any underlying specification for option prices or IVs, including dynamic option-pricing models, nonparametric methods, and machine-learning techniques. In the second step, we sequentially estimate a dynamic IV model using an updating rule.
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PodcastIran: A temporary shock or a persistent shift? - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
The war in Iran has shaken markets and is threatening the stability of the global economy. As energy prices surge and the news flow comes thick and fast, this month’s host, Silvia Di Silvio, speaks to Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, to hear her thinking on the crisis and how it is changing Amundi’s investment views.
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White papersBroadening perspectives: Top 10 with… Interview with Ulrich Keller on UGA Solutions
As investors seek broader diversification across alternative asset classes, Unified Global Alternatives (UGA) – Solutions is evolving to meet these demands with flexibility and scale.
