All Emerging Market articles – Page 36
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White papers
The day after #4 - Inequality in the context of the Covid-19 crisis
For several years now we have argued that the social theme, and in particular the issue of social inequality, was becoming a major issue for various global economies and for investors, both institutional and retail.
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White papers
Global Investment Views – June 2020
The dichotomy between the false market tranquillity and the high level of uncertainty about the length of the crisis and its long-term implications is striking. In our view, we are far from being out of the woods and investors should stay alert as current market levels are still pricing in a ‘too rosy too soon’ endgame. The race between the three cycles will continue.
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White papers
Not Out of the Woods
The discipline of scenario planning helps us focus on what has been achieved, rather than what we hope will be achieved.
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White papers
Structural change implications of the Coronavirus experience
As we sit here in the spring of 2020, looking out on our respective neighborhoods from our home offices, we’re well underway into another seasonal change. But unlike any previous spring season, 2020 has swamped us with unthinkable change. For far too many, this spring has brought dire economic and employment conditions.
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White papers
Forecasting the Next Decade: Navigating Uncharted Waters
Barings Multi Asset Group combines the underlying factors that will drive markets over the long term with today’s valuations to produce total return forecasts for major asset classes over the next ten years.
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White papers
Volatility, Tech & ESG: COVID’s Impact on Global Equities
COVID-19 has proved challenging for businesses—but opportunities have emerged, particularly for companies with business models built to capitalize on long-term structural trends. Dr. Ghadir Cooper shares her views on equity markets today and what to expect going forward.
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White papers
Prognosis Negative Amid Trade Tension Remission
Further criticism of China’s initial virus response may threaten additional tariffs and trade deals going forward. The E.U. appears to be a step closer to a common-issue coronabond and, U.S. high frequency data is pointing to some improvement in May.
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White papers
Coronavirus – weekly update – 20 May 2020
Exists from lockdown proceed with no major mishaps, leading the stock markets to still trade sideways. Progress towards implementing budget support is slow, which constitutes a potential risk and a source of volatility.
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White papers
Gemologist: can we adapt to the new climate normal?
Climate change will test our ability to avoid mortal danger more than ever before. Humanity’s ability to adapt, something we have excelled at, must again come to the fore.
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White papers
Global Emerging Markets: ESG Materiality, Q2 2020
Welcome to the Global Emerging Markets’ ESG Materiality commentary – a quarterly publication that demonstrates our engagement activity with portfolio companies and showcases holdings that are creating positive impact aligned to the Sustainable Development Goals. In addition, we explore an environmental, social and governance (ESG) theme and its implications for the asset class.
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White papers
Market Risk Insights: portfolio triage
In the Q2 2020 issue of Market Risk Insights, we provide our latest analysis of six key risk factors – volatility, correlation, stretch, liquidity, event and environmental, social and governance (ESG) – in order to help investors navigate the coronavirus sell-off.
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White papers
Emerging Markets Charts & Views - Market dislocation creating long-term opportunities
Two major drivers are shaping the landscape for EM countries: Covid-19 and oil dynamics. We are mindful that current events will have very significant negative effects on the economic outlook for EM this year, leading many countries into recession.
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ECB QE Monitor - April 2020
ECB programs: €1,110bn of purchasing power in 2020, or around €110bn / month by the end of the year.
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White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2020
In our latest analysis released at the beginning of the year, we had laid out our medium-term outlook as a correction of the business cycle, including an economic slowdown, yield curve inversion, a return to lower bound policy rates, and subdued inflation prints. The global shocks resulting from the eruption of the coronavirus pandemic have significantly altered the sequence of economic and financial phases, shortened the timeframe and expanded the scale of the ripple effect.
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White papers
Market weekly – Riding the digital transformation with US equities
Lockdowns around the world have boosted the uptake of new technologies, speeding us into an even more digital-centric future. US equity markets offer investors access to such disruptive technology. To hear more about the opportunities, Daniel Morris, our senior investment strategist, catches up with Pam Hegarty, senior portfolio manager and equity analyst for US equities in our Boston office.
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White papers
The day after #3 - ESG Resilience During the Covid Crisis: Is Green the New Gold?
Without a doubt, the coronavirus is shaking the financial industry like never before. This is not the first time the world has faced a pandemic of this scale, nor is the first time that policy makers, business leaders and pundits have asked: “Is it different this time around? Are we at a turning point?”
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White papers
The Stock Market Is Not the Economy
COVID-19 has damaged a lot of things, including the link between the S&P 500 and the U.S. economy.
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White papers
Market Commentary - Swoosh Recovery vs. Liquidity Splash
The exit from the lockdowns is proceeding cautiously. If anything the number of new cases globally has picked up over the past week, flirting with 100k on 15 May, the highest since 16 April (see our latest Facts and Figures, including new modelling). Scientists keep warning about the risk of relaxing social distancing too quickly. In the meantime the global economy struggles – we slightly cut our 2020 global growth forecast from -3.5% to -4%. The risks are skewed to the downside. The WHO reiterated concerns about a deadlier second wave this autumn and winter.
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Asset Manager News
Global Sustainable Outcomes - News & Views Q1 2020
This quarter has marked the end of the longest bull market in history after a decade-long recovery since the global financial crisis. Entering 2020, nobody would have predicted the “black swan” event that was to come, providing a lethal shot to both the financial markets and global economies.