All Emerging Market articles – Page 35
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White papers“The World’s Factory” Reopens
Just as Chinese manufacturers are coming back online, the rest of the global economy is still struggling to contain the outbreak. With overseas demand for Chinese manufactured goods weakening, where does demand come from? How might this affect China’s economy?
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White papersA New Cold War?
U.S.-China relations have been tested over the course of the pandemic. There are rising concerns that a potential decoupling of the two countries could usher in a new cold war, which may bring negative impacts to the overall global economy. How might this affect China?
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity commentary: Huhtamaki
The SDG Engagement Equity strategy focuses on attractive companies with the potential – through engagement aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) – to generate outcomes that benefit people, the planet and investors. Here we demonstrate how we are engaging with current holding Huhtamaki to create positive impacts on society.
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White papersHow to protect an equity portfolio with an overlay strategy in a market downturn
Dynamic risk management strategies (risk overlays) can be useful for investors. They are a means of reconciling their two main objectives: capturing the risk premia of risky assets to meet their long-term strategic goals, while still meeting short-term objectives such as limits on drawdowns or requirements for regulatory capital.[1]
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White papersMarket weekly – Do you have the equity protection you need? (podcast)
Equity bull markets run out of steam eventually, plunging investors into periods of volatility. The end of the rally that ran from 2009 to 2019 is no exception. Institutional investors are now negotiating choppy waters with instable markets, a health crisis and a global recession. They face the challenge of investing in equities to achieve their return objectives while respecting risk constraints and managing downside risk from the bouts of volatility that regularly affect markets.
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White papersCobalt mining in the DRC – reflections from the ground
Dangerous working conditions and human rights violations are among the risks faced by cobalt miners in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Late last year, engager Marcus Wilert joined an OECD delegation to the DRC to see the conditions first-hand. Here he reflects on some of the challenges.
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White papersA Moment of Solidarity for Europe
There is still much work to do, but the Franco-German-led EU Recovery Fund is potentially a very big deal for Europe.
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White papersPast Performance is Not a Guarantee of Future Results
When the world is changing so rapidly and profoundly, how can we trust the underlying data used in our investment models?
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White papersWhy June May Be The Most Important Month Of The Year
We’ll have a substantially better picture of how quickly global demand may recover.
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White papersMay Macro Dashboard
While supply is coming back, the demand recovery remains unclear. The damage in Europe is showing up larger than expected a month ago, but high frequency data showed some signs of improvement in May. China’s economy is on the road to recovery, though the path differs by sector.
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White papersWhy ESG Is Outperforming The S&P 500
Over the past year, the S&P 500 ESG Index exhibited returns nearly 3% above the benchmark S&P 500. This is impressive given the objective of the ESG Index is not to outperform the benchmark. Instead, it can offer a sustainable alternative to the broad-based S&P 500, with similar risk and return, while at the same time achieving a boost in S&P Dow Jones Indexes ESG Score performance.
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White papersCoronavirus – Weekly update – 27 May 2020
Exits from lockdown proceed with no major upsets / Stock markets remain cautiously positive / For now the ‘wall of money’ from central banks has quashed volatility.
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White papersIn the wake of first-quarter reporting season, the consensus is probably still too optimistic
At -12% for the S&P 500 in the US and -35% for the Stoxx 600 in Europe, first-quarter results were hit hard by the pandemic, even though it had hardly begun by the end of the quarter. It is therefore a safe bet that results will be even worse in the second quarter but also that they will bottom out for the year. Even so, the consensus still looks far off the mark for both second-quarter results and for 2020-2021. Consequently, the positive impact from reopening the economy already appears to be priced in by far.
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White papersMarkets scenarios & risks – June 2020
We maintain the overall pandemic narrative confirming the probabilities, assigned to the base and alternative scenarios.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture – June 2020
The coronavirus crisis has pushed the U.S. economy into a sharp downturn, with severe disruptions of businesses and mass layoffs. Unemployment has surged into double-digit territory (14.7%); confidence on both the consumer and business sides has plummeted; and consumer inflation has started to reflect the consequences of the lockdowns, with headline CPI falling to 0.3% YoY (1.5% prior). The timing and profile of the recovery are still highly uncertain, but we expect GDP to contract between 4.5% and 6.5% YoY, with inflation remaining significantly subdued, with significant risks of moving into negative territory during the year
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White papersThematics Views – June 2020
As part of their toolkit to support the economic recovery during the Covid-19 crisis, central banks could implement yield-curve control. Although appealing, the implementation and exit risks of such a policy counterbalance the benefits, particularly in the Eurozone. Moreover, the impact on financial markets could be significant since chained risk-free assets could temporarily leave risky assets unsettled.
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White papersIndia in 2020: Active Perspectives on India’s Evolution
In India 2020: A Vision for the New Millennium, A.P.J. Abdul Kalam and Y.S. Rajan detailed how India could become a developed country and one of the world’s four largest economies by 2020. Here, our team shares their thoughts about India’s potential.
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White papersWhy Have Chinese Stocks Held Up So Well?
China’s stock markets have been remarkably resilient. As the world’s second-largest economy emerged first from the virus-induced shock, corporate earnings downgrades were relatively contained while government stimulus was preserved for future use.
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White papersPreparing Chinese Holdings for Potential US Action
Tensions between the US and China are flaring up again, but tariffs probably aren’t on the table this time. With pressure mounting on Chinese stocks listed in the US, including those widely held in emerging-market portfolios, investors need to consider how to prepare for the mounting risks.
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White papersWhy a systematic fundamental analysis is key for Global Equities
As countries around the world plot their way tentatively through the coronavirus pandemic, we ask our Global Equities team: has their investment philosophy changed during the current crisis? And, when the dust settles, will sustainability be of greater importance to investors?
