All Emerging Market articles – Page 31
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White papersA Summer Setback in Jobs Doesn’t Mean a Double-Dip Recession
The odds are rising that July will produce a poor employment report in the U.S. Nevertheless, as long as Congress delivers a fourth stimulus bill that continues to support the incomes of those out of work, the U.S. economy should be able to continue its slow recovery.
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White papersVulnerability to Default in Emerging Markets
While emerging markets sovereign defaults are at levels not seen since 2001 this year, rapid policy responses are helping to avoid the worst—furthermore, we believe the corporate default rate for 2020 could be lower than in 2009 or even 2016.
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity commentary: Brunswick
In April, EOS at Federated Hermes published a white paper – Investor Expectations for Global Plastic Challenges. This set out the scale and complexity of the problem and offered investors ways to engage with companies in three key sectors – chemicals, consumer goods and retail.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views – August 2020
As we enter the summer, conflicting forces in major equity markets have led to a period of temporary equilibrium between fear(risk of second wave, low bond yields, high gold prices) and greed (equities rallying as a result of economies reopening). The big question for investors now is: where do we go from here?
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White papersThe Case for US Equities in Global Portfolios
The post-pandemic market reality accentuates the attractiveness of the US stock market. Similar to the period after the Great Financial Crisis, we believe the medium-to-long-term landscape once again favors companies with records of large-cap secular growth, stability and defensiveness. These characteristics define a much higher proportion of the US market relative to the rest of the world resulting in what we believe may be a more optimistic outlook for US equities.
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White papersThe Dog That Hasn’t Barked (Yet)
As the U.S.-China relationship unravels, it’s telling that both sides are still sticking with the modest “Phase One” Deal.
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White papersEU agreement: a powerful answer that can lift further EU assets and ESG investing
The agreement reached among EU leaders at the end of the longest European Council in history to mobile a comprehensive package of €1 824 bn – including the Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) and the Next Generation EU (NGEU) instrument – is a significant achievement and a net positive in the short term for EU assets.
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Asset Manager NewsQ&A: Germany set to shine spotlight on supply chains
The country is poised to increase scrutiny on human rights and eco standards within business. As investors, the investigation of environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks form an essential component of our bottom-up investment analysis
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White papersESG in Mining: A Quiet Revolution is Surfacing
There’s a quiet revolution underway in mining that is delivering more change than it has seen in centuries. Investors, like many observers, have long had a negative view of the environmental, social and governance (ESG) records of the mining industry.
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White papersThe day after #10 - Rethinking the macro and cross-asset research: what we have learned from the Covid-19 crisis
Crises create disruption and Covid-19 is no exception, bringing new complexities, new opportunities and new risks to the investment landscape.
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White papersCOVID-19 Cases May Curtail Consumer Demand
U.S. retail sales rose in June to realign with pre-crisis levels, though tightening restrictions and rising COVID-19 cases following the data seem to be weighing on spending. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to improve in July, and a new trade deal is in the works.
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White papersHow Will Economics & Politics Shape Markets in H2 2020?
Dr. Christopher Smart, Head of the Barings Investment Institute, discusses the second half outlook including views on the current recovery, U.S./China trade skirmishes and the U.S. presidential election. Don’t miss his 10 one-word answers to our most difficult questions.
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Asset Manager NewsPandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends
We now have a two-speed economy, and much talk about a disconnect between stock market and economy. But this won’t change our research and stock picking focus
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White papersFast fashion during the pandemic
As global lockdowns forced high-street clothing shops to shut earlier this year, fast fashion has been under severe pressure. The coronavirus crisis has resulted in a slump in demand for new clothes, which has had a ripple effect across the industry’s international supply chains.
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White papersThe hottest equity themes in a post-pandemic world
It is already clear that the 2020 pandemic has given rise to a cycle of low growth and high debt. In this setting, value added will likely be generated more effectively by actively picking equity investments and doing so with a high dose of conviction. We believe that to find the incongruities in performance between the top companies and the others, investors need to be highly selective.
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White papersTime to play a cyclical recovery in European equity
Cyclical conditions are turning more positive for Europe. Easing geopolitical risk and the prospect of massive fiscal resources (national and EU-wide) and monetary support could support a recovery in 2021. The improved sentiment could benefit European assets, equities in particular, that have been a laggard due to the pandemic. This could lead to a catch up of EU equities in relative terms vs other markets.
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White papersThere’s More Than Huawei To Find Conflict With China
Growing tensions with China could lead to decisive reactions from Donald Trump and now Boris Johnson. U.S. retail sales are expected to improve in June, and the ECB will likely be in wait-and-see mode to assess the monetary measures it has already taken.
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White papersEmerging market equities – Assessing the regional prospects
Even if we expect emerging market equities to outperform their developed market peers, country and sector differences, as always, will be significant.
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White papersECB QE Monitor – June 2020
ECB strengthened its intention to make its action long-term: The ECB revised its medium-term inflation target substantially on the downside. Core inflation is forecast to reach only 0.9% in 2022 (0.8% in 2020, 0.7% in 2021). The ECB justified the adjustment of the size of the PEPP by ...
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White papersImproving the Robustness of Trading Strategy Backtesting with Boltzmann Machines and Generative Adversarial Networks
In this article, we explore generative models in order to build a market generator. The underlying idea is to simulate artificial multi-dimensional financial time series, whose statistical properties are the same as those observed in the financial markets. In particular, these synthetic data must preserve the first four statistical moments (mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis), the stochastic dependence between the different dimensions (copula structure) and across time (autocorrelation function).
