All Emerging Market articles – Page 31
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White papersWhen will we learn our lesson on pandemics?
Part 1 of our series exploring the potential source of the next global crisis
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White papersThe Economist: John Kay
AIQ speaks to economist and author John Kay about risk, uncertainty and the longer-term implications of the coronavirus pandemic.
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White papersWill COVID-19 concentrate corporate power
The fallout from the coronavirus pandemic could see large firms cement their dominance over weaker rivals. We examine the implications for investors.
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Asset Manager NewsQ&A: Germany set to shine spotlight on supply chains
The country is poised to increase scrutiny on human rights and eco standards within business. As investors, the investigation of environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks form an essential component of our bottom-up investment analysis
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White papersESG in Mining: A Quiet Revolution is Surfacing
There’s a quiet revolution underway in mining that is delivering more change than it has seen in centuries. Investors, like many observers, have long had a negative view of the environmental, social and governance (ESG) records of the mining industry.
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White papersThe day after #10 - Rethinking the macro and cross-asset research: what we have learned from the Covid-19 crisis
Crises create disruption and Covid-19 is no exception, bringing new complexities, new opportunities and new risks to the investment landscape.
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White papersCOVID-19 Cases May Curtail Consumer Demand
U.S. retail sales rose in June to realign with pre-crisis levels, though tightening restrictions and rising COVID-19 cases following the data seem to be weighing on spending. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to improve in July, and a new trade deal is in the works.
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White papersHow Will Economics & Politics Shape Markets in H2 2020?
Dr. Christopher Smart, Head of the Barings Investment Institute, discusses the second half outlook including views on the current recovery, U.S./China trade skirmishes and the U.S. presidential election. Don’t miss his 10 one-word answers to our most difficult questions.
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Asset Manager NewsPandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends
We now have a two-speed economy, and much talk about a disconnect between stock market and economy. But this won’t change our research and stock picking focus
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White papersFast fashion during the pandemic
As global lockdowns forced high-street clothing shops to shut earlier this year, fast fashion has been under severe pressure. The coronavirus crisis has resulted in a slump in demand for new clothes, which has had a ripple effect across the industry’s international supply chains.
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White papersThe hottest equity themes in a post-pandemic world
It is already clear that the 2020 pandemic has given rise to a cycle of low growth and high debt. In this setting, value added will likely be generated more effectively by actively picking equity investments and doing so with a high dose of conviction. We believe that to find the incongruities in performance between the top companies and the others, investors need to be highly selective.
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White papersTime to play a cyclical recovery in European equity
Cyclical conditions are turning more positive for Europe. Easing geopolitical risk and the prospect of massive fiscal resources (national and EU-wide) and monetary support could support a recovery in 2021. The improved sentiment could benefit European assets, equities in particular, that have been a laggard due to the pandemic. This could lead to a catch up of EU equities in relative terms vs other markets.
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White papersThere’s More Than Huawei To Find Conflict With China
Growing tensions with China could lead to decisive reactions from Donald Trump and now Boris Johnson. U.S. retail sales are expected to improve in June, and the ECB will likely be in wait-and-see mode to assess the monetary measures it has already taken.
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White papersEmerging market equities – Assessing the regional prospects
Even if we expect emerging market equities to outperform their developed market peers, country and sector differences, as always, will be significant.
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White papersECB QE Monitor – June 2020
ECB strengthened its intention to make its action long-term: The ECB revised its medium-term inflation target substantially on the downside. Core inflation is forecast to reach only 0.9% in 2022 (0.8% in 2020, 0.7% in 2021). The ECB justified the adjustment of the size of the PEPP by ...
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White papersImproving the Robustness of Trading Strategy Backtesting with Boltzmann Machines and Generative Adversarial Networks
In this article, we explore generative models in order to build a market generator. The underlying idea is to simulate artificial multi-dimensional financial time series, whose statistical properties are the same as those observed in the financial markets. In particular, these synthetic data must preserve the first four statistical moments (mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis), the stochastic dependence between the different dimensions (copula structure) and across time (autocorrelation function).
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White papersThe day after #9 - Covid-19 crisis, a catalyst for change and strengthening the EU
The Conference on the Future of Europe, planned earlier this year, will probably open in September in a very different context than initially expected. Who will chair it and whether a new treaty for the union will be on the agenda remains unclear, but the need to address repositioning Europe post the Covid-19 pandemic is clear.
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White papersRecord US Index Concentration Adds Hazards for Investors
US growth companies led the second-quarter rebound, fueled by the five largest technology and new media stocks, which now comprise more than a third of the Russell 1000 Growth Index (R1000G). Investors should be alert to the risks of high benchmark concentration.
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White papersLopsided Equity Rally Highlights Growing Market Risks
Global equities rebounded sharply in the second quarter, driven by massive stimulus efforts and progress in the fight against the coronavirus. But investors face new risks in the third quarter as companies and countries count the costs of the pandemic and cope with the threat of a second wave of contagion.
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White papersAsia ex-Japan Strategy Update: June 2020
The current economic environment is in many respects unprecedented. In the last century, perhaps with the exception of the world wars, almost all financial crises have been ‘financial’ in nature. Today’s crisis is different: it is not just about ownership or claims on assets, it is a public health crisis. When the coronavirus pandemic eventually recedes, what will a recovery in equities look like?
