All Emerging Market articles – Page 28
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White papersGCC/MENA Bond Market Update
October saw general weakness in global equities, led by a decline in developed markets, while emerging market equities advanced. Bond markets also posted mixed performance. A rise in US rates—even though a further fiscal stimulus deal could not be agreed—was an important theme. Markets also paid close attention to campaigning and poll data in the run-up to the US presidential election.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook - Q4 2020
With a sharp market recovery since early in the pandemic, spreads on many fixed income securities have narrowed to close to pre-crisis lows. Economies are generally regaining strength, but their trajectory could be heavily influenced by the coronavirus, the potential for vaccines and political uncertainty.
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White papersThe Four U.S. Election Scenarios with Erik Knutzen
As we approach the 2020 U.S. election and its upcoming result, Erik Knutzen, CIO—Multi-Asset Class, dives into the possible scenarios and discusses the economic implications of what could happen with each hypothetical outcome.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 2020
As noted in our previous reports the much-awaited global recovery from the onset of Covid-19 is facing significant headwinds. As the fallout from the crisis becomes clearer in scope and view, ensuing challenges remain daunting. The interplay between the factors will continue to evolve having an effect in the short and medium-term, the monitoring of these relationships will remain at the forefront of future communications.
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White papersAnything But 20-20 Vision…
Advanced estimates show easing of COVID restrictions led U.S. GDP to soar as second waves have hit Europe and new government restrictions are being implemented. U.S. Election Day is Tuesday; watch Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina—key swing states that may indicate the winner.
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White papersOutlook Upgraded, But Still Not in First Class…
The IMF upgraded their 2020 growth outlook due to better-than-anticipated U.S. and euro area 2Q20 GDP, but noted a long and uneven recovery. Global flash PMIs will likely show differentiation by region next week, and Brexit negotiations are expected to continue into November.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2020
Developments on the virus and vaccine front and the US election are hot topics. Markets are pricing in a glass-half-full scenario, despite the still-alarming infection numbers on the virus front (second wave in Europe and record new cases globally). The interconnection of the three cycles — virus, real economy and financial — continues, but the virus transmission mechanism is changing.
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White papersThe “Not Quite” Recovery Meets the Second Wave
The recovery this summer was vibrant. Cheap credit and accumulated savings were used to satisfy pent-up demand, resulting in strong activity. U.S. consumers are showing up; the EU governments keep having the economy’s back; and in Asia, economies are full steam ahead.
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White papersElection countdown: A Trump opening after the final Presidential debate?
President Donald Trump and Former Vice President Joe Biden met in Nashville, Tennessee on Thursday 23 October for the final presidential debate. This is an important milestone in the campaign, and early indications the morning after the debate are that while both camps felt proud of their performance, it may persuade some undecided and GOP-leaning independent voters back to the Trump fold.
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White papersInvestment Impact of 2020 Elections
The 2020 US presidential and congressional elections are fast approaching and the global market outlook is already hazy in light of the COVID-19 pandemic. We are likely to find more policy and political turbulence through Inauguration Day than we have faced in past elections.
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White papersMoving the Needle
The U.S. election will be big news in November, but news on coronavirus vaccines will probably “move the needle” more for markets.
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White papersChoosing Trump or Biden
Investors will benefit from supportive policy under either outcome, but the impact on specific industries is much harder to predict.
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White papersPositioning for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election: An Update
Undeniably, 2020 has been an eventful year and the fireworks are likely not yet over. Amidst rising COVID-19 infections and a stuttering economic recovery, investors are preparing for the U.S. Presidential election. While this election may be one of the most contentious in U.S. history, investors should remember that that once the elections pass, much of this noise typically quiets and risk assets are able to resume a trajectory dictated by fundamentals.
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White papersMarking UN Day
As a leader in sustainability and investment, on UN Day we’re supporting companies’ efforts to build back better from the pandemic and create a positive societal and environmental impact.
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White papersWhen the chips are down: the outlook for semiconductors
After a challenging 2019, the semiconductor manufacturing sector was placed under even more pressure by the exogenous shock of the coronavirus pandemic. Yet the industry has staged an impressive recovery and our Global Emerging Markets team retains a positive long-term view on the sector, arguing that technology trends will quickly reheat any cooling demand for global chips.
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White papersDisruptive Forces: 2020 U.S. Election Special
Economic policy, geopolitical issues, COVID-19 crisis and a supreme court nominee, to name a few, all come into play when it comes to the next president of the United States. The choice that Americans face in the upcoming election will impact not only the next four years in the United States but could impact the world at large.
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White papersCoronavirus: what now for economies and markets?
It’s been a tumultuous time for investors everywhere. Momentum is the key when looking at future prospects for stock markets and employment prospects across the continent.
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White papersWhat the US election means for markets … and what it doesn’t!
While every US presidential election is contentious, this year’s race seems especially divisive. Partisanship is extreme, and the difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in approach, personality and behaviour is stark. The charged rhetoric may increase the uncertainty and anxiety for investors as we approach election day. Most recently we saw evidence of this anxiety as the market reacted to news of President Trump’s positive Covid-19 test.
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White papersFranklin Templeton Investment Solutions: Allocation Views
We are growing more accustomed to the strange new landscape left behind after the COVID-19 recession. The virus threat remains very real, with notable flare-ups in Europe more recently, even as populations get more used to dealing with it. Optimism over an eventual vaccine and improved treatments is balanced by the realization that even on the most optimistic timetable, we remain a long way from a full return to normality.
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White papersWhy this time may be different for Chinese equities
In the past, China’s stock markets were prone to boom and bust. After a rally that has seen the CSI 300 index rise by around 17% since March, David Choa, Head of BNP Paribas Asset Management’s Greater China Equities team in Hong Kong, explains why this time may be different for China’s equity markets.
