All Emerging Market articles – Page 27
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Solving for 2021
With shifting political dynamics, and pandemic numbers spiking even as we receive good news on vaccines, we believe the range of pathways through this unprecedented period continues to warrant strategic navigation.
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US 2020 Election Investment Pulse: Resilience And Vulnerability In Emerging Markets
The US elections have implications for emerging markets in the area of global trade relations in particular, but for investors, it’s important to look at countries and companies individually within the asset class, according to Portfolio Manager Andrew Ness. He joins our Head of Equities Stephen Dover to discuss how emerging markets are navigating today’s challenges—including the COVID-19 pandemic—and note they are home to some of the most innovative and resilient companies in the world.
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Solving for 2021: The world after the coronavirus
As we approach the end of the year and look forward to 2021, our senior investment leaders will share what they envision as the main market drivers in our Solving for 2021 series.
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Investor’s Guide to the Second-Most Important Economic Challenge
After the pandemic recovery, the U.S.-China relationship will move into ever-more complicated and uncharted territory.
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Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions Allocation Views
In recent weeks, as uncertainty clouded the economic outlook, we tried to look ahead to what would matter in the following months and through next year. We focused on the need for governments to deliver fiscal stimulus to support and sustain economic recovery. We agreed with the leading central bankers who, as we have noted in Allocation Views throughout this year, have called for greater coordination of fiscal and monetary policy.
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Don’t Just Follow The Ball
Careful investors know to look where no one else is looking. This week is no exception.
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The Election Is Finally Here: But What Does It Mean?
How will the election shift U.S. economic policy? Will Biden reshape American infrastructure, energy production and healthcare? How does a second Trump term differ from his first? The Investment Institute hosted public and private markets investors to examine the November 3 vote.
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France Outlook
In Q3 France posted a major surprise, with its 18.2% QoQ rise in GDP beating both consensus and our expectations, and leaving the French economy only about 4.0% below pre-Covid levels. But with the second wave and the new lockdown taking a toll on activity and sentiment, we now expect a new contraction of 3.3% QoQ in Q4. This will be followed by a slow and uneven recovery, which will reach full traction only from Q2 2021, when we assume restrictions will be fully lifted. In the meantime, a ‘stop and go’ process may take place, making the recovery path bumpier and more uncertain.
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Microfinance: why grass roots EM investing has proved resilient
As the pandemic unfolded, concerns arose that it could be crippling for some emerging markets, but many have been surprisingly robust. The microfinance experts at BlueOrchard explain why.
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2020 post-election analysis: Biden wins, but the United States remains divided
Former Vice President Joe Biden defeated President Trump to become the 46th President of the United States. While Trump has not conceded yet, he became only the third President to fail to win re-election since World War II. In the end, the election was a referendum on Trump as a man rather than an indictment of his policies. A political realignment is underway, with GOP emerging as a working-class party and dominating the vote in rural areas, while the ‘Blue wall’ of the Midwestern states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin has become competitive for both parties.
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An Election Update and Market Outlook with Joe Amato
Stephanie Luedke, Head of Private Wealth Management leads a discussion with Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer – Equities for an update on the U.S. election and the markets after a historic week.
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An Election Update and Market Outlook with Charles Kantor
Given the uncertainty of the political landscape, Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Equity Portfolio Manager, shares his perspective on investment implications as a result of the U.S. election.
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Don’t Forget the Winners & Losers that Weren’t on the Ballot
Beyond all the victorious and defeated candidates, the U.S. election marked some fresh directions that investors need to watch.
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Special Edition: The U.S. Votes: Our First Response
The U.S. has voted in the midst of arguably the most challenging environment for generations. Here’s our first take on the likely result and what it could mean for investors.
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US election: no winner yet, markets moving from a Blue Wave to a possible Trump trade
At the time of writing, the result remains unclear and prudence is needed as the race is close Biden 238 - Trump 213 (270 to win).We expect an 85% likelihood of knowing the winner within ten days. The winner of the election is likely to be determined sometimes during the next few days as three battleground states, Michigan, Pennsylvania (6 November: deadline for mail-in ballots to be received in Pennsylvania) and Wisconsin, complete the long process of counting large numbers of ballots that were sent by mail as a result of Covid-19.
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Addressing the legacy of the crisis in the EM: the right policy mix in an uneven recovery
The duration of the epidemic will ultimately determine the shape of recovery. An uneven recovery and subdued inflation (barring any persistent supply shock) will call for a prolonged accommodative policy mix, in either monetary or fiscal policy. The merger of the two has to be careful monitored in emerging markets.
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Macroeconomic picture - November 2020
The US economy rebounded in Q3, exceeding our expectations and leading to a further upside revision of our 2020 GDP forecasts. However, given the signs of a progressive deceleration in several economic and behavioural indicators, influenced by the new rise in Covid-19 cases, we are more cautious about the speed at which the economy will enter 2021.
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Small But Mighty: Emerging Market Trends On The Cutting Edge of Change
In this issue of Trends Reinforced, the Emerging Markets Equity team reviews some truly innovative developments in emerging markets small-cap companies.
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Brexit Means Brexit: But What Could that Mean for Portfolios?
As of the 31st of January of this year, Brexit went into effect per the vote cast on the 23rd of June back in 2016. With the added element of the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated economic implications, how should global investors be thinking in our view as we approach 2021?
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Corporate ESG News and the Stock Market
ESG investing’s popularity has continually increased in the past five years. ESG data is increasingly integrated into investment processes. However, the information contained in ESG-related news for corporates has not been entirely exploited by institutional and long-only investors.