All Emerging Market articles – Page 22
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Market scenarios and risks - March 2021
This month, we maintain the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios. We confirm our constructive medium-term view on the “financial recovery regime”, with more caution in the short-term on financial markets, given the virus-dependent news flow and inflation concerns.
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China and EM: growth and policy Q&A
Our emerging markets strategists attempt to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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All bubbles are not equal
Predicting the growth and bursting of bubbles is a difficult task, even considered as impossible by some. In fact, bubbles can last for a long time and are only apparent when they burst. Calling them too early can lead to suboptimal allocation. However, there are signs of market exuberance, particularly in the tech sector.
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Q4 earnings season: an impressive resilience that supports our pro-cyclical views
Given the context, Q4 2020 corporate earnings proved resilient. The regions least impacted by the pandemic, such as EM (+25%) and Japan (+20%), experienced notable increases.
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Are Growth Stocks Attractive in a Post-Pandemic World?
The recent selloff of US growth market darlings reflects increasing questions about whether their growth potential still justifies exceptionally high valuations. Away from the froth, growth investors can still find solid return potential in quality companies with profitable, sustainable business models.
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Understanding the Performance of the Equity Value Factor
After decades of sound performance, doubts have been cast on the ability of the equity value strategy to keep delivering in the aftermath of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Indeed, in a context marked by low yields, sluggish growth and subdued inflation combined with an accelerating digitalization of the economy, value investors have struggled to see the light at the end of the tunnel. But what does the future hold?
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Who Will Balance the Budgets?
It’s not today’s problem, but it’s a question investors will start asking more often as the Republican Party confronts its identity crisis.
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Equity risk overlays: Departing from tradition, embracing innovation
The three major market shocks of the last 20 years – the late nineties’ tech bubble, the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the coronavirus pandemic – have each influenced equity markets differently and required different risk management approaches.
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Developing capital markets make China an exciting option
With Chinese New Year celebrations getting underway and 2021 being the Year of the Ox – a symbol of strength and determination – we look at the prospects for Chinese equities
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Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities
Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021
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Global Emerging Markets engagement case study: Baozun
Investing in companies throughout market cycles as an active owner and partner, we maintain a regular dialogue and encourage strong environmental, social and governance (ESG) practices. Here we demonstrate how we are engaging with portfolio holding Baozun.
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Emerging Markets Equity: Evolving & Transforming
Technological innovation, an increasingly confident consumer and a growing focus on ESG are re-shaping the long-term growth opportunity in emerging market equities.
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ASEAN Equities: “Opportunities in Every Crisis”
Barings’ SooHai Lim discusses the dynamics shaping ASEAN equities today, from lessons learned from the pandemic to the structural trends supporting the region.
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*A 3-D outlook for Asia & China equities – domestic, digitalisation, diversification*
Chinese and Asian equities roared back in 2020, outperforming peers thanks in no small part to an effective control of the pandemic. Asia is again the engine of global growth in 2021, helped by the emergence of significant intra-Asia trade. China, the largest economy in the region, continues its structural transition toward higher quality growth. In our view, the stage is set for Asian and Chinese equities to do well again this year.
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EU Outlook Brighter, but Watch the News in Rome
Expect answers next week on whether Italy can form a new government. Elsewhere, U.S. earnings are on track to show Q4 growth, illustrating that the recovery remained intact, and risks to China’s outlook have emerged with the resurgence in COVID cases.
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SDG Engagement Equity commentary: Glanbia
Launched in January 2018, the Hermes SDG Engagement Equity Fund has the dual purpose of delivering attractive returns and measurable real-world impact.
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EM Investment Opportunities for 2021
Global investors are currently dealing with two key challenges: find decent yield for their fixed income portfolios in a world of ultra-low or negative interest rates and access some exposure to growth at a reasonable price. EM market assets may offer some opportunities in addressing these challenges and have the potential, in our view, to outperform other asset classes both in equity and fixed income in 2021.
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Seven Crucial Questions This Earnings Season Can Answer
As investors strain to imagine the post-pandemic normal, a blurry vision is already coming into view.
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Is the Tunnel Getting Longer?
In a race between vaccine research and virus mutations, logistical challenges are setting up hurdles that are lengthening the distance to the end of the tunnel. Markets have priced in a strong recovery though there are near-term concerns in the real economy.
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2021 investment case in equities and how Japan fits into it
Although the global recovery began to be priced in last year, the current pro-cyclical rotation is likely to continue. Because of the dollar’s weakness, we prefer emerging markets, but Japan has other things going for it that, at the very least, can help balance out the portfolio.