All Emerging Market articles – Page 21
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Macroeconomic Picture - April 2021
United States: thanks to fiscal aid and still extremely accommodative monetary policy, the US economy will likely recover much of the ground lost during 2020, returning to prepandemic levels around mid-year, while the labour market will take longer to recover fully.
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Why EM bond investors can no longer ignore ESG
The most successful investors will help steer governments towards the path that boosts their credit ratings, gives them most access to the market and improves the fortunes and potential of citizens.
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How ESG considerations can impact emerging market investments
Governments everywhere are racing to lock in historically low borrowing costs by issuing ever longer dated debt – in recent years Mexico and Argentina even managed to sell century bonds. That presents several new challenges for fixed income investors. Particularly those who own emerging market bonds.
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How might climate change impact economic growth for emerging markets?
For all the sovereign issuance of green bonds so far, a great deal more funding will need to be raised to limit climate change. Globally it will cost between USD1 trillion and USD2 trillion a year in additional spending to limit global warming, some 1 per cent to 1.5 per cent of worldwide GDP, according to the Energy Transitions Commission.7 And a significant part of those costs will need to be borne by emerging economies, not least because they are likely to suffer most.
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These 3 laws drive innovation and investment opportunity
You’ve probably heard of Moore’s Law, the observation that semiconductors would get meaningfully faster and cheaper over time, improving computing power. But what about Flatley’s Law and Wright’s Law?
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“The Best of All Possible Worlds!”
Clearer evidence is emerging that in most major economies the joint monetary, fiscal, and health policy response to the pandemic is proving faster, bigger, and better-targeted than we expected.
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Why investors should look at Indian assets
India is the fifth-largest economy in the world, according to the World Bank, in terms of nominal 2019 GDP in dollars, and ranks second by population (1.38bn). Although it is one of the world’s fastest-growing economies, its GDP per capita is more than 29x and 4x lower than the USt or China, respectively (also according to the World Bank, nominal 2019 per-capita GDP in dollars). The potential for a catch-up in income over the next decades looks huge.
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The big bounce back
A high-velocity vaccine rollout, $1.9 trillion stimulus package and a year of pent-up consumerism mean the future is bright for U.S. mid-market direct lending, says Churchill Asset Management’s Randy Schwimmer.
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European equity value has further to go in this cycle
Since the lows recorded in March 2020, we have seen three different phases of the value recovery. The first was driven by cheap quality cyclicals. This was followed by the outperformance of the deep value Covid-19 stocks from early November amid developments of effective Covid-19 vaccines.
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*The blue economy in numbers*
Growth, employment, consumption, renewable energy…These are all indicators that reflect the rapid rise of the ‘blue economy’ and its growing contribution to business and industry, better living standards and the development of a more responsible global economy.
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Zen and the art of investment management
In a complex and highly interconnected world, how can we as investors and intermediaries be sure that our actions serve both ourselves and the planet? I believe that a mindful approach could take us a step closer towards the goal of truly responsible investing, and that the benefits would be material as well as spiritual.
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ESG in Equities: Identifying Winners in the Energy Transition
Clean energy and anti-pollution initiatives will continue to impact the equity investment landscape—but not all companies will be winners, and careful analysis will be needed to identify those that stand to benefit and those that may see a threat to their business model.
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Why invest in EM local currency debt?
Disappointing US dollar bond returns in EM local currency debt has led to a decline in flows into the asset class over the past decade.
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Will India be the next high-growth emerging market?
After a slowdown in 2019 and a harsh lockdown in 2020, India may be poised to regain its place among the fastest-growing emerging markets.
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COVID and beyond: navigating the markets
We share the views of some of our portfolio managers and economists on navigating the equity and fixed income markets in the year ahead and beyond. They also share how the last year has influenced long-term developments in economic and market outlooks.
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Federated Hermes Asia ex Japan: Letter to investors, March 2021
After a testing decade for contrarian, value-biased investors, there are hints of change as expectations of an end to extraordinarily cheap money have caused price movements. Could a long-awaited enduring rotation be in the offing? Here Jonathan Pines, Portfolio Manager of our Asia ex Japan Strategy, presents his views.
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China: Policy and investment implications under Biden
The first 100 days in power for any new presidential administration is never easy. With US-China relations at arguably their lowest point in 50 years, the administration of US President Joe Biden will have to make some difficult policy decisions that could affect the balance of the world’s two largest economies. How could the relationship evolve over the next four years?
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Global Emerging Markets: ESG Materiality, Q1 2021
In this edition of our ESG Materiality Newsletter, we provide an overview of our engagement activities, as well as case studies demonstrating the progress we have made with portfolio companies. We also delve into an environmental, social and governance (ESG) theme, and its implications for the Emerging Markets asset class.
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Asset classes views: Climbing the hill
As the new decade dawns upon us, we are beginning to see the light at the end of the tunnel. The unprecedented nature of the current crisis required correctives on multiple fronts on a global scale. With many of these measures in place or in the pipeline, the much-awaited recovery is within reach, but the path forward remains arduous, nonetheless.
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1st Quarter Signals: Five questions facing markets
Markets have continued to ride their upward momentum through the first quarter of 2021,with investor optimism fueled by wider distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and expectations for the sizeable fiscal stimulus package from the Biden Administration.