All Emerging Market articles – Page 17
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White papersTime Is Money - Restoring Investor Confidence in Long-Term Cash Flows
As equity style winds shift, investors are still debating the merits of growth versus value stocks. But we believe quality remains the essential focal point, especially amid a low interest-rate environment that has changed the math behind company valuations.
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White papersMain themes for investing in Chinese equity over the summer and beyond
All eyes are on the recent tightening of regulations for tech and education companies by Beijing and on possible new measures that could affect other sectors. Under this regulatory pressure, the Chinese market has underperformed both MSCI DM and MSCI EM indices following a strong performance in 2020.
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White papersMarkets Take Fed’s Step to Tapering In Stride
While seemingly unremarkable, the Federal Reserve arguably had a very successful transition meeting today: it managed to take an uneventful step towards tapering bond purchases. Our view has been that tapering by year end is likely, and today’s meeting has moved the Fed one step further in that direction.
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White papersTransitory is the Name of the Game
Muted reaction to a high U.S. CPI reading confirmed markets believe the Fed is heading to a policy mistake following recent upward shift in median dots. In the U.S., we watch the release of flash PMIs, while the ECB should adjust policy strategy. In Asia, Japan CPI remains benign.
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White papersOut of the Shadows: The rise of emerging Asia
Emerging Asia’s stocks and bonds have experienced a lost decade. In the past 10 years, their returns, in US dollar terms, have lagged those of global indices by a considerable margin. And that is despite the fact that these economies accounted for about 70 per cent of world GDP growth over that period.
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White papersSummer Boom Meets COVID Concerns
Technical factors, perceived Fed hawkishness, the Delta variant, and U.S. infrastructure talks led to a volatile week in markets, which should remain near-term amid COVID concerns and until monetary policy clears up in fall. Solid economic data supports our strong-growth outlook.
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White papersCurrencies: an additional source of return
Superior growth, low inflation and cheap currencies. These are some of the defining characteristics of emerging Asian economies. They are also the reasons why investors should consider increasing their exposure to the region.
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White papersDraghi Takes First Shot at Reforming Italy
After getting the vaccination program up to speed and reshaping the country’s recovery plan, Prime Minister Mario Draghi is now focusing on the hard part of the job: actually reforming Italy.
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White papersChina – Economically inspiring
While financial markets are wondering when and how the US Federal Reserve and the ECB will turn to monetary tightening, we expect the People’s Bank of China to move to monetary expansion soon. That should give Chinese equities and bonds wings.
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White papersEmerging Asian equities expected to perform best over the next five years
We expect emerging Asian equities to deliver among the best returns in global stock markets over the next half decade, especially in dollar terms (10.8 per cent per year on average, or double the global market). We calculate that their outperformance – which stems mainly from superior earnings growth and currency appreciation – could amount to 35 per cent on a cumulative basis over the US in that timeframe.
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White papers5 investment lessons from the pandemic era
As an investor with more than three decades of experience, the past 16 months stand out in my career as both intensely painful and incredibly instructive. On or about March 23, 2020, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite Index and MSCI All Country World Index hit bottom, establishing the fastest bear market in history as the COVID-19 pandemic spread across the globe.
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White papersAhead of the Curve, Q2 2021
In the latest edition of Ahead of the Curve, Silvia Dall’Angelo, Senior Economist, provides a macroeconomic update and delves into three themes: inflationary concerns, notable divergences between advanced and emerging economies and where we stand on building back better from the Covid-19 pandemic.
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White papers4 things global financial cycles are telling us
As much of the global economy climbs out of the pandemic-induced downturn, investors are scrutinising every new economic data point for clues to the outlook for growth and inflation. I think they should also take the 30,000-foot view afforded by financial cycles, which can offer a long-term perspective on the trajectory of an economy.
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White papersEuropean equities: look for the winners to play the reflation trade, value revenge, and ESG disruption
While the strongest national European football teams are animating a great competition, which is also signalling a sort of return to normality for Europeans, investors’ appetite for European equities is back and for good reason.
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White papersGlobal Equities: Introducing our Sustainability Assessment Framework
As the sustainability landscape continues to evolve so too does the innovative approaches and tools of the Federated Hermes Global Equities team.
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White papersEarnings Still Matter
Despite stretched equity market valuations, a blockbuster second-quarter earnings season could help sustain market momentum.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - July 2021
On the back of our quarterly updates, we have reviewed the narrative and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios. In our central scenario, the policy mix and improving fundamentals support the recovery and markets.
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White papersEM monetary policies normalisation as the low tide is getting higher
The monetary policy conditions in the emerging markets are still definitely dovish. Domestic factors as Inflation and, in certain cases, strong economic rebound are driving the EM Central Banks to normalise their monetary policy course. Tighter global financial conditions should trigger a faster and more generalised normalisation.
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White papersChina’s demographic headwinds
The latest Census results suggest China’s population is aging faster than expected, prompting Beijing to relax birth restriction and move to a threechild policy. Recognizing the challenges to reverse low fertility, we expect China to rely more on the productivity driver for growth in the long run.
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White papersChina Reaches Cruising Altitude
Chinese growth has been bumpy this year but we remain upbeat on the outlook. In the U.S., excess savings, pent-up demand, and the labor market recovery should support consumer spending. In Europe, the likely boost to inflation data from base effects should be temporary.
