All Emerging Market articles – Page 20
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Why investors should look at Indian assets
India is the fifth-largest economy in the world, according to the World Bank, in terms of nominal 2019 GDP in dollars, and ranks second by population (1.38bn). Although it is one of the world’s fastest-growing economies, its GDP per capita is more than 29x and 4x lower than the USt or China, respectively (also according to the World Bank, nominal 2019 per-capita GDP in dollars). The potential for a catch-up in income over the next decades looks huge.
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The big bounce back
A high-velocity vaccine rollout, $1.9 trillion stimulus package and a year of pent-up consumerism mean the future is bright for U.S. mid-market direct lending, says Churchill Asset Management’s Randy Schwimmer.
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European equity value has further to go in this cycle
Since the lows recorded in March 2020, we have seen three different phases of the value recovery. The first was driven by cheap quality cyclicals. This was followed by the outperformance of the deep value Covid-19 stocks from early November amid developments of effective Covid-19 vaccines.
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*The blue economy in numbers*
Growth, employment, consumption, renewable energy…These are all indicators that reflect the rapid rise of the ‘blue economy’ and its growing contribution to business and industry, better living standards and the development of a more responsible global economy.
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Zen and the art of investment management
In a complex and highly interconnected world, how can we as investors and intermediaries be sure that our actions serve both ourselves and the planet? I believe that a mindful approach could take us a step closer towards the goal of truly responsible investing, and that the benefits would be material as well as spiritual.
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ESG in Equities: Identifying Winners in the Energy Transition
Clean energy and anti-pollution initiatives will continue to impact the equity investment landscape—but not all companies will be winners, and careful analysis will be needed to identify those that stand to benefit and those that may see a threat to their business model.
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Why invest in EM local currency debt?
Disappointing US dollar bond returns in EM local currency debt has led to a decline in flows into the asset class over the past decade.
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Will India be the next high-growth emerging market?
After a slowdown in 2019 and a harsh lockdown in 2020, India may be poised to regain its place among the fastest-growing emerging markets.
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COVID and beyond: navigating the markets
We share the views of some of our portfolio managers and economists on navigating the equity and fixed income markets in the year ahead and beyond. They also share how the last year has influenced long-term developments in economic and market outlooks.
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Federated Hermes Asia ex Japan: Letter to investors, March 2021
After a testing decade for contrarian, value-biased investors, there are hints of change as expectations of an end to extraordinarily cheap money have caused price movements. Could a long-awaited enduring rotation be in the offing? Here Jonathan Pines, Portfolio Manager of our Asia ex Japan Strategy, presents his views.
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China: Policy and investment implications under Biden
The first 100 days in power for any new presidential administration is never easy. With US-China relations at arguably their lowest point in 50 years, the administration of US President Joe Biden will have to make some difficult policy decisions that could affect the balance of the world’s two largest economies. How could the relationship evolve over the next four years?
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Global Emerging Markets: ESG Materiality, Q1 2021
In this edition of our ESG Materiality Newsletter, we provide an overview of our engagement activities, as well as case studies demonstrating the progress we have made with portfolio companies. We also delve into an environmental, social and governance (ESG) theme, and its implications for the Emerging Markets asset class.
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Asset classes views: Climbing the hill
As the new decade dawns upon us, we are beginning to see the light at the end of the tunnel. The unprecedented nature of the current crisis required correctives on multiple fronts on a global scale. With many of these measures in place or in the pipeline, the much-awaited recovery is within reach, but the path forward remains arduous, nonetheless.
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1st Quarter Signals: Five questions facing markets
Markets have continued to ride their upward momentum through the first quarter of 2021,with investor optimism fueled by wider distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and expectations for the sizeable fiscal stimulus package from the Biden Administration.
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Market scenarios and risks - March 2021
This month, we maintain the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios. We confirm our constructive medium-term view on the “financial recovery regime”, with more caution in the short-term on financial markets, given the virus-dependent news flow and inflation concerns.
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China and EM: growth and policy Q&A
Our emerging markets strategists attempt to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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All bubbles are not equal
Predicting the growth and bursting of bubbles is a difficult task, even considered as impossible by some. In fact, bubbles can last for a long time and are only apparent when they burst. Calling them too early can lead to suboptimal allocation. However, there are signs of market exuberance, particularly in the tech sector.
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Q4 earnings season: an impressive resilience that supports our pro-cyclical views
Given the context, Q4 2020 corporate earnings proved resilient. The regions least impacted by the pandemic, such as EM (+25%) and Japan (+20%), experienced notable increases.
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Are Growth Stocks Attractive in a Post-Pandemic World?
The recent selloff of US growth market darlings reflects increasing questions about whether their growth potential still justifies exceptionally high valuations. Away from the froth, growth investors can still find solid return potential in quality companies with profitable, sustainable business models.
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Understanding the Performance of the Equity Value Factor
After decades of sound performance, doubts have been cast on the ability of the equity value strategy to keep delivering in the aftermath of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Indeed, in a context marked by low yields, sluggish growth and subdued inflation combined with an accelerating digitalization of the economy, value investors have struggled to see the light at the end of the tunnel. But what does the future hold?