All Emerging Market articles – Page 25
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White papersEmerging Markets Corporates: High Yield Default Outlook 2021
After a moderate spike in defaults, we anticipate an improving financial environment for the next year.
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White papersA Secret Plan for America’s New China Policy
It’s based on the reviled and maligned Trans-Pacific Partnership, so don’t tell anyone.
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White papersThe US election and Covid-19 vaccines: implications for the economy and markets
Joe Biden has been elected 46th president of the United States, and it is likely that he will preside over a divided Congress, with the Republicans maintaining their Senate majority. US voters, like the markets, appear to prefer a balance of power. While President Trump has contested the election results in numerous states, President-elect Biden is likely to be confirmed.
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White papersGlobal Insights – Outlook for 2021
Primed by continued global monetary stimulus and exuberant global fiscal spending, and further boosted by the fading of the tail risks that had plagued markets through 2020, capital markets are facing one of their best backdrops in years. 2021 could turn out to be the year that the overdue cyclical rotation, 10 years in the making, finally materializes and, importantly, takes hold. Make no mistake, there is still a high level of uncertainty going into 2021.
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White papersFirst in, first out: what next for China?
As China emerges from the disruption wrought by the Covid-19 pandemic, we consider our outlook for the world’s second-largest economy. China is embarking on an ambitious strategy to transition its economic model, while also attempting to drive more sustainable practices.
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White papersESG investing in Asia - an invisible evolution
Sustainable and responsible investing is fast becoming one of the most important investment criteria globally, and in Asia, while the uptake has been slower, this trend is growing. Moreover, sustainability is now also seen as an important economic driver for investment performance.
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White papers2021 Investment Outlook Report
Our comprehensive Outlook Report addresses in further detail both the macro and asset class specific themes we have identified and examines the evolution of the investment environment over the past 12 months.
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White papersThermal Coal: Aligning Policy with Emerging Reality
In seeking to curb client exposure to a key carbon source, our team’s thermal coal policy acknowledges distinct characteristics found within the emerging markets.
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White papers2021 outlook: Dark tunnel. Bright light
Macro risks associated with the coronavirus have loomed over global markets and economies for nearly a year, and will continue for at least several months. But beyond this dark tunnel, we see a more normalised environment driven by fundamentals. Nuveen’s Global Investment Committee explores
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White papersCreating Resilient Pension Portfolios Post Covid-19
Covid-19 is a ‘once in a hundred years’ cataclysmic event. Superlatives that do it justice are hard to find.
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White papersGetting Smarter Around Disruption
With innovation continuing to pave the way through the digital revolution of today, consumers and investors alike have wanted to know what could become the “next big thing” across industry sectors. As more and more groundbreaking business concepts continue to enter the market, one might wonder what is it about an idea or concept that makes it truly disruptive? And what is the thought process behind it?
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White papersDarker Tunnel, Brighter Light
The broad flow of economic data has been stronger than expected across Europe and the United States, even as much of Asia continues to recover.
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White papersA few reasons why the Covid crisis may lead to less deglobalisation than thought
It is a widespread view that the Covid crisis will accelerate trade deglobalisation, including through industrial reshoring and shorter value chains. However, the most likely scenario is more complex, as trade in services may grow even more globalised, while the reshoring of manufacturing activities may run into a number of practical, yet also political, obstacles.
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White papersQ3 2020 reporting season surprised on the positive side
Q4 visibility has shrunk as new lockdown put at risk the recovery. EPS rebound should resume in 2021 given the base effect, the ramp-up of stimulus and a potential easing of containment measures alongside the progress made to curb the pandemic.
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White papersThe vaccine is a binary event for the markets, not for the economy
Since the announcements of the discovery of a very effective vaccine, first by Pfizer-BioNTech and then by Moderna and AstraZeneca, the horizon has opened up. Investors are beginning to dream of a world immune to Covid-19. But one swallow doesn’t make a spring. Many unknowns remain (see p.4) and the Covid-19 crisis will leave lasting traces in the economy going forward.
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White papersBig Tech at the crossroads…
Big Tech’s stock market performance has become more hesitant. A simple market rotation or a more durable phenomenon? With the exit from the crisis getting closer, sectors shunned during the pandemic could actually benefit from a catching-up movement. However, between its disruptive nature which is cannibalising traditional companies and interest rates which, apart from a slight increase, look set to remain durably low, Big Tech retains major advantages. Especially as its valuation is less exceptional than it seems, provided however that its profits momentum remains sustainable…
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White papersMacroeconomic picture - December 2020
United States: after a record contraction in Q2, and an extraordinary rebound in Q3, we expect a significant deceleration in Q4, influenced by the new rise in Covid-19 cases and given the signs of a progressive deceleration in several economic and behavioral indicators. Next year’s growth outlook remains supported by the supportive mix of monetary and fiscal policy.
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White papersA Heartfelt Thanksgiving
We emerge from the holiday hopeful for a Season of Goodwill in markets, but ready for any last surprises that 2020 might have in store.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2020
As we approach year-end, markets can count on two pieces of news to propel some optimism. The first comes from the US, where the Biden victory, without a real Blue Wave, is seen by markets as the best possible outcome.
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White papers2021 Investment Outlook - Market rotations in an uneven recovery
The Covid-19 pandemic drove an unprecedented collapse in economic activity in H1, which was followed by a desynchronized rebound. The recovery phase has been uneven, with the virus cycle dictating the sequence of it. We believe that the damage to the global economy will last well beyond 2021. Output and personal income losses, the rise of inequality and the disruption in some sectors will be the legacies of the pandemic. Expecting that a vaccine will cause these to dissipate within a few months is too optimistic.
