All Emerging Market articles – Page 23
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White papersWhat Happens When the Game Stops?
Valuations are stretched, but speculative option trading may not necessarily be a sign of widespread, unsustainable froth.
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White papersGroundhog or Canary?
The recent market gyrations look more like an entertaining sideshow, but it’s worth asking when they might be a signal of something worse.
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White papersEquity factor investing – The impact of portfolio constraints on performance
We investigate the impact of long-only constraints on portfolio performance in the context of the recent underperformance of equity multi-factor funds.
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White papersChina to exert greater financial discipline in 2021
Imposition of financial discipline to reduce moral hazard is more of a risk to Chinese economic growth in 2021 than a tightening of monetary policy.
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White papersMarket Commentary - EM sovereign ratings: more differentiation
With the year starting and the publication of the rating agencies revision calendar for 2021, it is time to take stock of the rating dynamics for EM countries.
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White papersEquity factor investing: Putting performance into perspective
What drives the performance of equity multifactor funds? While the value, quality, low risk and momentum factor styles have outperformed over the long term, there have been periods of underperformance. These include the tech bubble of the late 1990s, the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, and now the COVID-19 crisis. Value factor underperformance explains this latest drawdown.
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White papersKey investment decisions in a multi-factor equity framework
When it comes to building an efficient and consistent multi-factor equity strategy, investors need to decide which factors to use and how to diversify their exposure. This determines the long-term risk-adjusted performance of the strategy.
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White papersCautious Optimism or Cold Realism?
Signs show divergence between China’s supply and demand recovery. The first full week of the new U.S. administration will give more clarity on what can feasibly be expected to pass this term. Meanwhile, Italian politics raises questions over the EU recovery fund.
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White papersFive reasons why EM equities could power ahead in 2021
Has the tide finally turned for emerging markets equities after a decade of trailing US markets? It’s a question we often hear. After two consecutive years of solid gains for the benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets Index, emerging markets appear well positioned for further growth. The US dollar has weakened, commodity prices have firmed, US-China trade tensions may simmer down and there are a number of investible opportunities that could allow investors to take advantage of a potential cyclical recovery in global markets.
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White papersAn Investment Scorecard for the Biden Administration
History will judge him on many dimensions, but what can investors reasonably expect that will improve the value of USA Inc.?
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White papersGlobal Emerging Markets: country allocation review 2021
Fiscal and monetary stimulus programmes across the world buoyed global markets in 2020 with encouraging Covid-19 vaccine trial results providing an end-of-year boost for investors. However, macroeconomic data is mixed: there has been a lower-than-expected improvement in the service sector and inequality is rising.
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White papersIs a Blue Wave Enough to Deliver Blue Skies?
Disappointing U.S. employment suggests slowing momentum amid rising cases, but growth is expected to pick up on the backs of greater potential fiscal stimulus and vaccine deployments. Improving data in China confirms the PBOC can pursue its path of less accommodative policy.
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White papersThe False Dawn of Big Tech Regulation?
Calls for increased regulation of tech giants have indeed grown—but will they have the desired impact? In our opinion, the focus on “big is bad” is simply ineffective in a digital world.
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White papersChart of the week – 2020 market wrap
The extraordinary sequence of events that unfolded in 2020 from virus outbreak to lockdowns, then from large-scale stimulus to vaccines, produced unusually broad market gains for most asset classes in absolute terms.
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White papersEMD: Light at the End of the Tunnel
The rollout of the COVID vaccine may be slower across emerging markets, meaning restrictions will likely remain in place for the foreseeable future. But there are bright spots—including in local currencies and companies that have adapted to this ‘new normal’.
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White papersHidden factors: exploring equity market behaviour in 2020
At the beginning of a new year, it’s customary to look both back to the past and forward to the future. This year, it would be tempting to focus on a future in which the coronavirus is finally brought under control, gladly turning our backs on 2020 and consigning it to the annals of history. However, looking at the extreme market events of the past 12 months can provide some valuable insights for investors.
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White papersWater: a pervasive resource and a portfolio staple
The transition of many economies from a depletive to a sustainable model with better social and environmental outcomes creates a wide range of investment opportunities in many areas including water, a resource that is fundamental to not only life, but also across end-markets from the consumer to industrial businesses.
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White papersBiden and Democrats take control despite Trump protesters
The 2020 US general elections ended on 6 January 2021 with a Democratic sweep of two critical Georgia Senate seats, giving Democrats a slim majority and control of government until at least the next round of Congressional elections in two years. The stunning developments on Capitol Hill will not change the significance of the Georgia election, which will have far-reaching implications for Biden’s policy agenda and financial markets.
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White papersChina’s strategy supports a bullish view on emerging Asia
China’s economic policy focus on domestic and, by extension regional, growth argues for a bullish view on Asian emerging markets in the face of the far-reaching effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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White papersA Recipe for the Next Financial Crisis
It may not come soon or deliver the same shock, but the ingredients that triggered so many predecessors are already coming into view.
