All Emerging Market articles – Page 14
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White papersSenior Floating Rate Loans: A Low-Cost Hedge Against Inflation
Headline CPI inflation in the U.S. came in at 7.5% year-over-year in January 2022, its highest level since the mid-1980s. Before the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalated, market participants held the view that the Federal Reserve was well behind the curve on rate hikes as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury reached a near-term peak of 2.05% on February 15.
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White papersMonths When Decades Happen
Europe enters this dangerous period on solid footing. Unemployment is at record lows. Wage growth remains subdued. Russia’s war in Ukraine adds a strong inflation headwind to the ongoing expansion.
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White papersSpecial Ukraine
The invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops has caught Europe off guard, reminding it of the darkest hours before the Second World War. NATO countries and European leaders have so far ruled out direct military confrontation because of the risk of escalation between nuclear powers.
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White papersThe Inflation Inflection
The COVID-19 pandemic, and the range of policies aimed at mitigating its impact, has triggered a return to levels of inflation unseen for 40 years. While inflation is likely to moderate from these very high levels during 2022, we believe it will settle and persist at a rate higher than we have become used to over recent cycles.
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White papersOrigin Asset Management: Updated on Russia and Ukraine
Ex-Russia, Emerging Markets (EM) equities are holding their own versus the rest of the world, having markedly outperformed since late 2021.
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White papersPreferreds and capital securities: Credit and market updates on Ukraine
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will have an impact on financial markets and heighten volatility among other things as sanctions get stepped up and Russia no doubt hits back somehow against them.
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White papersRussia/Ukraine conflict: A sustained market impact?
After weeks of build-up and intelligence warnings, Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, unleashing what may end up being the largest European conflict since World War II. The United States, Europe and NATO allies have condemned the move and responded with economic sanctions.
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White papersEOS 2021 Annual Review
Although the Covid-19 pandemic continued to exact a heavy toll in 2021, the climate crisis returned to the fore with extreme weather events around the globe, and the starkest warning yet from scientists in the run up to the UN’s COP26 climate summit.
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White papersGetting along – Can investors influence geopolitics to improve climate action?
The outcome of the 2021 COP26 climate conference showed that, despite nations planning their own environmental efforts, collective climate action is difficult to foster. What does this mean for investors? Is there any way governments can be swayed into working together more effectively?
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White papersWeight to the Plate: Tracking EM Food Inflation
Rising food prices have added more pressure to headline inflation in emerging markets (EM), increasing steadily throughout 2021. As a result, central banks there have not had the leeway to wait to tighten policy the way the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have.
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White papersEmerging Sovereigns and Sustainability
Global sustainability cannot be achieved without sustainability in the world’s poorer countries—so how can we address the challenges of sustainable investing in emerging markets sovereigns?
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts and Views - Reasons for cautious optimism in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) faced a backlash in 2021 as a consequence of the Chinese slowdown, rising inflation and – at the end of the year – a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed). As such, investors, including us, have been cautious and very selective on EM assets.
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White papersInflation in Turkey could very well reach 50% and more in the coming months
Because of unorthodox economic policies, Turkey will face a tough year ahead, with inflation peaking at a 20-year high… but we do see some lights at the end of the tunnel!
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White papersKeeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022
2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase and face the challenge of retuning to normality: fiscal and monetary policies will tighten up at a time when the growth/inflation mix is becoming more challenging and there is much less room for manoeuvre in terms of policy.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - February 2022
In 2022, the US economy will face a progressive deceleration in economic activity, hovering above trend first and eventually converging to potential in 2023. Activity indicators are pointing to a notable deceleration at the end of Q4 and start of Q1 (in part Covid-related), which we expect to be short-lived.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2022
Recent sharp increase in nominal and real yields has been reflected in strong movements in equity markets, causing a rotation out of growth into value stocks. We think the uncertainty (Covid, geopolitics) would continue as markets assess the path of inflation, economic growth and monetary policy.
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White papersGlobal Emerging Markets: Outlook 2022
Fund manager Kunjal Gala takes a view on the coming opportunities and challenges for investors in emerging markets.
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White papersChina: The Great Disconnect
Chinese equities offer many unique attributes, particularly given the improving access to the onshore market, which offers investors direct exposure to China’s economy as it repositions itself for long-term sustainable growth.
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White papers*Outlook highlights: China seeks stable growth; other EMs face bumps*
In our new paper EM, Asia, China 2022 market outlook: Building back stability, Zhikai Chen, head of Asia/Global Emerging Market Equities, and David Choa, head of Greater China Equities, examine the critical factors influencing the likely path of EM equities this year.
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White papersWhere Are U.S. Rates Going?
It is widely believed that the mainstream FOMC members, which includes Fed Chair Jerome Powell, belong in the dove camp. With global PMIs peaking, a tightening of monetary and fiscal policy are headwinds for the strong recovery.
