All Emerging Market articles – Page 45
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White papersA test of character for Europe
The contagion of the corona virus continues, but at a slower pace. In the first days of April the total number of recorded cases, now well over one million globally, was rising by about 8.5% a day, vs. 12% around 25 March.
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White papersMarkets Scenarios & Risks - April 2020
Covid-19 progressively moving global in March was a game changer for the global economy and financial markets. As policies responses to contain the damages of the virus became bolder, we re-assessed the narrative of our base and alternative scenarios. We changed the probability in favour of the upsides scenario to 30% from 15%, while the downside scenario moved from a probability of 30% down to 20% and the central scenario from a probability of 55% to 50%.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - April 2020
Heading towards a sharp contraction in H1; H2 recovery shaped by the duration of the crisis and by the effectiveness of the unprecedented policy response, once the post-containment normalization phase starts.While a state of emergency has been declared by the President, almost all states are implementing emergency measures with various degrees of severity, from preventing gatherings to statewide quarantines.
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White papersOil Jumps, Jobs Slump, More Fiscal Help Coming
President Trump expects Saudi Arabia and Russia to cut oil production and prices surged ~25% on the news. Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits skyrocketed, doubling the previous week’s record and there is more talk of future fiscal packages.
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White papersUncorrelated Strategies Market Update
In this short video, Portfolio Manager, Fred Ingham provides an update on current conditions across uncorrelated strategies, offering his thoughts on both the short and longer-term impacts of COVID-19 on asset markets. He also updates on the positioning of Neuberger Berman’s portfolios.
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White papersCoronavirus: the long-term impacts on emerging markets
Beyond the shockwaves, immense uncertainty and eventual recovery, each economic crisis changes the way society and corporations operate, leaving scars but also spurring innovation.
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White papersViral volatility: how Covid-19 is infecting sentiment
The stock markets are characterised by long stretches of calm punctuated by times of crisis – the most recent of which is the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Amid the rapid global spread of Covid-19, worries about economic growth have intensified and equity markets have suffered steep pullbacks.
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White papersPandemic panic: making sense of investor behaviour
The current market shakeout has caused extreme reactions among both consumers and investors. But are we wrong to suggest that investors are behaving irrationally in response to this coronavirus crisis? In this piece, we look at the market moves over the past month and consider how investors can use an active approach to confront their internal biases.
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White papersCoronavirus – Weekly update – 01/04/2020
This blog is the first of a regular update on our COVID-19 strategy: our assessment of the virus itself and the public health approach for containing it; the economic cost of dealing with the pandemic and the policy responses to mitigate the damage; and ultimately the implications for financial markets and investment strategy.
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White papersAre investors too complacent about the coronavirus?
In the latest of our editorial series, Link, AIQ brings members of Aviva Investors’ investment strategy, equity and debt teams together to discuss the prospects for financial markets and the world economy in the face of the coronavirus epidemic.
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White papersCOVID-19: When it comes to pandemics, investors should listen to the real experts
In early February, with financial markets oblivious to medical experts’ warnings about the dangers posed by the coronavirus, Ian Pizer of Aviva Investors’ investment strategy team began to look into the medical research to learn more about the potential outcomes and the implications for the global economy and markets. What he discovered raises questions about financial market participants’ ability to react to issues they don’t fully understand.
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White papersHow Could Covid-19 Affect 5G?
The way we live, work and learn has shifted markedly since the Covid-19 outbreak. With greater reliance on online resources, we see an increased demand for faster network speeds that could be enabled by 5G. How could the pandemic affect 5G rollouts? Where are the opportunities? Watch YT Boon, Director of Research – Asia, as he shares his insights on the demand for this service.
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White papersAudio Insight: The Course of COVID-19
Terri Towers, Senior Healthcare Research Analyst looks at the current progression of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as her views on inflection points and treatment timelines.
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White papersMarch Macro Dashboard
The global economy is in the throes of a recession as it battles COVID-19. GDP growth across the Eurozone and U.K. is set to contract in the second quarter. While China is beginning to lift restrictions, Japan is only beginning to crack down on social distancing as cases rise.
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White papersMarket stability improves, but portfolio questions remain
At this point, it appears the worst of the panic selling across global financial markets may be behind us. Thanks in large part to widespread stimulus measures, market liquidity has been returning, but investors remain unsure of how to structure and rebalance their portfolios.
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White papersSwiss Life - Insights: March 2020
Political uncertainty, slowing economies and “lower for longer” – the topics discussed in 2019 continued well into 2020. Apart from Brexit, the US presidential election jumped into focus, while the trade dispute between US and China is still ongoing. For the Eurozone, we expect the economy to grow by 0.9%, slightly lower than the Consensus Forecast of 1.0%. This is marginally better than was expected.
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White papersCovid-19 impact: European asset-backed securities
Trade opportunities emerge from price dislocations
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White papersCIOs’ Views The Path to Recovery: What’s Next?
Our CIOs’ Global Investment Outlook expands on navigating periods of uncertainty and volatility.
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White papersMarket weekly – Some calm after the storm
As a semblance of calm returns to financial markets, Guillermo Felices, head of research and strategy for Multi-Asset and Quantitative Solutions (MAQS), and Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer fixed income, discuss potential opportunities and the risks ahead for investors.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - April 2020
Markets (financial cycle) are leading the economic cycle and will bottom out before the end of the coronavirus pandemic. However, they would stabilise once reassured on three points: the cyclical pattern of the pandemic, the tactics of fiscal and monetary authorities and the short end of the credit curve.
