All Emerging Market articles – Page 49
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White papersRisk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019
Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now.
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White papersView on Italy: beyond the short term
The end of the political crisis and next steps for the new government: The new pro-European government looks to be willing to move in a different direction vs the previous one, with an agenda focused on green and socially inclusive policies. It is difficult to project how long this new coalition will last, but it will certainly have to address the next budget law. We expect to see some expansionary measures (lower labour costs plus investment spending), but without putting public finances at risk. However, the available room for manoeuvre is narrow.
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White papersHermes SDG Engagement Equity Fund - H1 2019 report
The Hermes SDG Engagement Equity Fund targets investment outperformance and social and environmental impacts that help deliver the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). What progress did we achieve through our engagements in the first half of 2019?
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White papersBritain’s Most Likely Destination
It Won’t Become Some Sort of Hermit Kingdom in the North Sea.
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White papersBullish on Tech—Especially Outside the Tech Sector
When thinking about technology, asset managers and asset owners have similar concerns and opportunities—both when investing in it and applying it. We must understand that technology is less about technology stocks and more about the way disruption affects corporate performance. And we must address the implications of technology for our businesses.
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White papersIs short-term noise masking a long-term opportunity in EM Equities?
Emerging markets (EMs) are in the headlines on a regular basis—both with positive and negative news flow—but rarely do we hear the whole story.
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White papersDomestic focus to exploit Emerging Markets equity opportunities
The emerging markets (EM) universe has experienced significant changes in the last decade with the further addition of investible countries (i.e. China A shares in 2018).
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Q3 2019
The recent dovishness from the Fed, a benign inflation environment and the easing in global financial conditions continue to support a goldilocks environment for Emerging Markets (EM) assets. On the risks side, trade disputes appear to be softening as we approach the US presidential campaign. But the existing tariffs are weighing on the corporate earnings, with mixed prospects across regions as some countries are also benefitting from a restructuring of the global supply chain.
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White papersThree Ways to Manage Liquidity Risk in Bond Markets
Liquidity risk has grabbed headlines recently after several high-profile funds imploded. The hunt is on to find ways to manage liquidity risk and protect portfolios against further setbacks—but not all investors will be up to the task.
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White papersEuropean Smaller Companies: An Evergreen Growth Opportunity
In this Q&A, Nick Williams, Barings’ Head of Small Cap Equities, discusses the opportunities his team is seeing in the current environment, and explains why an active approach, combined with rigorous, bottom-up stock selection, is key to identifying high-quality companies.
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White papersRussian ecommerce: a moonshot moment?
During a recent research trip to Russia, we confirmed our view that the nation’s ecommerce industry is a rare gem within the troubled wider economy. As Russia’s economic growth flags and protests become more frequent, we consider whether President Vladimir Putin’s ambitious “National Projects” spending program will manage to boost innovation – particularly in digitisation – and inject life into the Russian economy.
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White papersWill trade tensions reshape the world order?
The protectionist wave will almost certainly have a chilling effect on the global economy. But trade growth was slowing well before the US-China spat. In the latest Ahead of the Curve, we assess whether the tariff war is disruptive or merely accelerating trends already underway. And will we find opportunities in this fragmented global system, or only challenges?
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White papersPick a Number, Any Number
Among Three Central Rate Forecasts, The Middle Still Feels Right.
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White papersThe Great Disappearing Trade Deal
The Great China Trade Deal evaporated before our eyes last week and investors should stop hoping it back into existence. In the increasingly tense relationship between Washington and Beijing, tariffs, retaliation and escalation are all just part of the furniture now.
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White papersMidyear Bond Outlook: Making Sense of Conflicting Signals
The first half of 2019 was kind to financial markets. Will the good times keep on rolling? In our view, that will depend on whether loosening monetary policy is still an effective way to boost growth.
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White papersA Man, A Plan, A Canal – A Trade War
Trade flows, like water, ultimately find their path.
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White papersStrategic Relative Value Q2 2019
A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.
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White papersG20: Market Relief, Eyes Now On Central Bank's Execution
The worst case scenario of further trade escalation has been averted. The G20 meeting over the weekend resumed the negotiations between China and US on trade, after the tariffs increase in May on$200bn of Chinese products, and the consequent Chinese retaliation,which both put financial markets under pressure and increased downside risk to the economic outlook.
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White papersHow to differentiate emerging countries? New Approaches For Classification And Typology
Once accepted the idea that the emerging world may behave like a block in period of crises (as the group of advanced countries also does), one must wonder whether one should go beyond that and consider that the emerging world deserves better: the wide divergence between countries, the health of some countries (sometimes better than some advanced countries) simply mean that it does not make sense to view the “emerging world” as a whole, as a block, but as well-defined, specific and homogeneous subsets.
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White papersEmerging Markets: Vulnerability And Contagion Risks... Fragile Vs. Anti-Fragile Countries
This article is aimed at analysing contagion within the emerging world in the past decades, and at presenting investment strategies to limit negative effects of contagion and / or to benefit from it.
