All Emerging Market articles – Page 54
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q3 2018
The current global expansion is set to run until 2020, with above potential growth in most countries in 2018 and 2019. However, the global GDP growth has started to decelerate and we expect it to slow further in 2020.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: August 2018
Concerns about trade continue to take centre stage. While US assets have so far been resilient amid escalating protectionist rhetoric, markets targeted by tariffs are under pressure.
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White papers2018 Midyear Outlook: (Still) Risk On
Investors are facing some pretty big questions: How long will the economy continue to expand? How will rising interest rates affect my portfolio? Will volatility continue to climb? Do geopolitics (or even just political posturing) really matter?
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: July 2018
Since the beginning of the year, emerging market risky assets have become more volatile.
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White papersProtectionism intensifies: country and sector selection to mitigate its effects
As a base case, we expect limited tariffs will be implemented on different fronts with relatively controlled macro impacts while talks continue. Although talks have become more contentious, we do still see space for negotiation among the various parties. This is the main difference vs a proper “trade war”.
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White papersAre Global Investors Ready for China?
China onshore stocks and bonds account for around less than 2% of most foreign investors’ portfolios. But this will soon change.
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White papersMSCI China A-share inclusion along the way of China’s transition to quality growth
In June 2017, MSCI announced the partial inclusion of China’s domestically traded, yuan-denominated stocks, or so-called A-shares to MSCI China, MSCI Emerging Markets, and MSCI All Country indices, which is to be implemented from June 2018.
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White papersBanking problems impede India’s reforms
There has generally been a positive response to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s structural reforms, but there has been an investment slowdown in the medium-term, and recent scandals, huge bad loans and ATM cash shortages imply a banking system that is in crisis – to the tune of $210 billion.
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White papersEquities poised for growth
The correction at the start of the year didn’t damage Asia Pacific ex Japan’s fundamental recovery, but volatility will rise, which will subsequently providing active managers like ourselves with a good environment to outperform the market.
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White papersTime to catch rising Asian ESG tide
Asian governments now prioritise sustainable economic growth over ‘growth at any cost’, yet there remains a wide disparity in ESG standards in the region.
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White papersUpgrading Vietnam
Investors are attracted to the country’s ‘mini-China’ story: that of a communist state embracing the private economy.
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White papersStrategic Relative Value: Q2 2018
Even modest upward interest rate adjustments can be disruptive to risk markets when they collide with slowing economic growth, shifting monetary regimes, and geopolitical shocks.
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White papersWhat to know about investing in China
There used to be a lot of concern around China’s old industrial economy, but supply-side reforms have curtailed excess capacity.
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White papersWhy sustainable growth supports ASEAN equities
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations is in a cycle of high-quality, balanced economic growth, with China leading the way.
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White papersAsset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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White papersDebt, Tech and Trade Wars Cloud the Investment Horizon
Global equities posted their first quarterly decline in two years during a volatile first quarter.
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White papersThe inflation pendulum
It’s not good to have too much or too little inflation, but trying to get a huge pendulum the size of the US economy to settle in the middle is very difficult.
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White papersThe employment enigma: why is there no inflation?
After years of monetary stimulus, zero interest rates and quantitative easing, the global economy is now experiencing strong, synchronised growth.
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White papersGICS Reclassification: Assessing the Impact on Emerging Market Investors
The recent announcement by MSCI and S&P of a review of the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) will lead to a significant reduction of the IT weighting in the index.
