All Emerging Market articles – Page 58
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Does it matter if China gets old before it gets rich?
Craig Botham explains why China’s demographic decline may be less of an issue than the medicine required to offset its impact and support strong economic growth.
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US v China: the real agenda behind the trade war
Not since the Cold War has the US had a serious rival superpower. Even in that period of intense nuclear paranoia, a sign mounted inside the Pentagon proclaimed: “If we ever faced a real enemy, we would be in deep trouble”. With the rise of an increasingly powerful, influential and technologically advanced China, that adversary could have arrived.
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Slower Growth - Equity Caution Quarterly Allocation Views
Allocation Views features the Franklin Templeton Multi-asset Solutions team recurring updates about the themes and investment theses driving their asset allocation frameworks.
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H1 2019 - Emerging Markets Charts & Views: Seek opportunities, but be aware of short-term volatility
Emerging markets (EM) started 2019 on a strong footing and, as a result, some excessive valuation gaps have been partially closed. Yet, we continue to see opportunities in all EM segments (equity, bonds in hard currency and in local currency) with a medium to long-term view.
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A new approach to investing in emerging markets
Gavin Ralston and Kristjan Mee propose a new way of investing in emerging markets to benefit from the opening up of China’s capital markets
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Developments in China’s balance of payments and implications for the RMB
Craig Botham and Kristjan Mee examine key developments in China’s balance of payments, and what they mean for investors.
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Top trends in 2019 – Infrastructure Outlook
This paper focuses on three key themes in Europe and North America to help investors navigate portfolio allocation decisions.
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India: Rupee Faces Significant Risks from April Elections
Indians go the polls in April to elect a new leadership. Can Prime Minister Modi’s party win an outright majority or will India have a coalition government?
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Three Technology Titans Reshaping Retails
Multiple perspectives on digitizing retail in Equity Markets.
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Time to increase risk exposure: start with emerging markets and credit
The excess of pessimism at the end of 2018 resulted in a sharp decline in financial markets and renewed volatility. According to our analysis, market participants priced in twice the slowdown risk that economic fundamentals justified.
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Global Investment Views - February 2019
After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.
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Investment Perspectives For A New Regime Of Returns
After two years of positive performance across the board, with almost no asset class in negative territory, 2018 is marking a change of direction, with an unprecedented percentage of asset classes in red. This may cause a sense of uncertainty among investors facing uncharted waters ahead.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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Market Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy Special Edition: Outlook 2019
With late cycle features continuing to materialise and a higher level of vulnerability developing due to the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, 2019 will require investors to embrace a more prudent approach, despite the benign global economic outlook.
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A Sea of Opportunities
We are of the opinion that the market has been discounting a far more pessimistic scenario than we currently envisage for emerging markets. EM fundamentals remain strong and we believe that the sell-off provides attractive investment opportunities for long-term investors.
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Global Investment Views: December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
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Brazilian elections: lights and shadows on the horizon
The expected outcome of the presidential election occurred, with right-wing candidate Jair Bolsonaro winning vs the leftist Fernando Haddad.
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Three Investible Themes in China A-Shares
The China A-Share market presents a compelling opportunity for quality growth managers, thanks in part to its growing new economy.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: October 2018
The hot summer in emerging markets has been a key investor theme in the third quarter of this year.