All Emerging Market articles – Page 53
-
White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 - 2019
Our medium-term baseline scenario is that of a late business cycle slowdown supported by the dovish U-turn of central banks. We expect economic growth to move below potential for most developed economies in 2020, a trend that will be further exacerbated in 2021 by a deteriorating cyclical environment and still anaemic global trade. Nevertheless, growth is expected to stay in positive territory.
-
White papersNo Need To Panic—Keep Calm And Carry On
Fixed Income Views the US economy to be continuing to hold up relatively well and partly compensating for a mixed outlook in the rest of the globe.
-
White papersOur Analysts Talk Quality
Focusing on both offensive and defensive quality helps our analysts identify durable businesses in the pursuit of better portfolio outcomes.
-
White papersFX Options Are Poised For Growth
A renewed focus on electronic trading is essential to fuel longer term FX options growth.
-
White papersDisruptive Technology: Keeping Pace With the Pace of Change
Barings equity analysts, Matthew Ward and Colin Moar speak with Dr. Christopher Smart of the Barings Investment Institute about their recent whitepaper, “How Will Technological Disruption Strike Next?”
-
White papersChina’s Growth Tremors: Risks, Opportunities And The Road Ahead
Economy: soft landing and light policy support. In terms of Chinese growth, we see the rate continuing to slow. Chinese GDP growth rose 6.0% in the third quarter of 2019 (Chinese authorities forecasted a range of 6.0%-6.5% YoY), the slowest pace since the early 1990s. Moving into 2020, we do expect that the new growth target will be set around 6.0%, if not lower, at between 5.5% and 6.0%, and our current forecast is confirmed at 5.8% YoY.Exports unsurprisingly have been weak, private capex has slowed notably, and public infrastructure has not picked up as expected. Going forward, we expect public infrastructure capex to accelerate, and the tight real estate policy stance to potentially moderate. Chinese policy mix remains stimulative, though in a very limited way so far and far away from the massive stimulus implemented in recent years.
-
White papersThe stage is set for a rebound in unloved European value stocks
Investors have been troubled by the region recently, with a growing feeling that it is mirroring Japan’s ‘lost decade’. But there are reasons to be positive about it, and we are bullish on defensive stocks which we believe are currently trading too cheaply
-
White papersAPEC Provides the Trick, While the Fed Gives the Treat
The Fed cuts rates for the third time but turns less dovish, U.S. And European earnings are beating estimates and the APEC summit gets canceled.
-
White papersOnly 365 Days to Go!
Elections may be good for America, but this one won’t boost stocks.
-
White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - A Tug Of War Between Weaker Growth And Looser Policies
Emerging economies have faced a backlash in the last few months as a consequence of the global economic weakness and the uncertainty related to global trade. This weighed on the performance of EM equities in the third quarter, although they recovered somewhat in September. EM debt proved more resilient, supported by investors’ appetite for yield. Idiosyncratic events (Argentina, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, to name a few) also impacted the overall more fragile environment for EM.
-
White papersRiksbank To Take Interest Rates Back To Zero By End Of 2019 – Norges Bank On Wait-And-See Mode
The Riksbank and Norges Bank both held their monetary policy meetings this week.
-
White papersRemastering Volatility: Reducing Noise in Equity Allocations
Volatility is a challenge that has vexed equity investors for decades and has been amplified in today’s low interest-rate environment. As many investors reach for higher-return assets to help meet future obligations, they are likely to be more exposed to the higher inherent volatility that stocks add to an allocation. In this paper, we examine the root causes of volatility to provide a holistic perspective on risk-management solutions for the current complex environment. Distinguishing between market risk, factor risk and stock-specific risk can help investors identify the most appropriate strategic solutions to combat volatility and ensure that they are compensated for the risk in their equity portfolios.
-
White papersHow Will Technological Disruption Strike Next?
Investors have been scrambling to identify industries about to feel the brunt of all those dynamic forces that have gained momentum since the emergence of the Internet in the late 1990s.
-
White papersStructured Credit: Engaging Risk Tactics
Deal flow remained steady in Q3, keeping primary market spreads range-bound. Against a backdrop of low global interest rates, we have seen increasing investor interest in European CLOs.
-
White papersThe Power of Compounded Income
Over 10 years into an economic recovery, we’ve continued to see new highs in equity indexes. In this Q&A, Darryl Lucas explains how a focus on resiliently growing companies, coupled with the power of compounded dividend and profits growth, can lead to strong returns over time.
-
White papersEM Debt: Navigating the Geopolitical Noise
From the Middle East to China to Argentina, investors face no shortage of geopolitical risks and negative headlines. But is there still value to be found across emerging markets? Dr. Ricardo Adrogué weighs in.
-
White papersLow Touch Compression
The continued pressure of leverage ratios, G-SIB rules and constrained operational resources have driven banks to look for increasingly sophisticated compression solutions.
-
White papersPart II: Facing up to the challenge of fair pay
This is the second part of a four-part paper on SDG 8 – decent work and economic growth. In part one, we asserted that the challenges presented by increasingly tight labour markets provide opportunities to rethink hiring practices for mutual benefit. In this paper, we progress from our engagement on workforce diversity to the issue of fair pay.
-
White papersRecession Angst vs. Recession Realities
Global growth has been at the centre of investor worries, but in some geographies, this is currently more a function of anticipation than hard data. Looking into the fourth quarter of 2019, we would break the world into two groups. Europe and some major emerging markets are seeing weak growth that feels like recession, while the U.S. and other major countries are more at risk of confidence shocks that could overwhelm reasonably strong fundamentals. With our continued overall expectation of a global soft landing, we provide details on our investment views below.
-
White papersBeneath the Surface
This quarter, Neuberger Berman’s Asset Allocation Committee Outlook focuses on how surfaces can hide complexity and opportunity. As the S&P 500 Index breaks new records even as U.S. Treasury yields fall in anticipation of rate cuts, we believe it is time to be more cautious in overall stock and bond allocations.
