All Emerging Market articles – Page 51
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Government Shutdown Bites the Dust
Boeing may have an impact on U.S. economic data, the U.K. Tories are back and stronger than ever, and the government shutdown is averted, for now.
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Our convictions for emerging markets in 2020
GDP growth should be stronger across many emerging markets in 2020 as Anjeza Kadilli explains.
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December Macro Dashboard
The announced Phase One trade deal between the U.S. and China, as well as the Conservatives increasing their majority in the U.K. election, has tempered two of the biggest political risks hanging over the global economy. At least temporarily, sentiment is turning optimistic.
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A class apart: emerging Asia’s fixed income market
Why investors seeking a stable and attractive source of return within a diversified bond portfolio should head to emerging Asia.
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Raising the Bar – Impact Investing in a Changing World
Today we are witnessing an unprecedented wave of capital that seeks to make a difference for people and the planet. Investors, for their part, increasingly strive to generate both financial and social returns. Not that long ago, a $100 contribution to a microfinance fund was viewed as a philanthropic donation.
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Central Banks on Hold, USMCA in the Fold
FOMC and ECB meetings both signal a holds on rate changes and the USMCA likely to pass at the beginning of 2020.
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2020 appears tilted to the downside
The themes we discuss at our Annual Investment Symposium guide our research process. Over a longer-term horizon, we believe global stocks have greater performance potential than global bonds, supported by continued growth and moderate inflation. With government bond term-premia remaining below historical averages, we see a lower performance potential from government bonds.
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AI applications in financial services
In this paper, we examine the pros and cons of applying artificial intelligence (AI) in three areas of financial services: asset management, banking and insurance.
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Global Investment Views - December 2019
In recent weeks equities rallied along with bond yields as investors reacted to the prospect of a US-China ‘phase one deal’ and fading global recession fears. The value of negative yielding bonds continued to fall, from US$17 trillion over the summer to the current US$12.5 trillion. While equities were previously overshadowed by the excessive gloominess on the global economy and earnings, markets rebounded after corporate results in the US and Europe met or exceeded low expectations, and as economic data did not show any material worsening. The mantra now seems to be ‘not so bad is the new good’.
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In search of a free lunch
Correlations between groups of assets and within individual asset classes have changed in unexpected ways thanks to a decade of easy monetary policy. Our portfolio managers tell us what impact this has had on the way they manage money.
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Continued Support For Asset Returns
Our capital market expectations (CME) are designed to provide annualized return expectation over a longer-term horizon, typically viewed as being five to 10 years.
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2020: An Inflection Point for EM Currencies?
With the financial crisis more than a decade behind us, the global financial system seems poised to begin re-leveraging. This process, which would likely take years to play out, would provide a source of funding for EM currencies, and represent a significant tailwind.
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The Continued Democratization of Private Equity
Private equity is an asset class that has traditionally been available only to very large, sophisticated institutional investors. But this is changing rapidly—a trend we expect to accelerate in 2020.
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Comeback Time for International Equities?
Because the U.S. equity market is broad and deep, there will almost always be opportunities—but in aggregate, we think international equity markets may be more compelling over the next year.
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Europe’s Time to Shine?
If Brexit headwinds begin to clear, and the German economy sees improvement, it would support the European economy as a whole. At the same time, any weakness in the U.S. dollar could further propel international markets, potentially reversing a decade of underperformance.
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Coping With A Changing Market Landscape
Our CIOs’ Global Investment Outlook stresses it’s important to be selective and not too complacent in 2020.
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2020: The Road Ahead
From fixed income and equities to real estate and alternatives, Barings’ teams share their predictions for 2020 and views on where the biggest risks and most compelling opportunities may lie.
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A Bright Spot in Higher-Yielding EM Corporate Debt
Many EM regions have been engulfed in uncertainty for weeks or months. While these situations certainly represent risks, we also continue to find value—often in globally diversified companies that have been unfairly punished by markets because of where they’re domiciled.
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How Crucial is a Weaker Dollar in Supporting an EM Rally?
As concerns of a near-term recession seem to have dissipated, we think—in what may be somewhat of a contrarian call—riskier assets look well-positioned to potentially outperform in the year ahead.