All Emerging Market articles – Page 51
-
White papersUS v China: the real agenda behind the trade war
Not since the Cold War has the US had a serious rival superpower. Even in that period of intense nuclear paranoia, a sign mounted inside the Pentagon proclaimed: “If we ever faced a real enemy, we would be in deep trouble”. With the rise of an increasingly powerful, influential and technologically advanced China, that adversary could have arrived.
-
White papersH1 2019 - Emerging Markets Charts & Views: Seek opportunities, but be aware of short-term volatility
Emerging markets (EM) started 2019 on a strong footing and, as a result, some excessive valuation gaps have been partially closed. Yet, we continue to see opportunities in all EM segments (equity, bonds in hard currency and in local currency) with a medium to long-term view.
-
White papersTop trends in 2019 – Infrastructure Outlook
This paper focuses on three key themes in Europe and North America to help investors navigate portfolio allocation decisions.
-
White papersIndia: Rupee Faces Significant Risks from April Elections
Indians go the polls in April to elect a new leadership. Can Prime Minister Modi’s party win an outright majority or will India have a coalition government?
-
White papersTime to increase risk exposure: start with emerging markets and credit
The excess of pessimism at the end of 2018 resulted in a sharp decline in financial markets and renewed volatility. According to our analysis, market participants priced in twice the slowdown risk that economic fundamentals justified.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - February 2019
After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.
-
White papersInvestment Perspectives For A New Regime Of Returns
After two years of positive performance across the board, with almost no asset class in negative territory, 2018 is marking a change of direction, with an unprecedented percentage of asset classes in red. This may cause a sense of uncertainty among investors facing uncharted waters ahead.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
-
White papersMarket Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy Special Edition: Outlook 2019
With late cycle features continuing to materialise and a higher level of vulnerability developing due to the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, 2019 will require investors to embrace a more prudent approach, despite the benign global economic outlook.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views: December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
-
White papersBrazilian elections: lights and shadows on the horizon
The expected outcome of the presidential election occurred, with right-wing candidate Jair Bolsonaro winning vs the leftist Fernando Haddad.
-
White papersThree Investible Themes in China A-Shares
The China A-Share market presents a compelling opportunity for quality growth managers, thanks in part to its growing new economy.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: October 2018
The hot summer in emerging markets has been a key investor theme in the third quarter of this year.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views: October 2018
The hot summer in emerging markets has been a key investor theme in the third quarter of this year. While the ongoing US/China trade tensions continue to weigh on investor sentiment, the sequence of country-specific stories (Turkey, Argentina and South Africa) contributed to the almost indiscriminate repricing of EM assets, starting with plummeting EM currencies.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: September 2018
Italian budget discussions are going to intensify as the 27th of September approaches, date of publication of the document outlining the new budget law and when there should be more clarity on the key economic projections and deficit targets.
-
White papersBetter Than A Benchmark: Grassroots Research
By going on the ground in emerging markets and talking to people in their homes, equity investors can develop research insights about long-term, powerful trends driven by environmental and social sustainability.
-
White papersStrategic Relative Value: Q3 2018
A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.
-
White papersEmerging or submerging? For investors, that is the question
The world is not just changing, it is being reinvented. Shanghai perhaps, is the epitome of the transformation that we are witnessing. The Bund and its stunning art deco architecture are still there, but across the river, the old fishing village of Pudong has been turned into a forest of magnificent skyscrapers. It is China’s hypermodern interpretation of a 21st century Manhattan.
-
White papersEmerging Market Expertise: Understanding Local Nuances
The decline of emerging market equities from peaks earlier this year may mean lower share prices, but the premise for investing in emerging markets remains.
