All Emerging Market articles – Page 51
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Domestic focus to exploit Emerging Markets equity opportunities
The emerging markets (EM) universe has experienced significant changes in the last decade with the further addition of investible countries (i.e. China A shares in 2018).
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Will electric cars create shocking losses or supercharge profits?
Many investors are worried that the switch to electric could hurt the profits of car-makers. Few have considered how the industry may stand to benefit.
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Emerging Markets Charts & Views - Q3 2019
The recent dovishness from the Fed, a benign inflation environment and the easing in global financial conditions continue to support a goldilocks environment for Emerging Markets (EM) assets. On the risks side, trade disputes appear to be softening as we approach the US presidential campaign. But the existing tariffs are weighing on the corporate earnings, with mixed prospects across regions as some countries are also benefitting from a restructuring of the global supply chain.
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Three Ways to Manage Liquidity Risk in Bond Markets
Liquidity risk has grabbed headlines recently after several high-profile funds imploded. The hunt is on to find ways to manage liquidity risk and protect portfolios against further setbacks—but not all investors will be up to the task.
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European Smaller Companies: An Evergreen Growth Opportunity
In this Q&A, Nick Williams, Barings’ Head of Small Cap Equities, discusses the opportunities his team is seeing in the current environment, and explains why an active approach, combined with rigorous, bottom-up stock selection, is key to identifying high-quality companies.
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Russian ecommerce: a moonshot moment?
During a recent research trip to Russia, we confirmed our view that the nation’s ecommerce industry is a rare gem within the troubled wider economy. As Russia’s economic growth flags and protests become more frequent, we consider whether President Vladimir Putin’s ambitious “National Projects” spending program will manage to boost innovation – particularly in digitisation – and inject life into the Russian economy.
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Will trade tensions reshape the world order?
The protectionist wave will almost certainly have a chilling effect on the global economy. But trade growth was slowing well before the US-China spat. In the latest Ahead of the Curve, we assess whether the tariff war is disruptive or merely accelerating trends already underway. And will we find opportunities in this fragmented global system, or only challenges?
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Pick a Number, Any Number
Among Three Central Rate Forecasts, The Middle Still Feels Right.
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The Great Disappearing Trade Deal
The Great China Trade Deal evaporated before our eyes last week and investors should stop hoping it back into existence. In the increasingly tense relationship between Washington and Beijing, tariffs, retaliation and escalation are all just part of the furniture now.
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Midyear Bond Outlook: Making Sense of Conflicting Signals
The first half of 2019 was kind to financial markets. Will the good times keep on rolling? In our view, that will depend on whether loosening monetary policy is still an effective way to boost growth.
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A Man, A Plan, A Canal – A Trade War
Trade flows, like water, ultimately find their path.
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Strategic Relative Value Q2 2019
A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.
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G20: Market Relief, Eyes Now On Central Bank's Execution
The worst case scenario of further trade escalation has been averted. The G20 meeting over the weekend resumed the negotiations between China and US on trade, after the tariffs increase in May on$200bn of Chinese products, and the consequent Chinese retaliation,which both put financial markets under pressure and increased downside risk to the economic outlook.
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How to differentiate emerging countries? New Approaches For Classification And Typology
Once accepted the idea that the emerging world may behave like a block in period of crises (as the group of advanced countries also does), one must wonder whether one should go beyond that and consider that the emerging world deserves better: the wide divergence between countries, the health of some countries (sometimes better than some advanced countries) simply mean that it does not make sense to view the “emerging world” as a whole, as a block, but as well-defined, specific and homogeneous subsets.
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Emerging Markets: Vulnerability And Contagion Risks... Fragile Vs. Anti-Fragile Countries
This article is aimed at analysing contagion within the emerging world in the past decades, and at presenting investment strategies to limit negative effects of contagion and / or to benefit from it.
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How Europe Took a Knife to a Gunfight
The continent has made remarkable progress… but its economic interests remain vulnerable in a world that once again favors a sharp elbow over a memorandum of understanding.
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Turkey: Inflation, Exchange Rate’s Pass-Through And Monetary Policy
Despite a huge collapse in activity, the Turkish inflation is still flirting with 20% yoy and the main monetary policy rate is stuck at 24% for 8 months.
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Core Matter: A Deeper Look into Financial Vulnerabilities
Almost ten years of record low interest rates have raised leverage in the non-financial sector as well as investors’ tolerance for riskier and less liquid instruments. As a result, the average quality of corporate debt has worsened. Credit risk has shifted away from banks to asset managers. Mutual funds’ ...
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Banning Huawei: an act of economic war
As long-term investors in Chinese companies, we ask ourselves: is the US’s blacklisting of Huawei a tactic in ongoing trade tensions, or a move instigating an economic war?