All Emerging Market articles – Page 47
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2019
In recent weeks equities rallied along with bond yields as investors reacted to the prospect of a US-China ‘phase one deal’ and fading global recession fears. The value of negative yielding bonds continued to fall, from US$17 trillion over the summer to the current US$12.5 trillion. While equities were previously overshadowed by the excessive gloominess on the global economy and earnings, markets rebounded after corporate results in the US and Europe met or exceeded low expectations, and as economic data did not show any material worsening. The mantra now seems to be ‘not so bad is the new good’.
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White papersIn search of a free lunch
Correlations between groups of assets and within individual asset classes have changed in unexpected ways thanks to a decade of easy monetary policy. Our portfolio managers tell us what impact this has had on the way they manage money.
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White papers2020: An Inflection Point for EM Currencies?
With the financial crisis more than a decade behind us, the global financial system seems poised to begin re-leveraging. This process, which would likely take years to play out, would provide a source of funding for EM currencies, and represent a significant tailwind.
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White papersThe Continued Democratization of Private Equity
Private equity is an asset class that has traditionally been available only to very large, sophisticated institutional investors. But this is changing rapidly—a trend we expect to accelerate in 2020.
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White papersComeback Time for International Equities?
Because the U.S. equity market is broad and deep, there will almost always be opportunities—but in aggregate, we think international equity markets may be more compelling over the next year.
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White papersEurope’s Time to Shine?
If Brexit headwinds begin to clear, and the German economy sees improvement, it would support the European economy as a whole. At the same time, any weakness in the U.S. dollar could further propel international markets, potentially reversing a decade of underperformance.
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White papers2020: The Road Ahead
From fixed income and equities to real estate and alternatives, Barings’ teams share their predictions for 2020 and views on where the biggest risks and most compelling opportunities may lie.
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White papersA Bright Spot in Higher-Yielding EM Corporate Debt
Many EM regions have been engulfed in uncertainty for weeks or months. While these situations certainly represent risks, we also continue to find value—often in globally diversified companies that have been unfairly punished by markets because of where they’re domiciled.
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White papersHow Crucial is a Weaker Dollar in Supporting an EM Rally?
As concerns of a near-term recession seem to have dissipated, we think—in what may be somewhat of a contrarian call—riskier assets look well-positioned to potentially outperform in the year ahead.
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White papersInnovation for a healthier world
From big data to smart beds, technology is revolutionising our health, opening up attractive investment opportunities.
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White papersAsia bonds: tactical value for a long-term opportunity
Asian debt exhibits robust fundamentals and bright long-term prospects, with attractive yields.
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White papersGlobal Environmental Opportunities: transforming sustainable investment
Kanpur in northern India is known as the Manchester of the East. Located on the banks of the Ganges river, it is home to various heavy industries, including leather, chemicals and fertilisers. But, unlike its English twin, the Indian city’s economic heft brings enormous side-effects.
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White papersStay agile amid diverging scenarios
After enjoying stellar performance this year, investors will increasingly question whether the global economy will proceed towards a trade war-engineered recession moving into 2020, thereby ending the longest ever bull market. Or, if growth stabilizes at a low level, and potentially rebounds, the cycle could extend even further.
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White papersInvestors: the new guardians of the environment
In an opinion piece for the Thomson Reuters Foundation, Pictet Asset Management CEO Laurent Ramsey says investors are uniquely placed to change the world for the better, if they use the right tools.
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White papersNovember Macro Dashboard
Global leading indicators edged higher in October; but remain in contraction territory. And while global central banks continue to maintain an accommodative monetary policy stance as downside risks to growth persist.
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White papersInequality: the tension between growth and social justice in emerging markets
From Europe to North America and across Asia, income inequality is rising – with emerging markets generating the world’s most extreme levels.
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White papers
2020 Investment Outlook - Be Agile To Cope With Diverging Scenarios
After enjoying stellar performance this year, moving into 2020, investors will increasingly ask whether the global economy will proceed towards a trade war-engineered recession or whether growth will stabilise at a low level and potentially rebound, meaning the cycle could extend even further. In our view, the retreat in global trade is causing a major change in the structure of growth, but does not point to a full-blown recession, especially at a time when cumulative loose policies are gearing up and a partial deal between the US and China is in sight. Monetary and fiscal policy combination, a prominent theme going forward, may extend the current cycle further. While the noise on trade-related issues will be high, a material escalation is unlikely given the upcoming US elections in 2020. However, the path for investors will not be linear. In the short term, market expectations for policy actions have gone too far and need to be adjusted.
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White papersTwo cultures, one aim: quantitative and fundamental collaboration
How genuine collaboration between quantitative and fundamental analysts can enhance stock selection and portfolio construction.
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White papersThe euro zone: a blueprint for a brighter future
The euro zone’s new stimulus package could deliver the biggest monetary and fiscal boost since 2008. And it’s also a sign that the region is putting firmer foundations in place.
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White papersLooking into 2020 with Hermes
2020 will be another uncertain year. Brexit will rumble on, bringing further volatility and polarising the UK political dialogue; China and US relations will remain tense and concern markets, despite a possible partial trade deal being secured before the end of 2019; and the US presidential race will likely unsettle world markets.
