All Emerging Market articles – Page 47
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White papersEurope’s Time to Shine?
If Brexit headwinds begin to clear, and the German economy sees improvement, it would support the European economy as a whole. At the same time, any weakness in the U.S. dollar could further propel international markets, potentially reversing a decade of underperformance.
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White papers2020: The Road Ahead
From fixed income and equities to real estate and alternatives, Barings’ teams share their predictions for 2020 and views on where the biggest risks and most compelling opportunities may lie.
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White papersA Bright Spot in Higher-Yielding EM Corporate Debt
Many EM regions have been engulfed in uncertainty for weeks or months. While these situations certainly represent risks, we also continue to find value—often in globally diversified companies that have been unfairly punished by markets because of where they’re domiciled.
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White papersHow Crucial is a Weaker Dollar in Supporting an EM Rally?
As concerns of a near-term recession seem to have dissipated, we think—in what may be somewhat of a contrarian call—riskier assets look well-positioned to potentially outperform in the year ahead.
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White papersAsia bonds: tactical value for a long-term opportunity
Asian debt exhibits robust fundamentals and bright long-term prospects, with attractive yields.
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White papersStay agile amid diverging scenarios
After enjoying stellar performance this year, investors will increasingly question whether the global economy will proceed towards a trade war-engineered recession moving into 2020, thereby ending the longest ever bull market. Or, if growth stabilizes at a low level, and potentially rebounds, the cycle could extend even further.
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White papersNovember Macro Dashboard
Global leading indicators edged higher in October; but remain in contraction territory. And while global central banks continue to maintain an accommodative monetary policy stance as downside risks to growth persist.
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White papersInequality: the tension between growth and social justice in emerging markets
From Europe to North America and across Asia, income inequality is rising – with emerging markets generating the world’s most extreme levels.
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White papers
2020 Investment Outlook - Be Agile To Cope With Diverging Scenarios
After enjoying stellar performance this year, moving into 2020, investors will increasingly ask whether the global economy will proceed towards a trade war-engineered recession or whether growth will stabilise at a low level and potentially rebound, meaning the cycle could extend even further. In our view, the retreat in global trade is causing a major change in the structure of growth, but does not point to a full-blown recession, especially at a time when cumulative loose policies are gearing up and a partial deal between the US and China is in sight. Monetary and fiscal policy combination, a prominent theme going forward, may extend the current cycle further. While the noise on trade-related issues will be high, a material escalation is unlikely given the upcoming US elections in 2020. However, the path for investors will not be linear. In the short term, market expectations for policy actions have gone too far and need to be adjusted.
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White papersTwo cultures, one aim: quantitative and fundamental collaboration
How genuine collaboration between quantitative and fundamental analysts can enhance stock selection and portfolio construction.
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White papersLooking into 2020 with Hermes
2020 will be another uncertain year. Brexit will rumble on, bringing further volatility and polarising the UK political dialogue; China and US relations will remain tense and concern markets, despite a possible partial trade deal being secured before the end of 2019; and the US presidential race will likely unsettle world markets.
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White papersGenerali Investments SICAV (GIS) SRI Ageing Population Fund Celebrating 4 years of success!
What are the most important lessons learned in terms of the performance since GIS SRI Ageing Population (the Fund) was launched in 2015?
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White papersHermes Impact Report, Q3 2019
Measurement is one of the key pillars of impact investing – alongside intentionality and additionality – that distinguishes it from other traditional forms of investing. However, in a rapidly growing market, impact measurement is not a straightforward science.
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White papersThe Secret To Europe's Success
Bank integration will help the continent emerge from its doldrums.
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White papersEmployment, Earnings & Trade Momentum Ease Market Fears
Labor market seems in good health, earnings continue to beat expectations and a trade deal could occur in December.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 - 2019
Our medium-term baseline scenario is that of a late business cycle slowdown supported by the dovish U-turn of central banks. We expect economic growth to move below potential for most developed economies in 2020, a trend that will be further exacerbated in 2021 by a deteriorating cyclical environment and still anaemic global trade. Nevertheless, growth is expected to stay in positive territory.
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White papersOur Analysts Talk Quality
Focusing on both offensive and defensive quality helps our analysts identify durable businesses in the pursuit of better portfolio outcomes.
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White papersFX Options Are Poised For Growth
A renewed focus on electronic trading is essential to fuel longer term FX options growth.
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White papersDisruptive Technology: Keeping Pace With the Pace of Change
Barings equity analysts, Matthew Ward and Colin Moar speak with Dr. Christopher Smart of the Barings Investment Institute about their recent whitepaper, “How Will Technological Disruption Strike Next?”
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White papersChina’s Growth Tremors: Risks, Opportunities And The Road Ahead
Economy: soft landing and light policy support. In terms of Chinese growth, we see the rate continuing to slow. Chinese GDP growth rose 6.0% in the third quarter of 2019 (Chinese authorities forecasted a range of 6.0%-6.5% YoY), the slowest pace since the early 1990s. Moving into 2020, we do expect that the new growth target will be set around 6.0%, if not lower, at between 5.5% and 6.0%, and our current forecast is confirmed at 5.8% YoY.Exports unsurprisingly have been weak, private capex has slowed notably, and public infrastructure has not picked up as expected. Going forward, we expect public infrastructure capex to accelerate, and the tight real estate policy stance to potentially moderate. Chinese policy mix remains stimulative, though in a very limited way so far and far away from the massive stimulus implemented in recent years.
