All Commentary articles – Page 143
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – Japan, Edition 2020
Opportunities despite traditional vulnerabilities.
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White papersOne Quarter Or Two?
Markets will stabilize when investors start to focus on the same question.
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White papersOne month for the history books
Global equities (MSCI World) have lost 30% since the 19th of February, as the Chinese sanitary crisis morphed into a Global Covid Crisis (GCC). This is the fastest sell-off ever. The drawdown has cut $24 trillion from the global equity market capitalisation – more than the annual US GDP! Investors are scared and praying that the contagion of the coronavirus will slow. But for now the pandemic crisis is still worsening: in the 7 days to 19 March, the total numbers of cases, now 235k, has increased at an average 9% per day.
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White papersUS Economic Scenarios in Context of Covid-19
Given the fluid and fast-moving nature of the pandemic, calculating the impact to growth is challenging, but global agencies, including the IMF, are increasingly concerned that the world is likely to face a recession.
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White papersGold at the End of the Government’s Rainbow
Initial claims show the first impact on the U.S. labor market and are likely to increase, the second U.S. stimulus package is in the books and a third is on the way while the ECB announces a Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program.
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White papersGIAM Macro & Market Research - Market Commentary
Yesterday evening the ECB surprisingly launched its new QE program “to counter the serious risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the outlook for the euro area posed by the outbreak and escalating diffusion of the coronavirus, COVID-19.” At the March 12 policy meeting President Lagarde made clear that the response to the crisis should be “fiscal first and foremost”. However, the dramatic developments since then – with specifically sovereign euro area bond spreads rising strongly – induced further ECB action.
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White papersCovid-19 update - Current credit market perspectives
The rapidly expanding footprint of the new Covid- 19 coronavirus, has shaken investor confidence, with significant falls in global equity markets as investors focus on the likely recessionary impact on global growth, as well as the direct sectoral impacts in key areas such as tourism, retail, autos and at company level on supply chain exposures to China. This has also fed into global credit markets.
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White papersQuarterly Economic Outlook: Keeping the Punch Bowl Filled
In his latest Economic Outlook, Senior Economic Adviser to the International business of Federated Hermes, Neil Williams, looks at the arguments for keeping the punch bowl of central-bank liquidity filled, and warns that we may only be half way through our current era of cheap money.
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White papersEuropean Research Flash Report
Global economic growth expectations for 2020 have been adjusted significantly downwards amid the spreading of the COVID- 19 virus and oil price decline. Based on this, at least some leading European economies are expected to go into recession in 2020. But, in contrast to the GFC, the current event-driven crisis could prove temporary as economic fundamentals were strong at its outset, possibly signalling a V-shaped recovery.
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White papersOutlook 2020: European commercial real estate
Parts of European commercial real estate look challenged in 2020, but opportunities can still be found, especially in “winning cities”.
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White papersBeyond the CBD: Sweet Spots In the Urban Fringe & Suburbs
The COVID-19 pandemic is unexpected and still rapidly developing globally which will impact the U.S economy and commercial real estate investments. The duration, scale and severity of the outbreak are still unknown. This report represents the views of Clarion Partners as of March 2020 and does not address any impact or potential impact of the pandemic.
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White papersOutlook special – Potential impact of COVID-19 on global real estate markets
COVID-19 is a rapidly evolving scenario with varied impacts on real estate markets, depending on country, market and sector. The impact on property performance will depend heavily on the duration and spread of the virus, which is very uncertain. Occupier demand will be negatively affected, most significantly in retail, leisure and hotels, as movement is restricted and consumer confidence dented. Investment volumes to be lower as real estate market liquidity falls.
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White papersNovel coronavirus – Status of progression
The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is continuing to spread across the world with an estimated 137,100 infections and almost 5,100 deaths as of March 13, 2020. The World Health Organization has officially designated it as a “pandemic” in order to mobilize maximum government resources globally. Apart from the human cost, global economic output is suffering with the IMF officially lowering its estimate for global growth to 2.6% for 2020, which is close to its stalling speed.
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White papersSharpe Thinking: managing coronavirus volatility
What’s moving the investment landscape? In these turbulent markets, we bring you views from our portfolio managers, analysts and economists, delivered by our Investment Office – an independent team ensuring that our strategies perform in the best interest of clients.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – APAC, Edition 2020
Mixed fortunes offer up diverse opportunity sets in the next five years.
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White papersThe credit-market breakup: it’s not V, it’s U
What should fixed-income investors read into the recent moves in markets and how should they respond in the near, medium and longer term? In an atmosphere of uncertainty, we consider how a bias towards higher-quality credit and a flexible approach to protecting against the downside can help investors weather any further turbulence.
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White papersAsia ex-Japan Strategy Update March 2020
In this webinar Jonathan Pines, Lead Manager, gives an update on the Hermes Asia ex-Japan Strategy.
