Outlooks – Page 2
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White papersPolitics and the investor
With more than a quarter of the world’s population going to the polls this year, we consider the investment implications of elections in India, Mexico, South Africa, the UK and the US.
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White papersNeuberger Berman Private Markets Q4 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary and Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
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White papersGreen machines: the future of transport
The transportation sector is largely powered by petroleum-based fuels, and contributes about 25% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Clearly, there is a need to move people and freight, but leading global economies are working to decarbonise the sector through technological innovation, policy change and greater efficiency.
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White papersDollarisation in emerging markets
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income team believes nations facing economic turmoil, marked by currency devaluation and hyperinflation, see dollarisation as a fast track to restoring economic equilibrium.
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White papersIndia: The structural growth story and the long-term investment opportunity
India’s equity markets are being driven by fundamentals in the form of robust economic expansion which is leading to strong earnings growth. India is also, helpfully, in the draft of favorable geopolitical tailwinds. In this paper, we make the case for India—not as the potential new China or as potentially one of the best-performing equity markets of 2024—but for its own long-term structural growth prospects. We also explain why an active approach is needed to get the best out of India, to capture quality, navigate the challenges, and manage macro variables like inflation, interest rates and global economic growth.
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White papersThe case for US and EU industrial real estate
Notwithstanding some near-term challenges and regional differences, Clarion believes industrial real estate will remain a compelling long-term investment opportunity across the European Union and the United States.
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White papersAs tech shapes the future of flight, here’s how investors can get on board
The airline industry is taking flight once again. Between 2004 and 2019, flights increased steadily, rising from 23.8 million to 38.9 million annual global flights. Although flights dropped to 16.9 million during the pandemic, these levels could double by the end of 2023.
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White papersAsian IT: the global AI enabler
The information-technology sector in Asia is entering a very exciting stage. Profound disruptive change powered by generative artificial intelligence could reshape the world in the next 10 years, and Asian IT is the enabler. Technology hardware is our main pick among sectors in 2024 and the topic of the second in our four-part series on Asian equities.
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White papersIs employment at the heart of US economic growth?
Every economist fetishises their chosen leading indicator for the US economy – be it the ISM manufacturing index, capacity utilisation rate or new home sales. We cannot overstate the dangers of this habit and prefer to base our analysis on nowcasting indicators. But if there is one indicator that represents a syncretism of the economy, it is the labour market. This week, Simply put applies an economic theory linking employment conditions to GDP growth to estimate US output for 2024.
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White papersCIO views: finding value through patient investing
How and where can patience reward investors? Over time, how could patient investors find better value? Across asset classes, our CIOs seek out areas they believe are underestimated or mispriced by the market and could offer superior prospects to investors adopting a long-term approach.
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White papersThe Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
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White papersA sort-of Super Tuesday
This week played host to ‘Super Tuesday’, a key date in the US presidential election calendar where key states hold their primary elections. This year’s results yielded few surprises and set up the 2024 US Presidential election to be a rematch of 2020.
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White papersWhere next for the rally?
Three key equity markets hit all-time highs this week as the risk-on mood broadened beyond the US and into Asia-Pacific (APAC) indices.
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White papersTaking Flight: The Opportunity in Aircraft Financing
Investments in aircraft can offer steady cash flow and a return profile that’s uncorrelated to broad market indices.
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White papersInfrastructure Investor: Flight to quality over quantity
“Diversification is key as global and macroeconomic trends continue to boost returns across the infrastructure debt market.” - Victor Kozel, Head of Infrastructure Debt
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White papersConfronting the ‘China bear’
Given China’s clouded economic outlook and the now deeply depressed ratios on Chinese equities, should investors remain negative on the Chinese market much longer? While it may be too early to become a ‘China bull’, recent domestic policy and geopolitical developments may start chasing away the ‘China bear’. So, what has changed?
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White papersTaking action! Join us on our journey through sustainable investing in private markets
”There is an extreme shortage of sustainable assets and the supply-demand differential will only grow in the future.”
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - March 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 7 March 2024
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2024
”European PMI data diverge not only in terms of sectors, but also in terms of countries and sub-components.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2024
“While we expect the Fed, Bank of England and ECB to start rate cuts around June, we will keep an eye on the pace of disinflation for any surprises.”
