Outlooks – Page 6
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White papersMultipolar world in action
In line with our long-standing view that the level of geopolitical risk will rise for the remainder of this decade, the last few months have revealed an accelerated transition towards a multipolar world.
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White papersBack to school: from summer clarity to autumn’s changing winds
With higher-than-anticipated tariff rates across the board — averaging roughly 18% (about 3 percentage points above our prior baseline), with several exemptions — we expect a slightly stronger stagflationary tilt to near-term macro projections.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2025
Topic of the month - Back to school: from summer clarity to autumn’s changing winds
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White papersA wheel opportunity: Premium tyre makers use EVs to inflate margins
The electric vehicle (EV) transition presents a significant opportunity for premium tyre manufacturers. EVs create unique demands on tyres that favour established industry leaders with advanced technological capabilities. At the same time, growing regulation and litigation on tyre particulate emissions, deforestation-risk rubber, and toxic tyre chemical compounds could reverse the market share growth of budget tyre entrants in Western markets.
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White papersEngagement case study: Apple Inc.
How we engaged with one of the world’s largest technology companies.
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White papersGuess who is beating the Magnificent 7?
If you were hunting for a group of stocks to dethrone the Magnificent Seven (“Mag Seven”), there is a good chance European banks were not at the top of your list. But looking at returns over the past 12 months and on a year-to-date basis, that is exactly what has happened.
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White papersOversupply risks rise as oil demand softens: Quick takes on capital markets
Diverging inflation trends and weak growth leave the ECB cautious, as markets debate whether September marked the final rate cut—underscoring the uncertainty around Europe’s monetary policy path and its impact on investor sentiment.
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White papersThree reasons to invest in Infrastructure Debt today
We believe infrastructure debt offers distinct advantages in today’s market, combining resilience, structural diversification, and alignment with global megatrends. The points below highlight why we believe infrastructure debt is a compelling opportunity for long-term investors.”
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White papersInfrastructure: Stable, scalable and in demand
For institutional investors worried about long-term market volatility, infrastructure appears something of a panacea, offering diversification, stability and yield.
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White papersFour charts on why the US economy is so resilient
The United States economy is at a crossroads. Cracks are forming and growth is slowing as tariff policies weigh on hiring and curb consumer spending. On the other hand, generative artificial intelligence (AI) is driving a surge in productivity. The question is: Can AI fill the cracks in the US economy?
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White papersUS stocks touch new all-time highs
The S&P 500, the primary US equities index, touched record highs recently, led by the technology sector and the optimism around the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. A better-than-expected corporate earnings season and hopes of interest rate cuts by the Fed also supported sentiment.
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White papersCan AI continue to power U.S. exceptionalism?
As AI demand drives technology stocks to record highs, investors question whether extraordinary capital spending will deliver sustainable returns and if the Magnificent 7’s market dominance can continue. Discover why U.S. tech leadership may face new challenges, how market concentration creates both opportunities and risks, and what the competitive threat from emerging markets like China means for long-term investment strategy.
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White papersOil and gas: The case for higher returns
Oil and gas companies have historically delivered modest returns despite a favorable environment – averaging just 10% over 30 years. Now, rising political volatility, climate litigation, and competition from clean technologies have increased the risks for the sector. Yet, companies are targeting the same returns. Investors must demand more.
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White papersPlatform wars: How competition could reshape China’s gig worker economy
China’s vast army of gig workers is the backbone of the country’s digital economy, powering consumption and logistics infrastructure. Despite offering flexibility and opportunity, the gig economy also presents challenges such as weak labour protection and income insecurity.
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White papersConstructing the Future: Building Resilient Portfolios With Infrastructure
Private infrastructure stands out in an uncertain world.
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White papersA 20,000-Foot Perspective: Can Bonds and Equities Both be Right?
The combination of stagflation concerns from macro data and robust corporate earnings in the last week have helped bolster the case for a striking gap between fixed income and equity premia persisting, highlighting the complex and finely balanced growth outlook.
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White papersMacro brief: Tariff clarity for Japan but political uncertainty remains
Japan watchers have seen the country strike a solid trade deal with the US in recent weeks, bringing much-needed certainty to a country still dependent on nascent reflation. At the same time, however, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)/Komeito coalition’s failure to secure a majority in Upper House elections has intensified calls for new political leadership.
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White papers“US(D) exceptionalism” is not going away
Although equity investors have been adjusting their regional allocations away from the US dollar in recent months, there is little sign this is happening in bond markets, where yields remain high and alternatives to the dollar are limited.
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White papersAsset Class Returns H1 2025
Improved growth/inflation mix: Our long-term model assumptions anticipate a fragmented and even more delayed energy transition, incorporating secular trends and uncertainties that impact price dynamics and volatility. Compared to last year, the growth/inflation outlook appears less penalised by a restrictive regulatory framework around the energy transition, but the uncertainty around inflation has increased.
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White papersMid-year investment update – Through the rapids
Markets have faced no shortage of challenges over the last quarter, most notably the threat of US import tariffs after ‘Liberation Day’, but also the prospect of a surge in oil prices stemming from the conflict in the Middle East and a sell-off in US Treasury yields following an expansionary budget bill in the US.
