Outlooks – Page 3
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White papersDeep Waves: Longevity—the undertow to the demographic wave
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Kim Catechis suggests longer life expectancy around the world is a blessing but calls for preparation. This includes financial services firms that can develop longer client relationships by placing extra emphasis on building trust with aging investors.
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White papersCorporate Hybrid Issuers Adopt a 30-Year Maturity Standard
A growing trend for issuing corporate hybrids with shorter contractual maturities is further reducing aspects of risk in the asset class. Recent corporate hybrid issuance, in both Europe and the U.S., suggests a trend for moving from long-dated or perpetual contractual maturity structures to shorter-dated 30-year maturities.
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White papersInnovation, Conflict and a Mysterious Disappearance
This year’s recommendation for vacation reading is a fascinating page-turner about one of the early 20th century’s most influential inventors. With the calendar turning to August, it’s the time of year when many market participants will be seeking the opportunity to take a vacation, enjoy the Olympics and generally get a break from the relentless headlines.
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White papersCredit’s turn to shine
From attractive yields to strong fundamentals, our analysis shows that credit markets have the potential to outperform.
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White papersJapan: The butterfly effect
Japanese equities have recently experienced one of their biggest ever drawdowns. Carl Vine, Co-Head of Asia Pacific Equities, examines the drivers of the market volatility and asks what the potential implications could be for investing in Japan.
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White papersAsset Management Mid-Year Outlook 2024: Cutting Through Complexity
As we head into the second half of 2024, our investment teams share their views on the most meaningful market trends and potential opportunities and risks.
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White papersThe Generational Divide
Leveraging data from the Retirement Survey & Insights Report 2023, this supplemental report examines the challenges faced by each working generation (working Baby Boomers, Generation X, Millennials, and Generation Z) in an effort to better understand their retirement journey.
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White papersFrontier emerging markets: An untapped investment opportunity
Frontier emerging markets are growing rapidly and may become a larger part of the global economy. This presents an attractive investment opportunity to the Franklin Templeton Emerging Market Equity team.
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White papersReimagining Cities: Balancing Debt, Demographics and Dreams
Many cities are highly indebted as they face mounting challenges. Meanwhile, developing world cities often lack institutions for collecting tax revenues. With their importance growing, cities must square the circle between creating thriving economies and meeting society’s needs. It’s a time for strategies that tackle key issues such as affordable housing, climate change and crime.
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White papersAsia Private Equity: Riding the ‘Three Locomotives
Broadly diversified economies and a limited private equity presence appear to be enhancing regional opportunities for private capital. Private equity is enjoying increased attention in Asia, where global investors are looking for exposure offering diversification from more established U.S. and European markets. In the latest of our interview series on The Changing Asian Landscape, Kent Chen, Head of Asia Private Equity, describes some of the virtues of investing in the “three locomotives” of Japan, China and India, and how Neuberger Berman’s broad Asia platform has enhanced our efforts to provide investors effective access to these opportunities.
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White papersPutting Put-Writing Into Perspective
When equities sputter, market volatility simmers and interest rates remain elevated, we believe underwriting market risk—by writing puts on the S&P 500 Index—can be a capital-efficient strategy for investors seeking to generate a diversified source of income in an uncertain economic environment.
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White papersGaining an Edge with ESG
In this quantitative research study, we investigate the relationship between environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors and subsequent performance. We believe a systematic approach can provide meaningful exposure to companies that deliver strong ESG performance while potentially increasing overall returns.
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White papersWhy We Believe Quality Is a Good Guide for Value Investing
Value investing involves picking stocks that are trading at attractive prices as determined by metrics such as price book and price earnings. Clients sometimes ask us why Breton Hill takes a quality approach to value investing when so many of our peers are focused on distressed value. In this note we review the history of applying quality to value investing in an effort to improve outcomes. We then conduct an out-of-sample analysis to assess whether this effect still holds in the more recent decade subsequent to the publication of well-known quality papers.
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White papersLDI: July 2024, snap elections, all change but has anything changed?
The first half of 2024 disappointed markets as the large rate cuts reflected in market pricing at the start of the year failed to realise. Central banks erred on the side of caution, reticent to commence the monetary easing cycle in response to falling inflation and slowing growth.
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White papersU.S. Election: The Policy Choice
Putting rhetoric and personality (mostly) aside, we explore key policy differences—and similarities—between the political combatants. The U.S. presidential election continues to heat up, with new surprises seemingly around every corner—from a criminal conviction to an assassination attempt to the late withdrawal of the incumbent. With a new Democratic candidate emerging, the contest has become even more volatile as a closely divided nation inches toward November.
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White papersCLO Equity: 101
From quarterly cashflows to compelling total return potential, CLO equity offers a number of potential benefits. But the asset class is often overlooked, due in large part to its perceived complexity relative to more traditional fixed income investments.
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White papersGen AI: The Next Wave
As artificial intelligence tools gather steam, what’s the potential impact on businesses, investors and the planet? It’s been nearly two years since the “ChatGPT moment,” when OpenAI’s flagship chatbot brought the world face-to-face with the power of generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI) to gather and interpret information, and communicate its findings to users. The moment represented the culmination of years of AI research and development.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - July/August 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 24 July 2024
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July/August 2024
Topic of the Month: How long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
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White papersU.S. election: Policy and positioning
Heading into a contentious U.S. election season, investors need to avoid the noise and remain focused on the factors that will drive markets in the period ahead, including U.S. trade policy (particularly with China), geopolitics (particularly any impact on oil markets), and fiscal deficit management (given the CBO projection that the U.S. budget deficit is set to rise to 122.4% of GDP by 2034).
