Outlooks – Page 7
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White papersHealthcare Pipelines and Paychecks: A Formula for Assessing Executive Pay
Our research suggests that firms with sound executive pay practices yield healthier returns.
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White papersWhy security is a durable investment theme
Against a backdrop of war in Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as a global trade war, nations are redefining their relationships with allies, rivals and trading partners to bolster their national security.
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White papersRenewed threats to the Fed’s independence
Political pressure now threatens the Fed’s operational independence, prompting sharp market reactions—including a surge in long-term yields, a weaker dollar, and elevated volatility—which underscores the crucial role of central bank autonomy in maintaining market confidence and stability.
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White papersGlobal Risks 2025 Midyear Update
In our Global Risks 2025 Midyear Update, our Macro Strategy team outlines four key topics that could shape investment conditions ahead—from tariffs and trade tensions to monetary policy shifts and the U.S.-China relationship. The update provides key macroeconomic forecasts across the U.S., Eurozone, UK, Japan and China—plus timely insights on fiscal stimulus, inflation risks and geopolitical fragilities.
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White papersChina’s growth set to hit target in 2025
“Resilient China’s growth highlights the economy’s ongoing efforts to adjust trade partnerships and manage tariff-related challenges, keeping it on track to reach its growth target for 2025.”
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White papersSolving for 2025: Mid-Year Scorecard
At the end of 2024, our CIOs sat down to discuss the five key themes they expected to impact markets. At mid-year, we assess how those have played out so far.
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White papersWill Policy Clarity Spark a New Wave of Economic Growth?
While tariff uncertainty continues to linger, the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill provides business leaders with long-awaited policy clarity that may provide a boost to capital expenditure.
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White papersAsset Allocation Committee Outlook: 3Q 2025
That was a tumultuous quarter. Since April, the global economy and markets have faced the U.S. administration’s erratic tariff policy, broader trade tensions, fiscal concerns and flare-ups in geopolitical risk, all resulting in widespread volatility and economic uncertainty. And while many of these catalysts may ultimately have material economic and financial impacts, both macro data and risk markets have shown notable resilience, and “looked through” this uncertainty, a theme that we introduced in our last quarterly outlook.
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White papersClear skies ahead: Japan’s structural renaissance
Japan is undergoing a transformative moment that positions it as one of today’s most compelling investment opportunities. The temporary nature of trade tensions stands in contrast with a powerful combination of strong domestic-led growth and sweeping corporate governance reforms that are reshaping the economy. With valuations sitting well below both historical averages and global peers, investors now have a rare opportunity to invest in Japan’s structural transformation.
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White papersScenarios for a fragmented world
The world is at a geopolitical crossroads, as one of the major pillars of the existing global order—the United States—has begun to question the foundational assumptions of that system. Although the global order began to unravel following the 2008 financial crisis, successive US administrations—including President Biden’s—sought to uphold the existing framework through traditional alliances.
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White papersFive insights on what is driving innovation in China
From electric cars to artificial intelligence, Chinese companies continue to innovate and scale at a rapid pace despite trade restrictions.
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White papersThe case for investing in Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia is rapidly evolving into a dynamic and diversified economy, benefiting from strong reform momentum, favorable demographics, rising foreign direct investment, and a government committed to diversifying the economy. Today, Saudi Arabia presents a differentiated and compelling investment opportunity for global investors seeking higher income and diversification.
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White papersOpportunity Amidst Uncertainty
Beyond the short-term market impacts of trade tensions and geopolitical risk events, we are constructive in our medium-term outlook for the global economy and risk assets.
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White papersJune jobs report: Tighter immigration policy complicating the outlook
June’s U.S. jobs report showed stronger-than-expected gains, but a shrinking labor force—driven in part by tighter immigration policies—is complicating the broader economic outlook. This dynamic could challenge the Fed’s policy path moving forward.
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White papersA market guide to deregulation
Deregulation is emerging as a potential counterbalance to rising trade barriers and political uncertainty in the U.S., with pro-growth policies expected to support economic momentum. Sectors like energy, industrials, financials, and small caps—most sensitive to regulatory changes—stand to benefit the most.
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White papersElectric Vehicle transition: poised to move through the gears
Early market optimism on the electric vehicle (EV) transition has faded over the last two years as growth rates in Europe and the US have stalled. Today we can see a three-speed global EV market: China is surging ahead, Europe is showing renewed momentum, and the US is stuck in the slow lane.
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White papers2025 Midyear Investment Outlook
As we reach the midpoint of 2025, the change we’ve witnessed since the start of the year is staggering and has translated into a high level of market volatility. We are in the middle of a fundamental restructuring of the geopolitical order that we’ve known since the end of World War II – politically, militarily and economically.
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White papersThe evolving Israel-Iran conflict
Over the weekend, the United States launched airstrikes on three key Iranian nuclear sites, Iran responded on Monday by launching missiles at the US’s Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. The missiles were shot down and resulted in no casualties – Trump thanked Iran ‘for giving us early notice’. Following these developments, on Monday, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran was announced, but as of now, it remains unclear if it will hold. The weakened Iranian regime faces growing pressure.
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White papersSatellites and Security: Public-Private Synergy in Space
The global space economy is experiencing rapid growth, driven by public-private partnerships that are lowering launch costs, accelerating innovation, and expanding applications across sectors. With continued investment and technological advancements, the industry is poised to reach one trillion dollars by 2030.
