Outlooks – Page 12
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White papersLocked ‘n’ loaded and ready to fire: first take on China’s National People’s Congress (NPC)
Premier Li Qiang kicked off the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) with the government’s Work Report, marking the nation’s biggest political event of the year. Besides a busy calendar of political decision-making, the NPC is also closely watched by markets as Beijing sets the course for the economy and macro policies for the remainder of 2025.
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White papersFebruary jobs report: A sanguine number… for now
The February jobs report showed a 151,000-worker increase in payrolls, broadly in line with consensus expectations, defying fears of significant cracks in the labor market. Yet, while the worst fears were not met, the report did confirm that the labor market is cooling. Furthermore, with no shortage of headwinds confronting the U.S. economy, including federal government layoffs, public spending cuts, and tariff uncertainty-related inertia, the softening trend will likely persist and potentially deepen in the coming months.
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White papersForget the Magnificent 7: Meet China’s Terrific 10
China’s top tech firms are emerging as global contenders as President Xi Jinping aims to boost innovation and revitalize his country’s economy.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2025
In February, the markets have shown that love is in the air: despite new tariff announcements, inflation risks, and the DeepSeek shakeup, positive market sentiment continues to prevail.
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White papers2025 Outlook for Latin America: subdued growth expected but several positives remain
Overall growth in Latin America (LatAm) is expected to be relatively sluggish in 2025, with headwinds for the region including a fiscal drag and potential disruptions to global trade under Trump 2.0. While Mexico and Brazil are facing a tougher year, Argentina is a positive outlier, with strong growth expected after two years of contraction, based on regulatory reforms and fiscal consolidation.
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White papersWhy Bother with Defensive Equities During the New Trump Era?
Following a defensive equity playbook can help investors prepare for market volatility in a year of heightened uncertainty.
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White papersThe Year of the Snake: Our outlook for China in 2025
As China enters 2025, its economic future will be influenced by market trends, policy changes, and the implications of Trump’s presidency. Hear from our China Equity team as they explore the key developments shaping markets and what investors should expect moving forward.
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White papersEverything you wanted to know about tariffs and trade finance
A new trade war between the US and China could have unexpected consequences.
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White papersDiscover our Capital Market Assumptions 2025
Capital Group’s 2025 capital market assumptions provide a favourable long-term outlook, expecting mid-to-high-single digit returns for stocks and low-to-mid-single digits for bonds. That said, these expectations are lower over a 20-year horizon compared to last year.
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White papersForming coalition will be easiest of next German Chancellor’s many challenges
The centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its sister party, the Christian Socialist Union (CSU), won the German election with 28.6% of the popular vote. CDU leader Friedrich Merz is therefore set to be the next Chancellor and will lead coalition talks to form a government at a time when Europe’s biggest economy faces economic, trade and geopolitical challenges.
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White papersThe Return of Mercantilism? Shifting Goalposts on Trade
President Trump made several changes to trade policy in his first term, and U.S. firms have adjusted accordingly. Trade exposure has shifted away from China, and investment abroad has shifted toward Europe and the Western Hemisphere.
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White papersA Growth Mindset
For more than two years, inflation news was the prime mover of market prices; we think last week confirmed that a new dynamic is in play.
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White papersTrump’s impact on the labor market: Quick takes on capital markets
The Trump administration’s bold policy initiatives to increase government efficiency and tighten immigration will likely have macroeconomic consequences for the labor market, potentially weighing on labor demand and supply. However, the combined effect will likely also be very nuanced, suggesting the data over the coming months will be difficult to parse and understand, making policymaking even more challenging for the Fed.
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White papersGlobal preferred and capital securities remain attractive
The Federal Reserve (Fed) should be cutting rates more in 2025, but most likely not before a pause to assess the policy footings of the returning Trump Administration.
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White papersMarket Update: Geopolitics, Rare Minerals, and the Polar Silk Road
Donald Trump is back as the President of the United States and has quickly implemented controversial policies that challenge the global order and traditional conventions. Among the many eye-catching headlines Trump has expressed desires to annex Greenland and the Panama Canal and has even suggested that Canada become the 51st American state.
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White papersThe opening salvo in Trump trade war two
Markets were recently rattled by three executive orders announcing tariff increases on Mexico, Canada, and China, marking an opening salvo of President Donald Trump’s trade war. With Europe likely next in line, uncertainty remains high—despite a 30-day delay on tariffs for Mexico and Canada—fueling further market volatility.
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White papersTech sector in the spotlight
“DeepSeek, China’s new entrant in the field of artificial intelligence, has shaken the highly-valued US tech sector. Investors should continue to diversify* their equity exposures in search of more attractive opportunities at a global level.”
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White papersGlobal Trends and Tactics: Real estate opportunities and risks in the current environment
Discover the latest quarterly real estate market trends in our quarterly research report. Dive deeper into regional market and sector conditions to find out the tactics we incorporate into our investment decisions.
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White papersKey themes for 2025: Riding the real estate recovery
The painful reset of private real estate seems to be in the rearview mirror, and we expect 2025 to be a good vintage for real estate investment.
