Outlooks – Page 15
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 2023
Optimism was definitely behind the respectable performance registered by risky assets in the last quarter. However, the economic backdrop does not look overly positive. On the price levels side, US headline inflation is receding, although the core measure - more important for monetary policy decisions - is proving to be stickier. The latest European and UK inflation numbers signal that price growth is cooling.
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White papersIs there a recession on the horizon?
This week’s edition of Simply put focuses on a quant conundrum related to our indicators: our US growth indicator remains firmly at low levels. Is it a false signal? Should we reconsider the indicator itself?
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White papersFour critical elements for asset managers to meet the biodiversity challenge
Our biodiversity system is deteriorating at an alarming rate and its loss is causing damage not only to the natural world but to the wider planet, society, and the global economy.
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White papersGlobal Asset Allocation Viewpoints: Time is running out
Most of the world’s largest economies are facing varying levels of slowdown, and the global growth outlook has deteriorated. In the 3Q Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints, our Global Insights team shares their perspectives on the rising recessions risks and other key themes impacting financial markets and portfolios in the quarter ahead.
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White papersReal Assets 2.0: Riding the Next Wave in Infrastructure Investing
The new generation of infrastructure is creating opportunities with characteristics similar to those of traditional infrastructure—yet often at values the market may not fully recognize.
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White papersAnalysis: Demographics as a driver of economic growth
Conventional wisdom points to young demographics as a driver of economic growth. The thesis is that young populations indicate a growing labor force, suggesting productivity gains long into the future. The reality is more complicated.
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White papersThe Bridge to the Future
This year’s recommendation for vacation reading is the epic story of the building of the Brooklyn Bridge, resonant with dilemmas we still recognize today.
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White papersTen for 2023—Midyear Update
Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they expected to be prominent in the markets during 2023. With the year now half over, we revisited these concepts to see how they’ve played out so far. We give ourselves an interim grade for each one and assess our outlook for the second half of 2023.
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White papersAre climate risks priced?
Stocks that are perceived to be riskier should trade at discount relative to peers. From this point of view, the consistent underperformance of high-carbon stocks seems to be a puzzle as these stocks are clearly most exposed to risks of climate transition.
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White papersHow long will convexity disappoint?
These are uncertain times – be it regarding growth, inflation, or the extent of rate hikes. And yet, the level of one of the most common measures for volatility – the famous VIX index – has not budged much since 20 March and the end of the fast-paced banking crisis. This raises two principal questions about volatility and convexity, which we explore in this weekly edition of Simply put.
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White papersQ&A with Tom Kerr, Part III: Secondary Market Landscape
We are now mid-way through 2023, so we caught up with Head of Secondary Investments Tom Kerr to gain his perspective on the current secondary market environment.
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White papersQ&A with Tom Kerr, Part II: Secondary Market Valuations
We are now mid-way through 2023, so we caught up with Head of Secondary Investments Tom Kerr to gain his perspective on the current secondary market environment.
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White papersPM Spotlight: From Math Whiz Intern to Head of Systematic Options
Megan Miller, head of Systematic Options, is living proof that investment in interns can yield big returns. Read about Megan and her views on the options market in this issue of PM Spotlight.
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White papersMirova Energy Transition Infrastructure
Managing impact funds is about supporting investors in directing their investments towards projects and companies that help society shift away from the unsustainable development and growth trajectory it has been following for the past two centuries, and embrace a new, sustainable pathway for both developed and developing countries.
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White papersMid-Year Update – Getting the yield curve wrong
Many investors have been puzzled for most of this year by an inverted US yield curve, which along with economist forecasts and CEO surveys signals an impending recession. At the same time, the performance of risk assets suggests a much brighter outlook. Which is right and which is wrong?
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July/August 2023
The 2023 Amundi World Investment Forum (AWIF) focused on the transformative time we are living in and the key consequences for investors. Investors should embrace a dynamic asset allocation (DAA) approach, rethink fixed income and forex investing with a global mindset, pay attention to trends such as Net Zero and the emergence of Asian giants, and be aware of fashionable trends such as AI, while keeping an eye on valuations.
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White papersPassing the stress test
Results from the Bank of England’s (BoE) annual stress test indicate the UK’s largest banks should be resilient in the event of a severe stress scenario.
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White papersFixed Income Outlook – Shifting narratives
Market narratives have been shifting rapidly. We have gone from speculation that rate hikes by US Federal Reserve had begun to ‘break’ the financial system, to imminent recession and imminent rate cuts, to a resilient US economy, to weak domestic demand and deflation in China, and slumping growth in the eurozone amid continued central bank policy tightening.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q3 2023 outlook
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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White papersAI revolution: What will it mean for private market investors?
AI is already being used to do some things more efficiently, but for private asset investors, its real potential is only starting to be unlocked.
