Outlooks – Page 14
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White papersFed 2025 outlook: A fragile balancing act
The Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance reflects a challenging economic backdrop heading into 2025. Sticky inflation, resilient growth, and uncertainty around the incoming administration’s policies have constrained the Fed’s ability to ease aggressively. While our forecast anticipates three rate cuts next year, the path forward will depend heavily on inflation progress and labor market conditions.
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White papersGermany’s path ahead
In Germany, the poor economic performance of the last two years has taken centre stage.
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White papersKey Investment Themes 2025
The global economy avoided recession for a second year. Inflation began to cool and the major central banks embarked on a new cycle of interest rate cuts. However, geopolitical risk rose against the backdrop of a particularly busy election calendar around the world.
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White papers2025 Perspectives: Optimism through the obstacles
2025 arrives on the heels of remarkable resilience in global markets. However, investors face a world still shaped by uncertainty—from deglobalization and slowing growth in developed economies to resilient U.S. equities, elevated policy risks under the incoming Trump administration’s tariff threats, and persistent inflationary pressures in the U.S. In 2025 Perspectives, our leading investment experts highlight the themes that will impact portfolios and drive market performance in the year ahead.
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White papersClosing Bell 2024 : ‘Immaculate disinflation’ and the ‘Magnificent Seven’
2024 was another good year for tech stocks and equities overall
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White papersOutlook 2025: Trumponometer
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papers2025 Outlook: We have seen this movie before
As we head into 2025, it is hard not to notice several parallels with the past; it feels like we have seen this movie before.
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White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2024
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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White papersVarious tailwinds support private markets
In our Private Markets Outlook 2025, we outline why we expect direct lending and real estate debt to perform strongly; while in the UK, the new government’s Autumn Budget contained positive signals for infrastructure development.
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White papersWill the equities rally continue in 2025?
Our Equities Outlook 2025 outlines why the Republican sweep in the US election could have wide-reaching implications for stock markets, currencies, commodities and foreign countries.
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White papersAnother banner year for liquidity?
Investors won’t forget near-zero yields in a hurry. Liquidity – and the healthy returns on offer – will remain king in the coming year.
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White papersOutlook 2025-2026: Trump-starting the global economy
2025 may be characterised by divergence across the world’s main economic regions, around three dimensions: underlying growth, fiscal policy, and monetary policy
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White papersThe Chief Economist view: Divergence
2025 may be characterised by divergence across the world’s main economic regions, around three dimensions: underlying growth, fiscal policy, and monetary policy.
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White papersOutlook 2025: Highlights and investment implications
Two major uncertainties lie at the heart of the global economic and investment outlook - to what extent will US President-elect Donald Trump translate campaign promises into policy and how successful will China be in reigniting its economy?
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White papersReal estate investment enters a new era
Alternative sub-sectors offer unique demand drivers and the potential to outperform core real estate sectors.
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White papersWhat is in store for tech?
The tech sector continued to outperform in 2024, with a YTD performance of +34% versus a +25% for the S&P 500 Index. Over the past two year, the tech sector’s outperformance has been driven by superior earnings growth, expectations of lower US interest rates and the start of a cycle of investment in AI technologies.
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White papers2025 outlook: private markets shine bright
Against a backdrop of mildly decelerating economic growth, weakening domestic demand, and interest rate cut expectations, the private market and real estate asset classes can offer relatively attractive investment opportunities as well as risk and return diversification.
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White papersQT or Not QT?
Against the aggressive expansion of the balance sheet in response to the COVID pandemic, the Federal Reserve expanded its balance sheet from $4.1 trillion, or 18.8% of GDP, to a peak of $9.0 trillion, or 35.6% of GDP, in Q1 2022. This is nearly double the pre-COVID level, which was already elevated relative to the balance sheet seen in the wake of the Great Financial Crisis.
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White papersHas the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle been knocked off course?
The US Federal Reserve has the scope for one more rate cut in 2024. Will the latest inflation data make it pause?
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White papersAsset Management Outlook 2025: Reasons to Recalibrate
We are pleased to share Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s 2025 Outlook: Reasons to Recalibrate.
