All North America articles – Page 9
-
White papersU.S. Real Estate: Patience, Vigilance Needed
If a soft landing continues to play out in 2023, then transactional liquidity could return sooner than expected—possibly circumventing a substantial property price correction. The Barings Real Estate team discusses.
-
White papersFed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 25bp, to 4.50-4.75%, a step down after the Fed hiked by 50bp in December. The slowing in the pace of rate hikes was widely expected.
-
White papersHow to Calculate the Most Important Number You Need to Know
For better or worse, the path of this year’s U.S. Consumer Price Index will determine the level of markets.
-
White papersEquity Market Outlook 1Q 2023: Key Considerations For Equity Investors
After rising interest rates, persistent inflation and geopolitical turmoil pounded equity investors in 2022, we wish we could report that a rebound appears just around the bend. Alas, we believe macroeconomic indicators offer little to cheer about in the first quarter of 2023—and perhaps through the remainder of the year.
-
White papersNeuberger Berman Plans Further Push With New Strategies
Jose Cosio, Head of Global Intermediary ex-US, discusses Neuberger Berman’s plans to launch new Private Equity strategies with Citywire Alts Insider.
-
White papersWhat Jerome Powell Really Wants for Christmas
Jerome Powell surely has a holiday wish list, especially facing a new year of slower growth, rising prices and inverted yield curves.
-
White papersTreasury yields fall as the Fed hikes once more
U.S. Treasury yields fell last week. The November U.S. CPI report showed a smaller-than-expected monthly increase. The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a 50 bps hike as expected, but also included hawkish economic projections that called into question the future of monetary policy.
-
White papersA Tale of Two Cities
Why we think the resilience of the U.S. economy is proving to be a real conundrum for investors.
-
White papersFed: Staying the course until the job is done
FOMC statement and press conference: On 14 December, the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked the Fed Funds Rate by 50bp to 4.25-4.50%, a step down after four consecutive 75bp rate hikes. This takes the Fed Funds Rate further into restrictive territory.
-
White papersFed hikes by a little less, but promise more to come
After hiking its policy rate by 75 basis points at each of the prior four meetings, the Fed took its foot off the brakes a bit, raising rates by only 50 basis points at its final meeting of the year. Inflation concerns remain, despite a string of softer data, but risks to higher prices and slower growth now appear more balanced than they have for several years.
-
White papersU.S. markets outlook for 2023
The S&P 500 Index recorded its worst year in more than a decade in 2022, falling 13.1% through to 30 November. And investors face more market volatility in the year ahead as the macroeconomic environment poses headwinds for many companies.
-
White papersLooking ahead: U.S private credit in an age of scarcity
For over a decade, including through COVID-19, the tide of capital has flowed mostly in one direction: into markets. That’s because since the Great Recession of 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates low. Public credit, both loans and bonds, benefited from this support. But as we look ahead to 2023, it is important to shift our gaze and examine the impact of rate hikes and quantitative tightening on capital markets and private credit.
-
White papersDivergences and Pivots
The exuberant response to last Thursday’s inflation data suggests markets are primed for the “pivot”—but could they be extrapolating too far?
-
White papersUS mid-term election: no red tide
Election result: The outlook for the House of Representatives (House) and the Senate remains uncertain and the situation remains fluid. Republicans are still expected to have an eventual slender majority in the House, but a Democratic majority remains a possibility.
-
White papersFor the Fed, the impossible QT
The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation. However, QT is being challenged by the Fed’s new role as a counterparty of money-market funds. The process would be greatly improved if the Treasury were to announce a debt buyback financed ...
-
White papersReal Estate Outlook – US, Edition September 2022
“We continue to focus our strategies on defensive positioning while economic uncertainties persist. This typically includes marginal movements around strategy targets; less leverage, lower amount of value-add activities, and a focus on increasing occupancy over rent growth in retail and office.”
-
White papersUnited States: a green industrial policy in the making
The US Congress’s August approval of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) came as a surprise to most observers. With the mid-term elections just months away and no majority in Congress, no one expected new legislation to be passed. Yet, the Democrats and Republicans managed to reach a compromise. We discuss below the measures announced to promote the environmental transition, which is the centrepiece of the act.
-
White papersWhat Jay Powell Really Meant
Read what the Fed Chair was actually thinking as he read his script.
-
White papersMaking Up Lost Ground
Another 75bps and more hawkish talk from Jerome Powell. Markets reacted swiftly to signals that more large increases are coming—more than they had priced in. See how this frontloading by central banks aligns with our central scenarios and expectations for the coming year.
-
White papersTop 5 takeaways for infrastructure
The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 is the most important US clean energy legislation in recent history. The bill gives investors unprecedented policy visibility that was previously lacking. Energy tax credits have been expanded to investments such as standalone energy storage, clean transportation, hydrogen etc., opening up new investment opportunities.
