All North America articles – Page 5
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White papersFed in a Pickle: Fight Inflation OR Fuel a Banking Crisis?
Following SVB’s collapse and related events, the Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place: Inflation is too high, but cracks are starting in the financial system. How did we get here? What are the Fed’s options?
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White papersOne Bad Apple? Or More to Come?
Several of Allspring’s equity portfolio managers voice their views on the state of the U.S. banking industry in the aftermath of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse.
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White papersNo systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas of vulnerability
Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a commercial bank that specialises in serving start-ups in Silicon Valley, has been shut down by regulators.
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White papersPolitics, Deficits and the Debt Limit
We firmly believe that Congress will ultimately raise the debt limit, but it’s worth remembering that political drama affects markets.
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White papersWhat the latest US jobs data say about recession risk
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we analyse the surprising strength of the US services sector and explain what it tells us about the risk of a recession.
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White papersWhy and what if inflation falls faster than expected?
”As fiscal support should wane, this could lead to lower inflation pressures in the second half of 2023 and to a faster decline in inflation”
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White papersU.S. Real Estate: Patience, Vigilance Needed
If a soft landing continues to play out in 2023, then transactional liquidity could return sooner than expected—possibly circumventing a substantial property price correction. The Barings Real Estate team discusses.
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White papersFed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 25bp, to 4.50-4.75%, a step down after the Fed hiked by 50bp in December. The slowing in the pace of rate hikes was widely expected.
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White papersHow to Calculate the Most Important Number You Need to Know
For better or worse, the path of this year’s U.S. Consumer Price Index will determine the level of markets.
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White papersEquity Market Outlook 1Q 2023: Key Considerations For Equity Investors
After rising interest rates, persistent inflation and geopolitical turmoil pounded equity investors in 2022, we wish we could report that a rebound appears just around the bend. Alas, we believe macroeconomic indicators offer little to cheer about in the first quarter of 2023—and perhaps through the remainder of the year.
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White papersNeuberger Berman Plans Further Push With New Strategies
Jose Cosio, Head of Global Intermediary ex-US, discusses Neuberger Berman’s plans to launch new Private Equity strategies with Citywire Alts Insider.
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White papersWhat Jerome Powell Really Wants for Christmas
Jerome Powell surely has a holiday wish list, especially facing a new year of slower growth, rising prices and inverted yield curves.
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White papersTreasury yields fall as the Fed hikes once more
U.S. Treasury yields fell last week. The November U.S. CPI report showed a smaller-than-expected monthly increase. The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a 50 bps hike as expected, but also included hawkish economic projections that called into question the future of monetary policy.
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White papersA Tale of Two Cities
Why we think the resilience of the U.S. economy is proving to be a real conundrum for investors.
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White papersFed: Staying the course until the job is done
FOMC statement and press conference: On 14 December, the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked the Fed Funds Rate by 50bp to 4.25-4.50%, a step down after four consecutive 75bp rate hikes. This takes the Fed Funds Rate further into restrictive territory.
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White papersFed hikes by a little less, but promise more to come
After hiking its policy rate by 75 basis points at each of the prior four meetings, the Fed took its foot off the brakes a bit, raising rates by only 50 basis points at its final meeting of the year. Inflation concerns remain, despite a string of softer data, but risks to higher prices and slower growth now appear more balanced than they have for several years.
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White papersU.S. markets outlook for 2023
The S&P 500 Index recorded its worst year in more than a decade in 2022, falling 13.1% through to 30 November. And investors face more market volatility in the year ahead as the macroeconomic environment poses headwinds for many companies.
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White papersLooking ahead: U.S private credit in an age of scarcity
For over a decade, including through COVID-19, the tide of capital has flowed mostly in one direction: into markets. That’s because since the Great Recession of 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates low. Public credit, both loans and bonds, benefited from this support. But as we look ahead to 2023, it is important to shift our gaze and examine the impact of rate hikes and quantitative tightening on capital markets and private credit.
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White papersWill US employment hold its ground?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we observe that the Federal Reserve’s aim to raise unemployment in its fight against inflation is starting to pay off, but will the central bank also be able to contain the upcoming recession?
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White papersDivergences and Pivots
The exuberant response to last Thursday’s inflation data suggests markets are primed for the “pivot”—but could they be extrapolating too far?
