All North America articles – Page 3
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White papers
The Fed “Recalibrates” to Buy Some Insurance
Rate-cutting cycles have tended to favor risk assets, so it was gratifying to see the central bank get started with a meaningful move.
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White papers
Attractive opportunities for diversification with private real estate credit
Historically, the best performing investment vintages have often followed periods of distress and volatility. Commercial real estate has experienced a significant downturn since the Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates in the spring of 2022. However, in our view, the stage is now set for real estate credit to generate attractive income returns with favorable risk tailwinds.
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White papers
The Fed pivot arrives
“Inflation moving towards the Fed’s target is allowing the central bank to shift its focus to economic growth. This underscores the importance of bonds as a diversifier* in an overall agile stance.”
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White papers
US 2024 presidential election: The potential global impact
Before the summer we reviewed the upcoming presidential election and its likely impact on the US economy. At that time, President Joe Biden had just bowed out of the race and been replaced by Vice President Kamala Harris. Former President Donald Trump initially led Harris by a modest amount in overall polling approvals, though by less than he had led Biden. Since then, Harris has seen an improvement in ratings. Rising from a deficit of 1.7 points, she now leads Trump by 2 points.
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White papers
US election debate generates more political than policy buzz
The first debate between the two candidates running in the U.S. presidential race was a fractious exchange that shed little new light on policy details but is likely to be politically consequential.
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White papers
Commercial & multifamily mortgage loan (CML) investments
In a volatile economic environment, core commercial and multifamily mortgage loan investments may provide investors with an attractive credit risk profile, appealing relative value, and diversification within a larger fixed income portfolio.
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Asset Manager News
Actis Announces Launch Of Orygen And New Ceo Following Acquisition Of Enel Generación Perú
Actis, a leading global investor in sustainable infrastructure, has announced the launch of Orygen, its latest energy platform operating as an independent power producer in Peru.
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White papers
Filling the pool again
With the Fed on hold and tax collection over, assets resume flowing into liquidity products.
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White papers
Biden vs Trump: high stakes in US elections
The US election rematch between President Biden and former President Trump will focus market attention on their respective agendas. This paper examines the potential economic and foreign policy changes that could emerge in their second term, as well as the repercussions for financial markets.
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White papers
Article 15 for 15: A US SMID retrospective
Over the 15 years of his involvement in the US small- and mid-cap Strategy, portfolio manager Mark Sherlock has witnessed many different markets and economic conditions. Read our retrospective to learn the importance of seeking downside protection, how the tortoise beats the hare and why you should never let a good crisis go to waste.
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White papers
North America real estate market outlook Q2 2024
We like industrial and logistics markets surrounding the Gulf and East-Coast ports.
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Video
The stars (and stripes) align: The overlooked appeal of US SMID
In our latest video insight, Charlotte Daughtrey, Equity Investment Specialist, makes the case for US SMID (small and mid-sized) stocks, which can sometimes get overlooked amid the hype around the so-called ‘Magnificent Seven’ stocks, but can represent a particularly exciting area of the market.
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White papers
6 questions concerning the weakness behind US resiliency
Do you see recent US data pointing to stubborn inflation? In January we had some upside surprises, encompassing import prices, producer prices, both headline and core CPI, and the PCE deflator. We think prices were in part boosted by seasonal factors which are not fully accounted for in the usual seasonal adjustment, something that also happened last year.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2024
“While we expect the Fed, Bank of England and ECB to start rate cuts around June, we will keep an eye on the pace of disinflation for any surprises.”
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White papers
Credit markets in focus in 2024
In what turned out to be another volatile year, credit markets remained resilient in 2023, posting both positive excess and total returns. Looking at 2024, there is room for more optimism in the credit space, with expectations for strong total returns and continued demand from investors seeking high-quality duration and longer-maturity investment solutions, supported by anticipated interest rate cuts by major central banks.
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White papers
The bulls are in control
As equity markets continue to rally, our investment team explains why investors should be looking beyond the headline-making names for greater returns.
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White papers
ISA Briefing: US migration trends and (U)rbanization
In the past decade, the urbanization narrative in the United States has shifted from the “rebirth of cities” to the “rise of the suburbs.”1 What are the drivers of this shift, and how does it impact real estate? In this ISA Briefing, we tackle these questions and share our outlook for how future dynamics could impact migration and urbanization trends.
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White papers
The case for US small-cap stocks in 2024
Although US small-cap stocks joined the extraordinary rally in the final quarter of 2023, many small caps continue to trade at a significant discount to their larger-company counterparts. This creates an attractive entry point. So says Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities. In this interview, he explains why he sees the start of 2024 as a good time to allocate to US small caps.
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White papers
Taxable Municipal bonds: yields moving higher
The taxable municipal bond market experienced negative third quarter returns in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. With the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) nearing the end of its rate hike cycle, higher yields have increased future expected returns, given yields are now at levels not seen over the last decade. We believe portfolios should be rewarded by assuming a modestly longer duration profile while adding credit risk.
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White papers
Rate cuts: are they justified by employment data?
The resilience of the labour market, evidenced by low unemployment and solid job growth, is seen as a key driver of the US economy’s strength. But in 2023, the trend of robust job creation shown in the previous two years began to deteriorate as the pace of newly created roles slowed down.