All North America articles – Page 3
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Income Generator: Beyond the Inflection Point
Volatility across the banking sector will likely mark an inflection point in policymakers’ current tightening cycle. We lay out five specific themes to help fixed income investors navigate the shifting markets.
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Trump indictment: implications for US politics and assets
”The US political environment is highly polarised on Trump’s indictment, with some seeing this as being politically motivated.”
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Fourth quarter private real estate returns move negative
US private real estate returns went negative in Q4 2022 as the impact of higher interest rates continued to ripple through to market pricing and appraised values. This trend is expected to continue through the first half of 2023 with stability projected to return later in the year.
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Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession
Recent stress in parts of the banking sector will raise funding costs and reduce lending to many sectors. Now we expect the US economy to shrink by - 1.1% in 2023, driven by a contraction in domestic demand. Eurozone growth should stagnate amid inflation remaining high.
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Asset Manager News
Ivanhoé Cambridge announces the reopening of the Eaton Centre’s ninth floor, a jewel of Montréal’s architectural and cultural heritage
Ivanhoé Cambridge is proud to announce that the ninth floor of the Montreal Eaton Centre will reopen to the public by the end of 2023. This exceptional space, beloved by Montrealers, was classified as a heritage landmark in August 2000 under the Cultural Heritage Act and will be redeveloped to showcase its unique heritage features.
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A Domino Effect?
At Allspring, we’re committed to being purposefully divergent. Our investment professionals are free to voice their own views, and their perspectives enable us to more holistically “see” both potential opportunities and risks.
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Living on a Prayer
The Federal Open Market Committee hiked rates by 25 basis points (bps) and kept its quantitative tightening plans in place. It did acknowledge that financial conditions have tightened and progress has been made on inflation. However, it seems to think it can simultaneously tighten monetary policy to fight inflation while providing support to the financial system. The Federal Reserve (Fed) may be living on a prayer instead.
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2023 U.S. investment grade credit supply: Will there be enough bonds to go around?
The U.S. investment grade credit (IG) market’s voracious appetite for bonds may not be fully satisfied in 2023. In 2022, feast or famine punctuated the $1.22 trillion supply, as nearly 50 days featured no issuance. Corporate borrowers glommed together and found strength in numbers when they issued debt, striking when the iron was hot.
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Fed in a Pickle: Fight Inflation OR Fuel a Banking Crisis?
Following SVB’s collapse and related events, the Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place: Inflation is too high, but cracks are starting in the financial system. How did we get here? What are the Fed’s options?
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One Bad Apple? Or More to Come?
Several of Allspring’s equity portfolio managers voice their views on the state of the U.S. banking industry in the aftermath of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse.
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No systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas of vulnerability
Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a commercial bank that specialises in serving start-ups in Silicon Valley, has been shut down by regulators.
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Politics, Deficits and the Debt Limit
We firmly believe that Congress will ultimately raise the debt limit, but it’s worth remembering that political drama affects markets.
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What the latest US jobs data say about recession risk
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we analyse the surprising strength of the US services sector and explain what it tells us about the risk of a recession.
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Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected?
”As fiscal support should wane, this could lead to lower inflation pressures in the second half of 2023 and to a faster decline in inflation”
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U.S. Real Estate: Patience, Vigilance Needed
If a soft landing continues to play out in 2023, then transactional liquidity could return sooner than expected—possibly circumventing a substantial property price correction. The Barings Real Estate team discusses.
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Fed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 25bp, to 4.50-4.75%, a step down after the Fed hiked by 50bp in December. The slowing in the pace of rate hikes was widely expected.
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How to Calculate the Most Important Number You Need to Know
For better or worse, the path of this year’s U.S. Consumer Price Index will determine the level of markets.
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Fixed income investors are still too optimistic on inflation
Does the latest US data confirm the battle against inflation has already been won? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai says markets are overly optimistic.
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Equity Market Outlook 1Q 2023: Key Considerations For Equity Investors
After rising interest rates, persistent inflation and geopolitical turmoil pounded equity investors in 2022, we wish we could report that a rebound appears just around the bend. Alas, we believe macroeconomic indicators offer little to cheer about in the first quarter of 2023—and perhaps through the remainder of the year.
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Neuberger Berman Plans Further Push With New Strategies
Jose Cosio, Head of Global Intermediary ex-US, discusses Neuberger Berman’s plans to launch new Private Equity strategies with Citywire Alts Insider.