All North America articles – Page 7
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White papersThe road to recession: Attempting to time the next economic downturn
With the struggles from the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) still fresh in policymakers’ minds, the 2020 COVID-19 recession was fought proactively, with every tool available. After trillions of dollars in fiscal and monetary stimulus, protracted economic crisis was avoided.
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White papers3-4 May FOMC meeting: 50bp interest rate hike is bullish for markets
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and statement: On 4 May, the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked the Fed funds rate by 50bp to 0.75-1.00%, the first back-to-back hike since the second quarter of 2006. The FOMC statement signaled the start of a series of rate hikes. The Fed downplayed the negative Q1 GDP data, while upgrading its inflation assessment.
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White papersJust What Will Break First?
Tighter policy will eventually tame prices, but it’s still hard to see a U.S. recession anytime soon.
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White papersWhy private real estate in an inflationary environment?
Hotter-than-expected inflation is stoking investment opportunities in real estate. We believe real estate may be the right investment for today’s investor.
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VideoThe Rise of Alternative Property Sectors in the U.S.
Michael Acton, Head of Research at AEW, explains which factors and trends drive the growing interest of institutional investors in the alternative property sectors in the U.S.
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White papersMarket snapshot: Fed ramps up policy response to runaway inflation
US central bank to begin speedy reduction of its balance sheet as officials lean towards 50bps rate rises this year
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White papersPost liftoff investing: Adapting to a hawkish Fed
For more than a decade, investors have enjoyed supportive financial conditions. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has provided clear forward guidance, their balance sheet has expanded, and interest rates have remained low. For businesses, this has been an era of easy money for new projects, expansion, and mergers and acquisitions (M&A). For everyday individuals, rates on mortgages and personal loans have been attractive, boosting home prices and debt levels. All in all, this has driven a long period of steady economic growth and healthy returns.
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White papersFed Ready to Tighten the Screws on Inflation
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points this week. The central bank also signaled that it’s likely to keep raising rates at every meeting well into the second half of the year, and made it clear that it will start paring its balance sheet soon.
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White papers‘En-flation’: The heightened risk of inflation in increasingly environmentally conscious economies
As surging energy prices hit the headlines, limited renewable energy infrastructure means that, in the short-term, it is possible countries will shift back towards traditional fossil fuel extraction. Yet, in the medium-term, given rising appreciation for the importance of energy security, there will be a renewed focus and increased public capital allocated to the energy transition.
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White papersUpcoming: Principal Speaker Series – A conversation with Dr. Lawrence H. Summers
Join us as we welcome Dr. Lawrence H. Summers, former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, immediately following the pivotal March FOMC meeting. Seema Shah, Managing Director, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Global Investors, will host a timely and engaging conversation on the state of the U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve’s response, and how investors can prepare for the volatile period ahead.
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White papersRising Rates - REITS poised to perform well
As is the case with most income-oriented stocks, REITs are typically hit hard when central banks begin talks of raising interest rates. This is due to investors views on how the higher interest rates will impact a REIT’s cost of capital.
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White papersAn Equity Outlook: Are Stocks the Biggest Real Asset Out There?
It may be easy to take a bearish stance on equities today, but there’s a case for stocks to generate positive real returns on a strategic basis going forward. High household equity allocations may actually be warranted, elevated valuations don’t necessarily spell doom, populist pressures on earnings growth are surmountable and falling correlations within the equity market create more “potential energy” for active management to add alpha.
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White papersStaying Invested Today: Resiliency in the face of tightening
Financial markets have had an extremely rocky start to 2022. After a month of trading, several major global equity market indices have fallen into correction territory—a drop of 10% from their recent all-time highs—as investors adjust expectations in the presence of United States Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening, elevated inflation, and softening economic growth.
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White papers25-26 January FOMC review: giving the all clear for March hike
With its two criteria having been met (price stability and full employment), the Fed indicated that the start of the rate normalisation cycle is soon. The Fed probably avoided referring to the next meeting scheduled in March to give them optionality should external events have a detrimental impact on growth.
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White papersJeromicron: Markets Face a One-Two Punch
Preliminary Markit PMIs in the U.S. show Omicron weighed on consumer demand, labor supply, and supply chain disruptions in January. The composite PMI fell from 57 to 50.8—its lowest level in 18 months; declines were seen in services and manufacturing.
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White papersWhere Are U.S. Rates Going?
It is widely believed that the mainstream FOMC members, which includes Fed Chair Jerome Powell, belong in the dove camp. With global PMIs peaking, a tightening of monetary and fiscal policy are headwinds for the strong recovery.
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White papersSpectrum 2022 Outlook
We expect a slower pace of growth in 2022 due to monetary tightening and reduced fiscal policy support.
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White papersInflation, central banks and rising rates – Q&A with Andrew Cormack
It feels as though US policy makers have spent the entire post-global financial crisis period trying to generate inflation. Now that it’s here, it seems like the wrong kind of inflation. How do you see inflation playing out in the US?
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White papersUS Stocks: Enduring Advantages for Testing Times
After three supercharged years for US equities, many investors wonder whether the market still has fuel for 2022. While higher valuations warrant caution, we believe a carefully chosen allocation can capture advantages inherent to the US market that underpin solid long-term return potential.
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White papersCentral banks: a successful hawkish turn
The three major central banks issued restrictive signals last week. The banks have succeeded in changing the course of their monetary policies without harming the markets.
