All North America articles – Page 2
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White papersRate cuts: are they justified by employment data?
The resilience of the labour market, evidenced by low unemployment and solid job growth, is seen as a key driver of the US economy’s strength. But in 2023, the trend of robust job creation shown in the previous two years began to deteriorate as the pace of newly created roles slowed down.
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White papersAn Alternative Outlook Note for the Season
Headlines remain dominated by highly negative news flow, a tough geopolitical landscape and the prospect of a divisive US election campaign. With a nod to the season, rather than writing a traditional pre-year-end outlook, our final note to clients this year is a short commentary on what might be a more positive prognosis for the future. We will follow with a note early in the New Year featuring key themes for 2024.
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White papersFed and ECB: towards rate cuts in 2024
”Markets expect Central Banks to cut rates in early 2024. This is too optimistic, but falling inflation is good news for investors.”
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White papersPowell pivots policy: moving closer to rate cuts
The U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its December meeting, as expected, and updated projections signal even more rate cuts in 2024 than previously expected.
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White papersGreen premium: Study of New York and London Real Estate finds strong evidence for a ‘green premium’
In 2021, Bill Gates authored How to Avoid a Climate Disaster, a plan for the world to reduce net CO2 emissions and avoid a climate catastrophe. One of the key ideas in his book was that of a ‘green premium’.
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White papersEngagement case study: Royal Bank of Canada
With the growing use of artificial intelligence (AI) in financial services, we were concerned about data governance, fairness, algorithm biases and accountability of AI tools implemented by Royal Bank of Canada.
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White papersISA Outlook 2024: North America – healing … gradually
In the North America chapter of ISA Outlook 2024, we discuss how our key global themes apply in the context of the United States and Canada. Property markets in both countries spent much – if not most – of 2023 wondering when the US and Canada would hit their peak rates. At the time of writing, the answer to that question remains uncertain.
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White papersU.S. Life Sciences Real Estate: The Long-Term Outlook Remains Bright Amidst Robust Secular Demand
Over the past several years, institutional investor interest in purpose-built U.S. life sciences real estate has grown rapidly.1 Several significant secular demand factors, as well as the COVID-19 pandemic, have led to historically high public and private capital funding levels.
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White papersShould markets fear the services slowdown?
Growth in the services sector has taken a downwards turn. Can the improving manufacturing alone sustain US economic growth? In this weekly installment of Simply put, we assess the likely impact of a slowdown in the services industry on markets.
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White papersDecarbonising the energy infrastructure ecosystem
Since launching Nuveen’s North American energy infrastructure credit platform in November 2022, Don Dimitrievich spoke with PDI about the compelling opportunity for infrastructure debt lending in North America, and why he believes managers who understand the entire energy infrastructure ecosystem, and have experience investing through credit cycles, will be best positioned to deliver the most attractive risk-adjusted returns for investors.
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White papersU.S. Economic Monthly: Consumers Keep At It
MIM now expects a recession to begin in 2024.
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PodcastWhat Should We Do with All of this Office Space?
From Wall Street economists to local taxi drivers, everyone is talking about the challenges facing U.S. office real estate. How big is the problem? What are the potential solutions? And will there be investment opportunities along the way? Barings’ Dags Chen weighs in.
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White papersIs there a recession on the horizon?
This week’s edition of Simply put focuses on a quant conundrum related to our indicators: our US growth indicator remains firmly at low levels. Is it a false signal? Should we reconsider the indicator itself?
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White papersFed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal fund rate by 25bp but dropped future guidance. Chair Powell claimed that the Fed is far away from hitting its inflation target, but acknowledged that the tighter credit conditions for households and businesses could affect economic growth.
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White papersOn the Curve Carries On: Investing in Intermediate Corporate Fixed Income
Last year we highlighted the relative attractiveness of the intermediate part of the corporate curve. And a year later, we believe we continue to see value in the intermediate corporate credit space. In this paper, we highlight the potential opportunities for investors amidst the current valuations in high grade fixed income strategies across the curve.
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White papersThe Endurance of U.S. Rental Housing Investments
Over the past decade, U.S. multifamily has been among the most sought-after sectors by institutional investors due to its necessity characteristic, the underlying strength of property-level fundamentals, and high historic risk-adjusted total returns. It has remained an integral part of commercial real estate (CRE) investment portfolios with a portfolio weighting of 29.2% in the NCREIF Fund Index-Open End Diversified Core Equity (NFI-ODCE).
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White papersBear With Us: An Evaluation of Valuation
We’ve compared U.S. equities’ 2022 bear market with previous ones to evaluate paths the market could take to end today’s bear market. Based on this data, it’s possible we haven’t seen the market’s lows yet.
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White papersIs This the Final Fed Hike, for Now?
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to hike its key interest rate, the federal funds rate, by 25 basis points (bps; 100 bps equal 1.00%), to a range of 5.00% to 5.25%. Despite the banking sector’s ongoing wobbles—most recently, First Republic Bank’s takeover by JP Morgan over the past weekend—the FOMC sees fighting inflation as its highest priority.
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White papersProxy Voting: Engagement Matters
As we kick off our latest NB Votes campaign, we look at what detailed bottom-up knowledge brings to the process, and what can happen when it’s absent.
