All North America articles
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White papersHealthy Labor Market in the Face of AI
Despite ongoing concerns around inflation, tariffs, geopolitical tensions and AI-related disruption, the U.S. labor market remains more resilient than many expected. Our latest Macro Strategy outlook explores several underappreciated trends shaping employment today and what they could mean for growth, inflation and markets going forward.
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PodcastReal Rates, Repriced Credit and the Case for a Short Fed Cycle
The Fed has turned hawkish, and the market is now pricing several more hikes. Our fixed income team isn’t convinced. Core U.S. inflation is still drifting lower, most of this year’s yield move has come from real rates rather than inflation expectations, and the disinflation case remains intact — all of which argues for a shorter path than consensus expects.
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White papersThe Fed raises policy rates
“The Fed’s September hike was primarily an insurance and credibility measure. Significant geopolitical uncertainty and scrutiny from bond markets could influence its actions going forward.”
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White papersFed rate hike: Three views on what’s next
The US Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by a quarter percentage point this month marks a significant shift in monetary policy as the central bank seeks to dampen war-induced inflationary pressures. Although it is the first time the Fed has hiked rates since July 2023, in some respects it represents a return to normal after many years of artificially low borrowing costs.
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White papersThe rise of rentership
For decades, the traditional path for many Americans followed a familiar progression: rent early in adulthood, purchase a starter home, and eventually trade up as income and family needs evolved. Today, that pathway is becoming increasingly difficult to follow. Rising housing costs, limited affordability, demographic changes, and evolving lifestyle preferences are reshaping how Americans access housing and, in many cases, extending the period during which they rent.
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White papersFrom AI ecosystems to industrial strength: The case for US small caps
The period spanning the second half of 2025 and the first half of 2026 marked a watershed moment for smaller US companies, as they outperformed their larger counterparts by some margin – putting the asset class firmly back on the map for investors.
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White papersResearch spotlight on AI
As the artificial intelligence (Al) boom reshapes many parts of the investment landscape, it features prominently in many aspects of our ongoing research. Below, we showcase some of our latest Al-related thinking.
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White papersIs your core US equity allocation ready for what’s next?
US equities often sit at the heart of most investment portfolios, but the US market today looks very different from the one that rewarded passive investors for much of the past decade. Concentration has reached historic levels, and early signs suggest leadership is beginning to broaden. That shift could have real consequences for how investors implement their core US equity exposure.
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White papersSmaller Fed, Bigger Questions
While markets remain focused on interest rates, the Federal Reserve is taking a closer look at its balance sheet strategy. A newly established task force is evaluating whether changes to reserve management, portfolio composition, and Treasury-Fed coordination could help reshape the Fed’s role in financial markets and influence monetary policy implementation in the years ahead.
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White papersMapping the U.S. Manufacturing Buildout
Two distinct forces have helped boost demand for industrial real estate in the U.S. The first is a cyclical recovery in occupier demand from traditional industrial users, including goods manufacturers and e-commerce and retail companies.
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White papersUS high yield: Selective opportunities in a bifurcated economy
The last few months have not been straightforward for fixed income markets. As oil prices surged amid the Middle East conflict and inflation expectations rose, markets repriced the potential path of monetary policy.
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White papers2026 Midyear Real Estate Outlook
As we noted in our outlook earlier this year, real estate and economic conditions remain bifurcated across the U.S. Some markets and sectors continue to generate healthy tenant demand but face elevated availability; others have limited space and stronger growth.
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White papersTwin-tracks persist in 2026 vote season
US regulatory changes led to proposals being withdrawn, negotiated, or excluded rather than going to a vote, sustaining the low volumes seen in 2025. But in Europe, investor focus remained on climate and board composition. By Dana Barnes and Elissa El Moufti.
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White papersFour market insights we shared with US Congress
Opportunities to speak before Congress are rare. So, when US lawmakers invited Capital Group Vice Chair Jody Jonsson to share her perspective on aligning public policy with shifting market conditions, she welcomed the chance.
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White papersPowering a more sustainable future: How renewables can advance the UN SDGs
We are pleased to share with you our Powering a more sustainable future: How renewables can advance the UN SDGs report. The report focuses on IFM’s infrastructure investments in the renewables and renewable natural gas (RNG) sectors and the role these companies play in contributing to certain United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
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White papersCutting through the noise: Why lower and core middle market direct lending still delivers value in clients’ portfolios
Private credit has become one of the most discussed corners of institutional investing — and one of the most misunderstood. Daily headlines about troubled borrowers, struggling business development companies (BDCs), redemption pressure, and concentrated software exposure have created the impression of a market under stress. But beneath the noise, the lower and core middle market direct lending segment that has historically powered investor outcomes is performing well, behaving as designed, and, in our view, is about to deliver one of its most attractive vintages in years.
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White papersCLOs: A More Selective Opportunity Set
CLOs remain supported by resilient fundamentals, strong demand and attractive carry, but compressed spreads and growing collateral dispersion are raising the bar for credit selection, manager discipline and portfolio construction.
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White papersPassive in Name Only: The Active Bet Within Your Equity Index
Broad-market benchmarks have gone all in on the AI theme. Do equity investors really want to make that bet?
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White papersPrivate Credit: An Emerging Silver Lining
Careful deal selection and attention to risk can help investors capitalize on recent market turbulence.
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White papers2Q26 U.S. Transaction Volumes Rise +14% YoY
Real Capital Analytics’ newest data shows U.S. commercial real estate transaction volumes increased in 2Q26, with headline volumes rising +14% YoY to $136.6bn. This represents the ninth consecutive quarter of rising YoY transaction volumes and may help to alleviate concerns of a slowdown given an uncertain macro backdrop.
