All North America articles
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White papers
Ahead of the Curve: What US resilience means for bond investors
Our latest Ahead of the Curve paper examines opportunities for fixed income investors in what is likely to remain a positive environment for the asset class.
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White papers
US Presidential election: Trump wins again – what could it mean for markets?
Donald Trump will be returning to the White House for his second presidential stint. What has been the immediate market reaction to Trump’s electoral victory – and what could this mean for investors?
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White papers
Trump Victory: Key implications for investors
Donald Trump is returning to the White House as the 47th President of the United States. The Senate has also swung to the Republicans, gaining 52 seats vs the Democrat’s 42 seats, at the time of writing. The votes for the House of Representatives are still being counted, but if Republicans maintain their current lead, a “red sweep” – control of both chambers – will give them significant leeway for their policy agenda.
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White papers
The Fed’s normalising of rates is not easing
Given that the US economy is healthy, we believe the market is overestimating what the Fed will do.
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White papers
AXA IM US election reaction: what Trump’s win means for markets and investors
At the time of writing (midday on Wednesday, 6 November), former President Donald Trump has won the 2024 US presidential election. In a much quicker than expected result, Trump currently has 279 Electoral College votes versus 223 for his opponent Kamala Harris. Trump has been declared winner in the key swing states of Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. This rules out Harris’ path to victory.
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White papers
US soft landing on track
“Robust consumption and government spending have supported US economic activity recently, but we see a mild deceleration in growth amid a rebalancing in US labour markets.”
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White papers
US elections risks and opportunities: Pricing in known unknowns
Over the past five years, global equity markets have risen despite some very obvious risks. Could it be that risks often turn out to be a source of opportunities? Stuart Canning, Fund Manager in the Global Macro Team, believes investors should look at what is priced-in, not what they think is going to happen. He examines the market’s expectations for the US election and asks whether rising market volatility is here to stay.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views – Perspectives on the US elections
After many months of build-up and speculation, the 2024 US election is almost here. Over the past few weeks, financial markets have become increasingly focused on the candidate’s platforms and what these might imply for the economy and markets. How could markets react to Trump and Harris’ different proposals on taxation, trade and immigration?
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White papers
What to expect between Election Day and the inauguration
With the US presidential election less than two weeks away, Americans may be looking forward to the end of a tumultuous political campaign season. However, if past trends are any indication, 5 November could be just the beginning.
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Webinar
The countdown starts: US election results and market implications
As the US election results begin to unfold, they could have a major impact on markets and the economy.
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White papers
Fixed Income Perspectives Q4 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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Blog
Analysis of 4 Political Policy Areas on the U.S. Economy
A scenario analysis on four key areas related to the 2024 U.S. Elections, trade & tariffs, fiscal policy, immigration & labor supply, and monetary policy, all with significant economic impacts.
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White papers
Four-quadrant report
Insight into U.S. commercial real estate opportunities. Impact of economic, political, and investment trends on the four quadrants of real estate.
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White papers
Positioning EMD ahead of the US election
If Kamala Harris wins November’s vote, the status quo is unlikely to change significantly, but should Donald Trump triumph the implications for foreign policy are likely to be far-reaching.
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2024
If only LatAm’s fiscal policy could mimic its prudent monetary policy stance
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views – Ears to the ground
Focus over the past month has been fixed on central bank policy, most particularly on the Federal Reserve. Their September meeting finally brought the Fed’s first rate cut in four years. What are the core points for investors to note? Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, unpack all the elements, looking at the data, the market expectations, the surprises, and what might be next for the other central banks.
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Asset Manager News
Hines Launches The SQ Collection - A Global Network Of Diverse Space Solutions
Clients Have Exclusive Access to On-Demand Office, Collaboration and Event Spaces
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White papers
The Fed “Recalibrates” to Buy Some Insurance
Rate-cutting cycles have tended to favor risk assets, so it was gratifying to see the central bank get started with a meaningful move.
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White papers
Attractive opportunities for diversification with private real estate credit
Historically, the best performing investment vintages have often followed periods of distress and volatility. Commercial real estate has experienced a significant downturn since the Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates in the spring of 2022. However, in our view, the stage is now set for real estate credit to generate attractive income returns with favorable risk tailwinds.
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White papers
The Fed pivot arrives
“Inflation moving towards the Fed’s target is allowing the central bank to shift its focus to economic growth. This underscores the importance of bonds as a diversifier* in an overall agile stance.”