All North America articles – Page 14
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White papers
Treasury Options Skews: Investment Signals or Noise?
Nearly all options markets exhibit some kind of natural skewness. For example, out-of-the-money (OTM) put options on equity index futures are typically cost more than OTM call options as investors typically fear a sudden fall in stock prices more than a sudden rise and, hence, are willing to pay more for protection to the downside than upside.
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White papers
Tempering Enthusiasm for Mexico’s Corporate Bond Market
Omotunde Lawal, Head of EM Corporate Debt, reports back from a recent trip to Mexico, where the Barings team conducted on-the-ground research through meetings with a wide variety of corporate issuers, economists and ratings agencies.
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White papersPolitical Brinkmanship
Could U.S. political brinkmanship cause a government shutdown and technical debt default, putting the economy at risk in the fourth quarter?
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White papersAdvancing the human capital agenda
For too long, a company’s success has been measured purely by its financial performance. But increasingly, in a social-media world, the success of a business is aligned to the satisfaction of employees. With fewer rights granted to employees in the US than other developed nations, we explain why we are starting a dialogue on the issue of human capital.
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White papersThe U.S. Yield Curve inverted, now what?
On March 22, 2019, the U.S. yield curve briefly inverted, with the difference between the three-month and 10-year yields turning negative for the first time since August 2007.
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White papersDebt Ceiling Back in Play
The twin threat of a technical debt default and potential government shutdown could resurface later this year, likely affecting equities and Treasuries.
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White papersGold in Central Banks’ Asset Allocation
After a long lacklustre period during the 1980s and 1990s, the price of gold has picked up significantly since the new millennium, and central banks, after having steadily reduced their allocation to gold, have resumed their gold purchases.
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White papersGet active about your passive
The evidence is mounting that investors have given up on trying to beat the market in US large caps. For example, Bloomberg recently reported that passively managed large cap US equity fund assets overtook actively managed large cap US equity fund assets at the end of 2018.
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White papersMalled to death: How investors can benefit from the fear of retail property
Retail property has become a bad word. We believe the fear of property labelled “retail” creates opportunity for investors willing to take a closer look.
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White papersTop trends in 2019 – Infrastructure Outlook
This paper focuses on three key themes in Europe and North America to help investors navigate portfolio allocation decisions.
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White papersTrade Deals and Political Realities
Could the USMCA accord among the US, Canada and Mexico, and a potential US-China trade deal get approval from the Democrats-led House of Representatives?
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White papersOutlook for US office - changing occupier trends
The future of the office market has been at the subject of much debate and consternation among commercial real estate professionals and investors over the past decade.
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White papersFed to End Diet
The Fed’s program to shrink its bloated balance sheet post-quantitative easing is drawing to a close earlier than planned as liabilities pose constraints.
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White papersPrivate Real Estate Debt: the potential for enhance risk-adjusted returns late in the cycle
As the business and real estate cycles continue to mature, exposure to defensively positioned real estate debt strategies may provide investors a more favourable return outcome should economic conditions weaken.
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White papersMarket Perspectives - Patience is a virtue
Sunny spots are rare this winter. Economic data in in Europe and China have continued to underwhelm. Key euro area indicators including PMIs, Ifo and Sentix are at multi-year lows, following a sharp contraction in industrial production in Q4. China reported a slump in trade and the slowest annual growth in three decades.
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White papersThe inflation story: 2019 and beyond
In this issue of Ahead of the Curve, we assess the prospects for inflation in the US and the eurozone.
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White papersThe Alpha And Beta Of ESG Investing
With the rising awareness around ESG issues worldwide, institutional investors have started to massively look into responsible investment. The latter has grown substantially in Europe and in North America in the past 5 years.
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White papersAsian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical
Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.
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White papersA tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.
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White papersRenter Nation: U.S. Socioeconomics drive multifamily housing demand
State of the U.S. housing market: Increasingly a renter nation
