All North America articles – Page 13
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White papers
Real Estate Summary US Real Estate - Edition 2, 2019: Demand remains strong and spreads reversed somewhat in early 2019
US real estate investors are entering year four of a period of relative calm, income-driven performance. Demand is strong. Supply should be monitored closely. Capital flows are supportive but not excessive, even as spreads show signs of easing.
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White papersHigh Yield: Oasis In Search For Yield?
Since early 2016, US HY default rates have experienced a sort of “mini –cycle”, peaking at the end of 2016. Nevertheless, the recent rise and fall movements appear mostly commodity driven: default rates would have remained fairly stable if energy and material sectors were excluded from calculations.
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White papersRedefining Value: A Modern Definition
Performance leadership in the decade long U.S. equity market cycle is and continues to be growth stocks. Value has significantly underperformed for several years. Principal proprietary factor timing models signalled an opportunity for value exposures in December and we believe it is time to discuss portfolio implementation to take advantage of the potential value opportunity.
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White papers
Is There Style Drift in Middle Market Lending?
Barings’ Ian Fowler weighs in on the supply/demand dynamics in the direct lending space and explains why looking at the middle market as one cohesive universe can be misleading.
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White papersHigh Yield: Identifying Value Amid Shifting Sentiment
In this Q&A, David Mihalick, Barings’ Head of U.S. High Yield Investments, discusses the volatile swings in investor sentiment that high yield markets experienced over the last two quarters, and where the Barings team is seeing value today.
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White papers
Think Tank Points to U.S. Growth Slowing
Anxious about the U.S. economy? The Conference Board think tank is pointing to growth slowing to 1.5-2.0% but there are no imminent signs of a recession.
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White papers
Liquidity Insights: Euro FX Responds to Brexit, U.S. Inflation
There are many factors that can influence FX exchange rates, including event risk and fundamental economic data. To manage such risk, traders have often turned to futures and options. Recent events around the world have caused dramatic moves in exchange rates, particularly for currencies impacted by the chaos of Brexit.
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White papersHigh Yield: Identifying Value Amid Shifting Sentiment
Despite the sharp turns in high yield markets over the past two quarters, companies ticked along without flinching—posting strong earnings over the course. David Mihalick, Barings’ Head of U.S. High Yield Investments, explains why.
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White papers
High Yield Bonds & Loans: Where to Next?
High yield markets roared back in the first quarter. Can market fundamentals and technicals support continued strength? And how should investors factor in risks ranging from possible recession, to ratings downgrades, to liquidity concerns? Barings’ David Mihalick weighs in.
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White papers
Treasury Options Skews: Investment Signals or Noise?
Nearly all options markets exhibit some kind of natural skewness. For example, out-of-the-money (OTM) put options on equity index futures are typically cost more than OTM call options as investors typically fear a sudden fall in stock prices more than a sudden rise and, hence, are willing to pay more for protection to the downside than upside.
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White papers
Tempering Enthusiasm for Mexico’s Corporate Bond Market
Omotunde Lawal, Head of EM Corporate Debt, reports back from a recent trip to Mexico, where the Barings team conducted on-the-ground research through meetings with a wide variety of corporate issuers, economists and ratings agencies.
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White papersPolitical Brinkmanship
Could U.S. political brinkmanship cause a government shutdown and technical debt default, putting the economy at risk in the fourth quarter?
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White papersAdvancing the human capital agenda
For too long, a company’s success has been measured purely by its financial performance. But increasingly, in a social-media world, the success of a business is aligned to the satisfaction of employees. With fewer rights granted to employees in the US than other developed nations, we explain why we are starting a dialogue on the issue of human capital.
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White papersThe U.S. Yield Curve inverted, now what?
On March 22, 2019, the U.S. yield curve briefly inverted, with the difference between the three-month and 10-year yields turning negative for the first time since August 2007.
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White papersDebt Ceiling Back in Play
The twin threat of a technical debt default and potential government shutdown could resurface later this year, likely affecting equities and Treasuries.
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White papersGold in Central Banks’ Asset Allocation
After a long lacklustre period during the 1980s and 1990s, the price of gold has picked up significantly since the new millennium, and central banks, after having steadily reduced their allocation to gold, have resumed their gold purchases.
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White papersGet active about your passive
The evidence is mounting that investors have given up on trying to beat the market in US large caps. For example, Bloomberg recently reported that passively managed large cap US equity fund assets overtook actively managed large cap US equity fund assets at the end of 2018.
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White papersMalled to death: How investors can benefit from the fear of retail property
Retail property has become a bad word. We believe the fear of property labelled “retail” creates opportunity for investors willing to take a closer look.
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White papersTop trends in 2019 – Infrastructure Outlook
This paper focuses on three key themes in Europe and North America to help investors navigate portfolio allocation decisions.
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White papersTrade Deals and Political Realities
Could the USMCA accord among the US, Canada and Mexico, and a potential US-China trade deal get approval from the Democrats-led House of Representatives?
