All North America articles – Page 13
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White papers
U.S. Loans: Challenged Market or Veiled Opportunity?
With loan and bond yields currently comparable, we believe—in a somewhat contrarian view to the market—there is a good argument for investing in loans, particularly in the U.S., where the economy appears to be marginally stronger than in Europe.
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White papersSustaining the expansion – the Fed cut and what it means for real estate
After weeks of anticipation, speculation and growing confidence on monetary easing, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its benchmark short-term interest rate by 25 bps at its July meeting.
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White papersSlow global growth compels the Fed to cut interest rates
The Federal Reserve has reduced its policy rate target for the first time since 2008. Economic data in the U.S. have been solid, but global growth is slow and a variety of policy risks hang over the outlook like dark clouds.
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White papersBack to basics: a contrarian look at cyclicals in credit markets
The US bull run is the country’s longest on record. But we are in the latter stage of the global macroeconomic cycle and warning lights are flashing. We remain focused on corporate fundamentals, asking which high-quality cyclicals could successfully weather a slowdown.
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White papersFixed Income: Upending the Conventional Approach
The search for yield trudges on amid trade and tariff clashes, and a credit cycle that continues to surprise in its longevity. In this Q&A, Michael Freno, Head of Global Markets, shares his views on where value can still be found and how investors can benefit from looking beyond traditional indexes in high yield, investment grade credit and emerging markets debt.
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White papers
Real Estate Summary US Real Estate - Edition 2, 2019: Demand remains strong and spreads reversed somewhat in early 2019
US real estate investors are entering year four of a period of relative calm, income-driven performance. Demand is strong. Supply should be monitored closely. Capital flows are supportive but not excessive, even as spreads show signs of easing.
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White papersHigh Yield: Oasis In Search For Yield?
Since early 2016, US HY default rates have experienced a sort of “mini –cycle”, peaking at the end of 2016. Nevertheless, the recent rise and fall movements appear mostly commodity driven: default rates would have remained fairly stable if energy and material sectors were excluded from calculations.
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White papersRedefining Value: A Modern Definition
Performance leadership in the decade long U.S. equity market cycle is and continues to be growth stocks. Value has significantly underperformed for several years. Principal proprietary factor timing models signalled an opportunity for value exposures in December and we believe it is time to discuss portfolio implementation to take advantage of the potential value opportunity.
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White papers
Is There Style Drift in Middle Market Lending?
Barings’ Ian Fowler weighs in on the supply/demand dynamics in the direct lending space and explains why looking at the middle market as one cohesive universe can be misleading.
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White papersHigh Yield: Identifying Value Amid Shifting Sentiment
In this Q&A, David Mihalick, Barings’ Head of U.S. High Yield Investments, discusses the volatile swings in investor sentiment that high yield markets experienced over the last two quarters, and where the Barings team is seeing value today.
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White papers
Think Tank Points to U.S. Growth Slowing
Anxious about the U.S. economy? The Conference Board think tank is pointing to growth slowing to 1.5-2.0% but there are no imminent signs of a recession.
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White papers
Liquidity Insights: Euro FX Responds to Brexit, U.S. Inflation
There are many factors that can influence FX exchange rates, including event risk and fundamental economic data. To manage such risk, traders have often turned to futures and options. Recent events around the world have caused dramatic moves in exchange rates, particularly for currencies impacted by the chaos of Brexit.
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White papersHigh Yield: Identifying Value Amid Shifting Sentiment
Despite the sharp turns in high yield markets over the past two quarters, companies ticked along without flinching—posting strong earnings over the course. David Mihalick, Barings’ Head of U.S. High Yield Investments, explains why.
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White papers
High Yield Bonds & Loans: Where to Next?
High yield markets roared back in the first quarter. Can market fundamentals and technicals support continued strength? And how should investors factor in risks ranging from possible recession, to ratings downgrades, to liquidity concerns? Barings’ David Mihalick weighs in.
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White papers
Treasury Options Skews: Investment Signals or Noise?
Nearly all options markets exhibit some kind of natural skewness. For example, out-of-the-money (OTM) put options on equity index futures are typically cost more than OTM call options as investors typically fear a sudden fall in stock prices more than a sudden rise and, hence, are willing to pay more for protection to the downside than upside.
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White papers
Tempering Enthusiasm for Mexico’s Corporate Bond Market
Omotunde Lawal, Head of EM Corporate Debt, reports back from a recent trip to Mexico, where the Barings team conducted on-the-ground research through meetings with a wide variety of corporate issuers, economists and ratings agencies.
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White papersPolitical Brinkmanship
Could U.S. political brinkmanship cause a government shutdown and technical debt default, putting the economy at risk in the fourth quarter?
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White papersAdvancing the human capital agenda
For too long, a company’s success has been measured purely by its financial performance. But increasingly, in a social-media world, the success of a business is aligned to the satisfaction of employees. With fewer rights granted to employees in the US than other developed nations, we explain why we are starting a dialogue on the issue of human capital.
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White papersThe U.S. Yield Curve inverted, now what?
On March 22, 2019, the U.S. yield curve briefly inverted, with the difference between the three-month and 10-year yields turning negative for the first time since August 2007.
