All Fixed Income articles – Page 76
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What do the unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures mean for inflation?
As the largest vaccination programme in history commences, risk markets appear to be ignoring the logistical challenges or near-term downside growth risks from tighter lockdowns imposed after infection rates in Northern Hemisphere countries soared over the winter.
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*Fixed income outlook – From despair to hope*
In the US, reflation on the back of fiscal stimulus and the exit from lockdowns should lead to modestly higher inflation expectations and nominal bond yields.
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For diversification and returns: private debt and real assets
Investing in private debt and real assets can offer investors benefits such as attractive risk-adjusted return potential and real diversification, setting these ‘alternative’ markets apart from their traditional public counterparts.
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Supply vs demand of EMU EGB in 2021
Euro area sovereign debt issuance vs. ECB purchase dynamics look favourable in 2021. On the supply side, net issuance should decrease vs 2020, thanks to lower aggregated numbers of budget deficits, incoming support from EU funds, and for some countries, the use of increased cash accounts and higher bond redemptions.
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Why we don’t expect the Fed to taper its bond buying programme this year
In a world where sovereign bond yields are in the hand of central banks, the recent upward revisions of growth expectations for the US economy raised questions about the outlook for the Fed’s monetary policy. Growth is expected to rebound in H2 and very accommodative monetary policy is not a free lunch. The difficulty for the Fed is estimating how sustainable this expected improvement in growth and inflation will be in H2 2021.
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Taper or not taper: a key issue for markets
The Fed is committed to maintaining very accommodative monetary conditions and unchanged interest rates until the economy has returned to full employment and inflation has stabilised above its 2.0% target. But the Fed has so far been vague on what determines the pace of its asset purchases. It is clear that these will have to decline long before it raises its key rates. But when and on what basis?
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The greenness of the EU budget: implications for fixed income and industry
The EU’s significant budget allocations to address the climate crisis supports the decarbonisation of the economy whilst also securing the permanence of sustainable fixed income.
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Catastrophe Bonds: Natural Diversification
Following another eventful year in reinsurance, we offer a primer on catastrophe bonds—a growing and genuinely diversifying asset class that we believe is attractively valued.
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Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2021
After a year of profound economic and market turbulence, we anticipate improving global growth in 2021. Accelerated vaccine distribution should allow for wider reopening, while the release of pent-up demand and ongoing monetary support will likely help drive renewed expansion.
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2021 EMD outlook: In the wake of the storm
The COVID-19 market crisis was a cognitive shock, similar in magnitude to the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. Global investors found themselves surprised and wrong-footed in terms of risk positioning. After all, a pandemic isn’t usually part of the risk management textbook.
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Don’t Mistake Growth for Quality
As investors adjust for a potential style rotation, we urge them not to abandon their portfolios’ “quality compounders” and “transition winners.”
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U.S. Consumers: Don’t Worry, They’re Here to Stay
Worsening U.S. consumer confidence data shows the labor market is expected to remain fragile, though spending should improve due to greater fiscal support. Eurozone inflation will likely accelerate slightly, and strong trade data from Asia shows global demand’s resiliency.
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Income and inflation: Play to your strengths
For years, investors of all stripes, from the world’s largest institutions investors to individuals, have focused on the risk of persistently low interest rates and the struggle to achieve income. But there’s another potential risk on the horizon, with similarly damaging effects, that also demands focus: prospects for rising inflation and the erosion of purchasing power.
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COVID-19: Investors are finding new ways to drive positive social outcomes
COVID-19 has been a test of companies’ sustainability credentials. It has sharpened public and investor scrutiny of environmental, social and governance (ESG) practices and has notably intensified attention around the ‘social’ component.
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United Europe: From discord to harmony?
Global politics are in flux as policymakers scramble to manage the pandemic and revive economies. Can Europe come together and carve a place for itself on the international stage, or will it end up a passive player buffeted by greater forces?
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How Shopping—and Investing—Might Be Enabling Modern Slavery
It may seem shocking, but a simple trip to the local store to pick up fresh produce or clothing could enable human exploitation. For investors, those same connections can exist within their portfolios—and it takes more than a passive effort to root them out.
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Finding the Right Sovereign ESG Indicators: A Greek Tragedy?
On our mini odyssey through the vast seas of sovereign ESG indicators, we sought to identify data and scores from reliable third parties—which would not only provide benchmarking criteria between countries, but also serve as an effective screening tool to identify outliers.
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Impact investing: How private and listed markets offer choice for investors seeking positive change
Impact investing is helping investors tap into key financial markets megatrends while addressing some of our most important sustainability challenges.
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Credit Pulse: market update - 15 January 2021
How does the fixed-income team at the international business of Federated Hermes see this year shaping up?
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Weekly Credit Insight: Chart of the week: fallen angels fly high
The topic of fallen angels – issuers downgraded from investment-grade status – attracted much attention last year. Of course, this is not surprising: the number of companies downgraded from investment grade to high yield reached an all-time high in 2020.