All Fixed Income articles – Page 71
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White papersUS inflation – Higher for longer?
US inflation looks set to rise significantly heading into the summer. Contrary to the view that this will be a temporary increase, a number of forces could combine to create greater structural pressure pushing prices higher for longer.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2021
With vaccination programs worldwide well underway, the spotlight has shifted now to the nature of the economic recovery.
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White papersUS Stock-Bond Correlation: What are the Macroeconomic Drivers?
For the last 20y, the correlation between stock and bond returns has been negative, enabling CIOs to increase stock allocations, with bonds acting as a hedge, while still satisfying a given risk budget.
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White papersUp, Up, but Not (Run) Away Inflation
The latest round of euro area lockdowns caused less damage than initially feared. Earnings on both sides of the Atlantic continue to beat expectations amid the favorable economic backdrop. Meanwhile, in China, PMIs suggest that the growth driver may be shifting.
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White papers4 reasons why US debt may not spin out of control
Is surging US debt sustainable, or will it spin out of control?
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White papersA deep dive into ECB stimulus and its support for Euro fixed-income markets
March saw ECB increasing its PEPP purchases and injecting higher than expected liquidity through a successful TLTRO tender.
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White papersREITS and Rates
History suggests that real estate securities can be an attractive investment if you expect inflation and rates to go higher.
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White papersPost-Crisis Investing for the Long Haul
After a series of unprecedented events in the global economy, triggered by the COVID-19 financial crisis, investors and economists alike may see themselves at quite an inflection point in the markets.
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White papersCoiled Spring
Exceptional garden pinks and yellows mark the arrival of seasonal spring, but the world’s economic data outline a “coiled spring”.
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White papersInflation: Preparing your portfolio for the surge
After falling to almost zero during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate of U.S. inflation is on the rise. To navigate the current market environment, today’s investor must understand how quickly the United States economic recovery will generate inflation, how long that inflation will be sustained, and what investment implications follow.
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White papers2021 Recovery to continue and beat potential
We confirm the financial “recovery regime” as a central scenario (with a 70% probability) for the next 12 to 18 months, with growth and macro determinants remaining paramount.
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White papersThe end of the Great Moderation and the return of volatility
Since the mid-1980s, the macroeconomic volatility has declined to a postwar low.
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White papersAbsolute return – An absolute must in fixed income
Classical fixed income is already a source of ‘return-free risk’ in this post-pandemic economy awash with central bank stimulus. Reflationary expectations have expedited the rise in interest rates and aggravated the challenges faced by traditional fixed income strategies and indices.
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White papersFive key themes in energy credit
In credit markets, energy was one of the most volatile sectors in 2020, with oil futures trading in negative territory for some time.
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White papersA Few Sparks & Lots of Smoke—But Still No Sign of a Fire
As investors search for signs of uncontrolled inflation, it’s hard to see anything more than you’d expect in a strong cyclical recovery.
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White papersStill Searching for (Lasting) Inflation
Markit flash PMIs suggest European economies are improving. In the U.S., stimulus and reopenings drove the composite PMI to a record high, and consumer confidence is rising sharply. Elsewhere, the BOJ revised growth projections higher amid strong external demand.
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White papersDoomsday at the bank: a spoonful of measures helps the resolution go down
The global financial crisis proved bank failure was not just ancient history or fictional fodder. Fiorino explains why post-crisis measures to fend off future financial meltdowns may have changed the odds but left the possibility of ‘doomsday’ intact.
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White papersUnderstanding Your Bond Portfolio’s Carbon Footprint
Transitioning to a net-zero carbon economy* is vitally important, and to support that journey sustainable investors should monitor the carbon impact of the corporate bonds in their portfolios. But there’s a lot more to understanding a bond portfolio’s carbon footprint than conventional metrics can show.
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White papersFed to keep policy easy despite arrival of economic boom
Evidence continues to mount that a combination of vaccinations and stimulus are creating some of the strongest economic growth data in decades. Even so, the Fed remains committed to easy monetary policy until unemployment falls further and inflation materializes.
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White papersCLOs: What’s Driving the Opportunity Today?
Co-Heads of Structured Credit, Melissa Ricco and Taryn Leonard provide insight into last year’s ‘rollercoaster ride’ in CLOs, and explain why both fundamental and technical factors appear to be aligning to create a strong backdrop for the asset class moving forward.
